PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT Result & Analysis

Date: 10/04/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
QO
Queen of Sth
Vs
25%
25%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queen of Sth win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied 33.3% · @ 2.78
Edge
-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.9%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.28
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 38.4% · @ 2.41
Edge
+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L11D10W32W10W42W23L12L32WH·MOR23/01A·ALL06/02H·HEA12/02A·INV17/02A·DUN20/02H·DUN27/02A·ARB06/03H·ALL13/03A·MOR20/03A·HEA27/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.001.382.151.411.88
vs Stronger (3)1.673.001.001.002.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.461.881.552.181.381.62
vs Weaker (3)0.672.000.003.001.001.50
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D12L11D01L00D10W10W10W41WH·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.131.431.001.381.25
vs Stronger (23)1.221.131.301.001.151.23
vs Similar (7)2.001.141.751.002.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
@ 1.97+11.6%
Under 2.5
40.7%
@ 1.80-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
Queen of Sth goals ↓
Inverness CT goals →
01234
05.7%7.5%7.8%4.8%2.2%
14.7%12%9.7%5.9%2.7%
23.5%6.5%6.0%3.7%1.7%
31.5%2.7%2.5%1.5%0.7%
40.4%0.8%0.8%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen of Sth goals (down), columns = Inverness CT goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.15 points worse than Inverness CT in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Queen of Sth is 0.07 goals better than Inverness CT in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.33).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Queen of Sth is 0.74 goals worse than Inverness CT in terms of goals conceded per game (1.89 vs 1.15).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

QO
Queen of Sth

For 3.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.1

ðŸšĐ Corners

1202737533474110361293489108711119121212A·HEAA·MORH·ALLA·ARBH·DUNA·DUNA·INVH·HEAA·ALLH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7021134133332131322274605442A·HEAA·MORH·ALLA·ARBH·DUNA·DUNA·INVH·HEAA·ALLH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

33014197107991910121215514131511971033171628222719282017A·HEAA·MORH·ALLA·ARBH·DUNA·DUNA·INVH·HEAA·ALLH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Inverness CTInverness CT

For 4.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

140111354538410325321025131128911145812714A·MORH·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80111324355122213320246864362A·MORH·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 27.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3601213171751381515141210221411151517131225341823292236263225A·MORH·ARBA·DUNA·RAIH·RAIH·MORA·ALLA·DUNH·HEAH·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QO
Queen of Sth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.510.33.13.32.920.921.820.1
vs Stronger (3)10.012.09.02.04.01.024.328.022.5
vs Similar (42)10.510.510.43.23.43.021.122.020.3
vs Weaker (5)10.610.011.02.82.53.017.217.517.0
% over line60%58%62%40%50%31%50%58%42%
% under line40%42%38%60%50%69%50%42%58%
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.511.03.23.33.021.821.122.5
vs Stronger (38)10.911.310.73.43.63.321.721.122.1
vs Similar (12)10.38.712.62.32.71.822.221.023.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line62%62%62%36%33%38%48%42%54%
% under line38%38%38%64%67%62%52%58%46%
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.2
Inverness CT
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.7
Raith Rvs
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.4
Morton
10.4
Dundee
10.4
Ayr
10.2
Arbroath
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
3.7
Dundee
3.3
Ayr
3.3
Dunfermline
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Morton
3.0
Alloa
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
25.9
Dundee
24.9
Raith Rvs
22.7
Arbroath
22.6
Alloa
22.5
Inverness CT
21.8
Ayr
21.8
Queen of Sth
20.9
Dunfermline
20.5
Morton
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.9%
Under 3.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.7%
Under 21.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D10W00D20W00D32W22D11D21WH·MOR23/01A·ALL06/02H·HEA12/02A·INV17/02A·DUN20/02H·DUN27/02A·ARB06/03H·ALL13/03A·MOR20/03A·HEA27/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.771.000.760.88
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.000.001.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.830.960.821.090.850.85
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D02L11D00D00D00D00D00D20WH·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.290.430.690.56
vs Stronger (23)0.430.520.300.500.540.54
vs Similar (7)0.710.430.250.251.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QO
Queen of Sth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L10W12L10W10W01L01L11DH·MOR23/01A·ALL06/02H·HEA12/02A·INV17/02A·DUN20/02H·DUN27/02A·ARB06/03H·ALL13/03A·MOR20/03A·HEA27/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.070.621.150.651.00
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.001.001.002.50
vs Similar (24)0.620.920.731.090.540.77
vs Weaker (3)0.671.330.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Inverness CT) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Inverness CTInverness CT

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W00D01L00D10W10W10W21WH·ALL23/02H·HEA26/02A·DUN02/03A·ALL06/03H·MOR09/03H·RAI12/03A·RAI16/03A·DUN20/03H·ARB27/03A·MOR06/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.140.570.690.69
vs Stronger (23)0.780.611.000.500.620.69
vs Similar (7)1.290.711.500.751.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen of Sth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen of Sth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen of Sth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inverness CT over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
QOS wins
1
Draws
5
IC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queen of Sth vs Inverness CT · H/A from QOS
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/21AInverness CT Vs QOS0-1
04/12/20HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-3
10/03/20AInverness CT Vs QOS3-1
29/10/19HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2
21/09/19AInverness CT Vs QOS2-0
09/03/19HQOS Vs Inverness CT0-2
05/01/19AInverness CT Vs QOS1-2
17/11/18HQOS Vs Inverness CT3-3

QO
Queen of Sth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21AHeart Of Midlothian Vs QOS2-3
20/03/21AMorton Vs QOS2-1
13/03/21HQOS Vs Alloa2-3
06/03/21AArbroath Vs QOS2-4
27/02/21HQOS Vs Dunfermline1-0
20/02/21ADundee Vs QOS2-3
17/02/21AInverness CT Vs QOS0-1
12/02/21HQOS Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-1
06/02/21AAlloa Vs QOS2-1
23/01/21HQOS Vs Morton2-1

Inverness CTInverness CT

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/21AMorton Vs IC1-4
27/03/21HIC Vs Arbroath1-0
20/03/21ADunfermline Vs IC0-1
16/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs IC0-1
12/03/21HIC Vs Raith Rvs0-0
09/03/21HIC Vs Morton0-1
06/03/21AAlloa Vs IC1-1
02/03/21ADundee Vs IC2-1
26/02/21HIC Vs Heart Of Midlothian1-1
23/02/21HIC Vs Alloa2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

QO
Queen of Sth
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.16
HomeDWDWL1.17
AwayWWWLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.963.042.88
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %36%42%31%
Scored1.281.381.19
Conceded1.681.671.69
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners10.4410.5410.35
Cards3.103.332.88
Inverness CT
Inverness CT
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.56
HomeDDLDW1.71
AwayLDWWW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals2.542.542.54
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.421.541.31
Conceded1.121.001.23
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet36%33%38%
Corners10.8010.5411.04
Cards3.183.333.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches