Queen's Park faces Raith Rovers in the Scotland: Championship on August 8, 2026. Raith Rovers are coming off a draw, while Queen's Park is coming off a defeat. The model's most likely score is 0-0 with a 15.8% probability, but the most likely total number of goals is 2. Queen's Park's home form has seen them score 0.62 goals on average and concede 0.88, while Raith Rovers' away form has seen them score 1 goal and concede 1 against similar opponents. The model's favourite match result is a home win with a 34% probability, ahead of a draw at 34% and an away win at 32%. The expected total number of goals is 1.9. The model's selection is the home win. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 with an 86.9% probability and Over 3.5 cards with a 72.9% probability. Queen's Park has a 34% chance of winning, a 34% chance of drawing, and a 32% chance of losing. Under 3.5 has a 86.9% chance and Over 3.5 cards has a 72.9% chance.
Results analysis
Raith Rovers pulled off a stunning upset against Queen's Park, with a final score of 1-2, securing an away win. This result extends their run of form, which has seen them bounce back from a series of defeats. The pre-match favourite, a home win, did not come through, with the model's selection proving incorrect. The model had predicted a home win with a 34% probability. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was an away win. The suggested picks from the model included an Under 3.5 total, which hit with a probability of 86.9%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.68
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
Unibet
3.95
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.76
Betano
3.75
Draw✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.29
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Unibet
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Raith Rovers win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.93
Edge
-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Dafabet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Queen's Park
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.60
1.31
1.15
1.00
1.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
5.00
-
-
0.50
5.00
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.37
1.31
1.15
1.07
1.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.10
2.07
1.20
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.11
2.14
1.21
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.30-12.7%
Under 1.5
41.1%
@ 3.27+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.46
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
888Sport
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.5%
@ 1.95-17.5%
Under 2.5
69.5%
@ 1.80+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.97
888Sport
1.95
Bet365
1.95
Under
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
888Sport
1.80
Betano
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.1%
@ 3.36-14.5%
Under 3.5
86.9%
@ 1.28+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.54
BetVictor
3.50
Unibet
3.45
888Sport
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.7%
@ 1.78-12.1%
No
60.3%
@ 1.91+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
No
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Betano
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.8%@ 8.74+10.8%
1-1
14.9%@ 6.12+7.7%
1-0
13.0%@ 9.89+8.5%
0-1
12.3%@ 6.50+5.5%
2-0
7.1%@ 18.36+4.7%
2-1
6.7%@ 11.53+2.9%
0-2
6.4%@ 8.63+1.3%
1-2 ✓
6.4%@ 7.84+0.7%
Queen's Park goals ↓
Raith Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
12%
6.4%
2.0%
0.5%
1
13%
15%
6.4%
2.0%
0.5%
2
7.1%
6.7%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.3%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen's Park goals (down), columns = Raith Rovers goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Queen's Park is 0.11 points worse than Raith Rovers in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Queen's Park is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Queen's Park is 0.17 goals worse than Raith Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Queen's Park
For 2.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.5 · Total 19.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Raith Rovers
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Queen's Park
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
6.0
12.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
19.0
20.0
18.0
vs Stronger (3)
12.0
-
12.0
0.7
-
0.7
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (46)
6.0
6.0
-
0.1
0.1
0.0
20.0
20.0
-
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
50%
100%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.1
0.0
0.2
-
-
-
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
-
-
-
0.1
0.0
0.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.5
0.5
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
2%
0%
4%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
98%
100%
96%
-
-
-
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.02
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
Bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.85
0.69
0.29
1.06
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
-
-
0.00
3.50
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.74
0.85
0.69
0.29
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.73
0.60
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.46
0.61
0.71
0.57
0.21
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Queen's Park
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.46
0.46
0.71
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
-
-
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.63
0.46
0.46
0.79
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Raith Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.47
1.33
0.60
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.50
1.43
0.64
0.21
0.36
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
86.9%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
+14.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Queen's Park and Raith Rovers have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Raith Rovers have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Raith Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Raith Rovers have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →