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Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
Queen
Queen's Park
Vs
27%
32%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Queen's Park host Stenhousemuir at Palmerston Park, with the latter coming off a 2-0 win over Morton. The model predicts an away win, which aligns with the 41% probability of Stenhousemuir securing all three points. The expected total goals stand at 2.1, with the most likely outcome being a 2-goal match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring 14.6% of the time.

Queen's Park have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.29 goals per game against stronger opponents, while conceding 0.93 goals. Stenhousemuir, on the other hand, have averaged 1.29 goals and 0.93 goals conceded away to stronger teams.

The model suggests the following selections: Under 3.5 goals (84.4%), which offers a 9% edge, and the Away win (41%). The home win percentage stands at 26%, the draw percentage at 32%, and the away win percentage at 41%.

Results analysis

Queen’s Park’s recent run of three defeats ended as the match finished 0-2 in favour of Stenhousemuir, matching the model’s prediction that the away side would win. The model’s favourite, “Away win,” was correct, with a pre-match probability of 41 %. Every suggested selection hit: “Under 7.5” at 99.9 %, “Under 6.5” at 99.5 %, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 98.8 %, “Home under 3.5 goals” at 98.7 %, “Under 5.5” at 98.1 %, “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 97.8 %, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 96.8 % and “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 96.8 %. Stenhousemuir’s form, on a three-game winning streak, proved decisive, while Queen’s Park’s slump continued. The model’s predictions were spot on.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Queen's Park win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.23
Edge
-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Dafabet
2.29
Draw✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.12
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
Stenhousemuir win✓ Hit
40.9%
Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.09
Edge
+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.19

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D02L11D20W12L31W02L12LH·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07A·ABE18/07H·QUE25/07A·LIV01/08H·RAI08/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.501.291.211.061.75
vs Stronger (2)0.505.00--0.505.00
vs Similar (27)1.221.261.291.211.151.31
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W01L20W21W22D00D11D20W00DH·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.631.650.411.460.92
vs Stronger (29)1.550.661.620.441.460.92
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.34-6.4%
Under 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.99+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.10
888Sport
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.2%
@ 2.09-10.3%
Under 2.5
65.8%
@ 1.68+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Unibet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
@ 3.68-9.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
@ 1.24+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.84
Unibet
3.80
888Sport
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.2%
@ 1.84-7.9%
No
57.8%
@ 1.85+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
No
Betfair
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
BetVictor
1.87
Betano
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 5.70+6.8%
0-0
13.9%@ 7.96+8.4%
0-1
13.5%@ 8.20+8.1%
1-0
10.0%@ 6.57+3.3%
0-2 ✓
8.7%@ 14.25+5.6%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.46+3.6%
2-1
6.0%@ 8.44+0.7%
2-0
5.1%@ 9.78+0.5%
Queen's Park goals ↓
Stenhousemuir goals →
01234
014%13%8.7%3.4%1.0%
110.0%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
25.1%6.0%3.5%1.4%0.4%
31.5%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queen's Park goals (down), columns = Stenhousemuir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Queen's Park is 0.11 points worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Queen's Park is 0.28 goals worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Queen's Park is 0.33 goals worse than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

QueenQueen's Park

For 2.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1204212612H·QUEA·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5

🟨 Cards

30211132H·QUEA·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.5 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

2001191082018H·QUEA·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

1402427713454441047411836987981411211H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

703112512551642313226750764H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.7

