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Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2020
Time: 19:45
Final 0-3
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.70
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.33
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✓ Hit
35.7%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.45
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L04L00D11D13L12L25L23L11D20WH·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11H·ALL21/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.631.331.601.001.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.261.561.431.571.081.54
vs Weaker (3)0.332.330.002.000.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W32W02L31W13L11D31W12L20WA·DUN21/02A·DUN25/02H·MOR03/03A·ALL07/03H·QUE10/03A·DUN17/10H·AYR24/10H·ARB31/10A·HEA07/11H·RAI21/11
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.871.001.071.27
vs Stronger (24)1.331.041.551.001.151.08
vs Similar (6)2.001.502.751.000.502.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.86+5.4%
Under 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.91-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
06.5%6.6%5.6%2.7%1.0%
16.8%13%8.3%4.0%1.4%
25.9%8.5%6.1%3.0%1.1%
32.9%4.2%3.0%1.5%0.5%
41.1%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.15 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.07 goals better than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Queen of Sth is 0.74 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 1.15).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 4.7 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

16010411869766461834393414111416121097127H·ALLA·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7032432112311111215722522310H·ALLA·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 10.7 · Total 19.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

25018481314118107156107791541151122212518221614241516H·ALLA·ARBA·DUNH·RAIA·AYRA·INVA·DUNA·PARH·MORH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 5.2 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

150655442876664534228661196151210861012H·RAIA·HEAH·ARBH·AYRA·DUNH·QUEA·ALLH·MORA·DUNA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6011121311311111242212314422363H·RAIA·HEAH·ARBH·AYRA·DUNH·QUEA·ALLH·MORA·DUNA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

250127141110131078111061311613788519252317191624191513H·RAIA·HEAH·ARBH·AYRA·DUNH·QUEA·ALLH·MORA·DUNA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.910.63.03.12.919.921.218.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (45)10.610.710.63.03.13.020.121.319.0
vs Weaker (5)11.413.010.32.63.02.318.219.517.3
% over line66%62%69%32%38%27%42%50%35%
% under line34%38%31%68%62%73%58%50%65%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.311.311.23.02.63.420.519.022.0
vs Stronger (41)11.511.711.33.12.83.420.919.422.1
vs Similar (9)10.29.811.02.32.03.018.817.721.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line70%68%72%28%16%40%42%28%56%
% under line30%32%28%72%84%60%58%72%44%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.8
Inverness CT
11.3
Morton
10.9
Queen of Sth
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Dunfermline
10.3
Dundee
10.2
Ayr
10.2
Arbroath
10.0
Raith Rvs
9.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.5
Raith Rvs
3.4
Dunfermline
3.2
Morton
3.2
Ayr
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.0
Inverness CT
3.0
Alloa
2.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
27.8
Dundee
23.9
Arbroath
21.7
Ayr
21.7
Raith Rvs
21.3
Alloa
20.7
Morton
20.7
Dunfermline
20.6
Inverness CT
20.5
Queen of Sth
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
69.0%
Under 9.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
49.3%
Under 21.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L00D10W01L02L13L02L10W10WH·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11H·ALL21/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.670.800.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.630.700.710.790.540.62
vs Weaker (3)0.001.330.001.000.001.50
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W02L10W11D00D01L00D10WA·DUN21/02A·DUN25/02H·MOR03/03A·ALL07/03H·QUE10/03A·DUN17/10H·AYR24/10H·ARB31/10A·HEA07/11H·RAI21/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.370.670.330.670.40
vs Stronger (24)0.710.330.730.360.690.31
vs Similar (6)0.500.500.500.250.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D01L12L10W12L21W01L10WH·DUN22/02H·MOR29/02A·PAR03/03A·DUN07/03A·INV10/03A·AYR17/10H·RAI24/10A·DUN31/10A·ARB07/11H·ALL21/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.670.800.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.630.850.710.790.540.92
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.001.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D22D00D21W02L11D30W12L10WA·DUN21/02A·DUN25/02H·MOR03/03A·ALL07/03H·QUE10/03A·DUN17/10H·AYR24/10H·ARB31/10A·HEA07/11H·RAI21/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.771.200.670.400.87
vs Stronger (24)0.620.710.820.640.460.77
vs Similar (6)1.501.002.250.750.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls80.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners79.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
QOS wins
2
Draws
5
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
10/03/20AInverness CT Vs QOS3-1
29/10/19HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2
21/09/19AInverness CT Vs QOS2-0
09/03/19HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2
05/01/19AInverness CT Vs QOS1-2
17/11/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT3-3
29/09/18AInverness CT Vs QOS0-0
07/04/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20HQOS Vs Alloa2-0
07/11/20AArbroath Vs QOS1-1
31/10/20ADunfermline Vs QOS3-2
24/10/20HQOS Vs Raith Rvs2-5
17/10/20AAyr Vs QOS2-1
10/03/20AInverness CT Vs QOS3-1
07/03/20ADunfermline Vs QOS1-1
03/03/20APartick Vs QOS0-0
29/02/20HQOS Vs Morton0-4
22/02/20HQOS Vs Dundee0-1

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20HIC Vs Raith Rvs2-0
07/11/20AHeart Of Midlothian Vs IC2-1
31/10/20HIC Vs Arbroath3-1
24/10/20HIC Vs Ayr1-1
17/10/20ADunfermline Vs IC3-1
10/03/20HIC Vs Queen of Sth3-1
07/03/20AAlloa Vs IC2-0
03/03/20HIC Vs Morton3-2
25/02/20ADunfermline Vs IC1-2
21/02/20ADundee Utd Vs IC2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.92
HomeLLLLW1.04
AwayDLLLD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%29%19%
AVG goals2.542.752.35
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.001.250.77
Conceded1.541.501.58
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet16%21%12%
Corners10.7210.8810.58
Cards3.003.082.92
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.64
HomeWWDWW1.84
AwayLWLLL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.582.602.56
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.401.561.24
Conceded1.181.041.32
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners11.2611.2811.24
Cards2.982.603.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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