Queen's Park and Morton face a finely balanced encounter, each boasting a 35% chance of victory while a draw sits at 30%. The model favours a home win, and the expected goal tally hovers around 2.4, with the most probable total of two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. Queen’s Park, playing at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.23 goals scored and conceded, whereas Morton, on the road, nets 1.08 and concedes 2.23 against comparable opposition. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.1% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (96.5% with a 6% edge), and Away under 3.5 goals (96.4% with a 5% edge). Both teams have slipped into recent draws, adding to the uncertainty.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Queen's Park win
34.7%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.35
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
William Hil
2.40
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Draw
30.0%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Morton win
35.3%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.81
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.99
Unibet
2.95
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Queen's Park
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.40
1.14
1.29
0.88
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
5.00
-
-
0.50
5.00
vs Similar (26)
1.08
1.12
1.23
1.23
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.67
0.71
0.86
1.00
2.38
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
1.58
0.77
0.92
1.08
2.23
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.31+0.5%
Under 1.5
28.6%
@ 3.19-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.21
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.00-2.4%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.75+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Under
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Betano
1.75
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
23.1%
@ 3.48-3.5%
Under 3.5
76.9%
@ 1.26+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
51.1%
@ 1.76-1.3%
No
48.9%
@ 1.94+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
No
Betfair
2.05
William Hil
1.95
Unibet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.85+6.7%
0-0
10.0%@ 8.70+4.9%
0-1
9.4%@ 8.07+3.9%
1-0
9.2%@ 7.18+3.1%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.67+3.4%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.72+2.8%
0-2
6.6%@ 12.92+3.1%
2-0
6.4%@ 10.73+2.3%
Queen's Park goals ↓
Morton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10.0%
9.4%
6.6%
2.7%
0.8%
1
9.2%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.4%
7.9%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.6%
3.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen's Park goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Queen's Park is 0.10 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.04).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Queen's Park is 0.03 goals worse than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Queen's Park is 0.04 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Queen's Park
For 2.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.5 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Morton
For 5.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Queen's Park
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
6.0
12.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
19.0
20.0
18.0
vs Stronger (3)
12.0
-
12.0
0.7
-
0.7
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (45)
6.0
6.0
-
0.1
0.1
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
50%
100%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.0
0.8
0.7
1.0
22.8
23.6
22.2
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
9.0
11.0
4.3
8.0
2.5
22.7
29.0
19.5
vs Similar (45)
9.8
10.0
9.5
0.6
0.3
0.9
22.9
22.2
23.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
64%
60%
67%
8%
5%
11%
55%
60%
50%
% under line
36%
40%
33%
92%
95%
89%
45%
40%
50%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.82-5.3%
Under 9.5
54.5%
@ 1.88+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Under
Unibet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
50.5%
Under 21.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Queen's Park or Draw
64.7%
Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.36
Edge
-2.9%
35%
30%
35%
covers Queen's Park + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Queen's Park or Morton
70.0%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.29
Edge
-1.5%
35%
30%
35%
covers Queen's Park + Morton
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Morton
65.3%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.52
Edge
+4.5%
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + Morton
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5
Over
70.4%
@ 1.27-2.5%
Under
29.6%
@ 3.40+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Unibet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Queen's Park over/under 1.5
Over
34.3%
@ 2.36-5.0%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.53+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Superbet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Under
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Queen's Park over/under 2.5
Over
12.4%
@ 5.27-5.1%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.12+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Queen's Park over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
@ 9.75-6.1%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Morton over/under 0.5
Over
70.7%
@ 1.34+1.9%
Under
29.3%
@ 2.97-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Morton over/under 1.5
Over
34.8%
@ 2.69+0.5%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.41-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.88
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.72
Unibet
2.70
1xBet
2.68
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Morton over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
@ 6.40-1.7%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Morton over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
@ 11.00-4.9%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Queen's Park, so a minus line means Queen's Park give that many goals of a start and Morton receive them. At -1, Queen's Park must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Queen's Park win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Queen's Park)
Queen's Park -2
5.1%
@ 8.53-5.0%
Draw -2
10.3%
@ 5.82-4.5%
Morton +2
84.6%
@ 1.14+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Queen's Park)
Queen's Park -1
15.4%
@ 4.57-4.0%
Draw -1
19.4%
@ 3.93-3.2%
Morton +1
65.3%
@ 1.53+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.65
Away
Unibet
1.61
10Bet
1.55
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Handicap +1 (Queen's Park)
Queen's Park +1
64.7%
@ 1.36-0.3%
Draw +1
19.6%
@ 4.40-0.5%
Morton -1
15.8%
@ 5.92+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.20
Away
Unibet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.20
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Handicap +2 (Queen's Park)
Queen's Park +2
84.2%
@ 1.10+2.4%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 8.00-0.8%
Morton -2
5.3%
@ 13.00-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.71
0.64
0.31
0.81
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
-
-
0.00
3.50
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.58
0.77
0.69
0.31
0.46
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.50
0.36
0.36
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.50
0.38
0.38
0.69
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.40+1.6%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.72-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.43
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.83
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.6%
@ 2.90-1.3%
Under 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.36+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Betano
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.91
Under
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.8%
@ 7.36-2.7%
Under 2.5
90.2%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Under
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.2%
@ 2.05-2.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.69+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.5%
@ 6.71-2.3%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.20
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 17.50-3.5%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Morton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.3%
@ 2.24+0.1%
Under
58.7%
@ 1.57-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.30
Unibet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Under
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Morton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.2%
@ 7.70-2.8%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Morton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
@ 12.50-5.8%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.43
0.64
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.54
0.46
0.54
0.62
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Morton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
1.17
0.36
0.50
0.38
1.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.38
1.08
0.38
0.54
0.38
1.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.0%
@ 1.24-1.4%
Under 0.5
27.0%
@ 3.60+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.8%
@ 2.18-3.8%
Under 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.62+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Under
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.0%
@ 4.84-4.1%
Under 2.5
85.0%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.9%
@ 1.75-3.9%
Under
51.1%
@ 1.95+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.2%
@ 4.76-4.1%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.15+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 11.50-5.4%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Morton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.1%
@ 1.86-2.5%
Under
52.9%
@ 1.83+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Morton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.1%
@ 5.45-1.8%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.11+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Morton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 14.00-3.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.8%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+6.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 5.5
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+3.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+2.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+2.7%
Under 4.5
89.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Unibet
1.07
+3.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
+2.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
87.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Unibet
1.12
+5.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
+1.7%
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
+4.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+1.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.15
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+4.1%
Away +2 handicap
84.6%
1.14
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+9.5%
Home +2 handicap
84.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.31
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+7.2%
Under 3.5
76.9%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
+3.5%
Under 5.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
73.0%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-1.4%
Over 1.5
71.4%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
+0.5%
Away over 0.5 goals
70.7%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
+1.9%
Home over 0.5 goals
70.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
-2.5%
Home or Away
70.0%
1.29
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Betfair
1.30
-1.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Morton have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stenhousemuir
Partick
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Livingston
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Inverness CT