⚠️ Fouls

380171477159111713151118101120181718191031142428282921383529H·LIVA·MONH·ALLA·COVH·INVH·HAMA·EASH·KELA·PETA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.06.012.00.10.10.119.020.018.0
vs Stronger (3)12.0-12.00.7-0.718.0-18.0
vs Similar (46)6.06.0-0.10.10.020.020.0-
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line50%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%
% under line50%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.48.73.83.64.127.127.926.3
vs Stronger (49)8.58.48.73.93.74.127.127.926.3
vs Similar (1)---0.00.0----
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%32%44%58%52%65%81%84%78%
% under line62%68%56%42%48%35%19%16%22%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.06-6.7%
Under 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.68+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.0%
Under 3.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.8%
Under 21.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Queen's Park or Draw✗ Miss
59.1%
Avg Implied 70.2% · @ 1.32
Edge
-11.1%
27%
32%
41%
covers Queen's Park + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Queen's Park or Stenhousemuir✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 71.3% · @ 1.30
Edge
-3.8%
27%
32%
41%
covers Queen's Park + Stenhousemuir
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Draw or Stenhousemuir✓ Hit
73.4%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.58
Edge
+14.8%
27%
32%
41%
covers Draw + Stenhousemuir
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
59.2%
@ 1.26-14.1%
Under
40.8%
@ 3.48+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.78
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Superbet
3.40
Queen's Park over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.6%
@ 2.32-17.4%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.55+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
Queen's Park over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 5.17-11.6%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.12+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Queen's Park over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 9.75-8.3%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.03+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.1%
@ 1.41+3.4%
Under
30.9%
@ 2.70-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.75
888Sport
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.8%
@ 2.99+1.9%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.34-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.12
Unibet
3.10
Betano
3.05
BetVictor
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 7.47-0.9%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.06+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.60
888Sport
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 15.67-2.9%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Queen's Park, so a minus line means Queen's Park give that many goals of a start and Stenhousemuir receive them. At -1, Queen's Park must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Queen's Park win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Queen's Park)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park -2
2.5%
@ 9.43-7.0%
Draw -2
7.1%
@ 6.33-7.0%
Stenhousemuir +2
90.4%
@ 1.17+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Unibet
9.00
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Away
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Queen's Park)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park -1
9.6%
@ 4.31-10.9%
Draw -1
17.1%
@ 3.67-7.0%
Stenhousemuir +1
73.4%
@ 1.60+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.10
Draw
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.50
Away
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Handicap +1 (Queen's Park)Actual: Stenhousemuir
Queen's Park +1
59.1%
@ 1.31-8.0%
Draw +1
22.8%
@ 4.50+3.2%
Stenhousemuir -1
18.1%
@ 6.60+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Away
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Handicap +2 (Queen's Park)Actual: Draw
Queen's Park +2
81.9%
@ 1.08-0.2%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 8.00+1.1%
Stenhousemuir -2
6.0%
@ 13.00-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Away
Bet365
13.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L01L00D02L21W00D01LH·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07A·ABE18/07H·QUE25/07A·LIV01/08H·RAI08/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.790.710.311.00
vs Stronger (2)0.003.50--0.003.50
vs Similar (27)0.560.700.790.710.310.69
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W00D00D21W21W00D11D00D00DH·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.270.650.181.080.38
vs Stronger (29)0.860.280.690.191.080.38
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.44+8.6%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 2.62-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.80
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.2%
@ 3.03+3.6%
Under 1.5
65.8%
@ 1.34-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Under
William Hil
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.3%
@ 7.72+0.3%
Under 2.5
87.7%
@ 1.05-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.50
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.2%
@ 2.03-5.4%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.70+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 6.31-6.0%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.08+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 17.38-4.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.5%
@ 2.41+12.1%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.51-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47
Unibet
2.45
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 8.40+2.0%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.04-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L10W20W10W10W02L11DH·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05A·KEL14/07A·ABE18/07H·QUE25/07A·LIV01/08H·RAI08/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.500.500.750.75
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (27)0.670.560.500.500.850.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L20W00D01L00D00D20W00DH·QUE09/05A·ALL13/05H·ALL16/05H·FOR11/07A·BRE18/07A·PAR21/07H·LIV25/07A·RAI01/08H·MOR08/08H·MOT16/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.371.000.240.380.54
vs Stronger (29)0.690.380.940.250.380.54
vs Similar (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
Under 0.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.1%
Under 1.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.2%
Under 2.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.8%
Under
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
57.0%
Under
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
24.1%
Under
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.5%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.7%1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
--+8.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.598.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+4.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.8%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
--+2.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.594.1%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
888Sport
1.06
+6.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals93.8%1.12
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
+11.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals91.4%1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-+6.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap90.4%1.17
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
--+14.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.5%1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+0.9%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.7%1.05
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-0.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
--2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals85.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.584.4%1.24
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+9.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.8%--------
Under 11.5 corners82.4%1.22
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-+7.5%-
Home +2 handicap81.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08
-----0.2%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals78.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals77.4%1.55
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
+17.4%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.8%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals75.9%-------✗ Miss
Draw or Away73.4%1.58
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
+14.8%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap73.4%1.60
Unibet
1.64
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
+18.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals73.3%1.44
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.44
+8.6%✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners73.2%1.40
Unibet
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
+7.8%-
Under 25.5 fouls70.1%--------
Under 5.5 cards70.0%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Queen's Park's squad is €2m more valuable than Stenhousemuir's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Queen's Park and Stenhousemuir have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
QP wins
0
Draws
0
STE wins

Head-to-head

Queen's Park vs Stenhousemuir · H/A from QP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HQP Vs Raith Rovers1-2
01/08/26ALivingston Vs QP2-0
25/07/26HQP Vs Queen of the South3-1
18/07/26AAberdeen Vs QP2-1
14/07/26AKelty Hearts Vs QP0-2
01/05/26APartick Vs QP1-1
25/04/26HQP Vs Dunfermline0-2
18/04/26AMorton Vs QP0-0
14/04/26HQP Vs Raith Rovers0-2
10/04/26HQP Vs Ross County1-0

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HSTE Vs Motherwell0-0
08/08/26HSTE Vs Morton2-0
01/08/26ARaith Rovers Vs STE1-1
25/07/26HSTE Vs Livingston0-0
21/07/26APartick Vs STE2-2
18/07/26ABrechin Vs STE1-2
11/07/26HSTE Vs Forfar2-0
16/05/26HSTE Vs Alloa Athletic0-1
13/05/26AAlloa Athletic Vs STE1-3
09/05/26HSTE Vs Queen of the South1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.12
HomeWLLWL1.35
AwayDDWLL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals2.642.482.78
Over 1.5 %74%70%78%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %26%26%26%
Scored1.101.221.00
Conceded1.541.261.78
BTTS58%57%59%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners9.006.0012.00
Cards2.503.002.00
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.84
HomeLWDWD1.96
AwayDWWDD1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%43%
AVG goals2.162.192.13
Over 1.5 %66%63%70%
Over 2.5 %34%37%30%
Over 3.5 %24%30%17%
Scored1.441.631.22
Conceded0.720.560.91
BTTS42%37%48%
Clean Sheet48%59%35%
Corners8.548.428.67
Cards5.145.055.22

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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