This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.17
1.57
0.93
0.81
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.29
1.21
1.75
0.83
0.83
1.58
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.8%
Under 1.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.71-0.1%
Under 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.43+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.7%
Under 3.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
Racing Ferrol goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.0%
2.0%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.6%
2.2%
0.5%
2
7.5%
7.4%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.8%
2.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing Ferrol goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Racing Ferrol is 1.07 points worse than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.78).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Racing Ferrol is 0.80 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals scored per game (0.52 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Racing Ferrol is 0.52 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Racing Ferrol is 3.9 percentage points worse than Oviedo in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing Ferrol
For 4.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.0 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
8.9
4.2
5.0
3.4
25.9
27.3
24.3
vs Stronger (30)
9.2
8.7
9.9
4.8
5.6
3.6
26.4
28.4
23.9
vs Similar (19)
8.3
9.1
7.6
3.6
3.8
3.5
24.9
25.1
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
44%
39%
68%
80%
56%
75%
80%
70%
% under line
58%
56%
61%
32%
20%
44%
25%
20%
30%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.7
9.8
5.0
5.0
5.0
26.8
26.5
27.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
10.2
10.5
9.8
4.9
4.6
5.3
27.2
27.1
27.3
vs Weaker (13)
10.7
11.3
10.0
5.2
6.2
4.3
25.6
24.8
26.3
% over line
53%
52%
54%
76%
76%
76%
78%
72%
83%
% under line
47%
48%
46%
24%
24%
24%
22%
28%
17%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Deportivo La Coruna
10.4
Oviedo
10.3
Racing Santander
10.1
Cordoba
9.7
Levante
9.7
Almeria
9.7
Burgos
9.7
Eldense
9.7
Albacete
9.5
Castellón
9.4
Eibar
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Sporting Gijon
9.3
Tenerife
9.3
Granada CF
9.2
Mirandes
9.1
Huesca
9.0
FC Cartagena
9.0
Cadiz
8.9
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Malaga
8.8
Elche
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.1
Cadiz
5.8
Elche
5.7
Tenerife
5.6
Malaga
5.5
Zaragoza
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Granada CF
5.2
Cordoba
5.2
Oviedo
5.1
Huesca
5.1
Mirandes
5.0
Almeria
4.7
Albacete
4.7
Eibar
4.6
Eldense
4.6
Burgos
4.6
FC Cartagena
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Levante
4.5
Castellón
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
30.0
Cadiz
29.2
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.8
Elche
28.2
Castellón
27.1
Oviedo
26.9
Granada CF
26.7
Tenerife
26.6
Deportivo La Coruna
26.4
Zaragoza
26.3
Almeria
26.3
Eldense
26.1
Racing Ferrol
25.9
Levante
25.6
Mirandes
25.1
Albacete
24.5
Huesca
24.4
FC Cartagena
24.1
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Eibar
23.0
Burgos
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.0%
Under 9.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.4%
Under 21.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.47
0.21
0.50
0.25
0.44
vs Stronger (16)
0.19
0.44
0.22
0.56
0.14
0.29
vs Similar (13)
0.15
0.54
0.20
0.40
0.12
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.64
0.43
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.67
0.75
0.42
0.33
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.71
0.64
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
0.56
0.56
0.44
0.29
0.71
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
1.00
1.00
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.93
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.54
1.00
0.42
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álvaro Giménez13%
Eneko Jauregi13%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara8%
Nacho Sánchez7%
Bebé6%
Luis Perea6%
Josep Señé5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Christian Borrego3%
Aleksa Puric3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Naldo32%
Aleksa Puric32%
David Castro31%
Erick Cabaco25%
Francisco De La Manzanara25%
Róber21%
Josep Señé20%
Moises Delgado19%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara12%
Christian Borrego11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Nacho Sánchez10%
Aitor Buñuel10%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán10%
Emanuel Insua9%
Eneko Jauregi8%
Julián Delmás6%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez6%
Naim García6%
Brais Martínez5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Alex López0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Bebé0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Raúl Blanco0%
David Carballo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josep Señé7%
Josué Dorrio7%
Heber Pena Picos6%
Naim García6%
Róber4%
Francisco De La Manzanara4%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Aitor Buñuel3%
Naldo3%
Christian Borrego3%
Álvaro Giménez3%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Luis Perea0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Bebé0%
Eneko Jauregi0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Raúl Blanco0%
Brais Martínez0%
Aleksa Puric0%
David Carballo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bebé19%
Álvaro Giménez8%
Raúl Blanco7%
Luis Perea6%
Aleksa Puric5%
Josué Dorrio5%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara4%
Nacho Sánchez3%
Eneko Jauregi3%
Josep Señé2%
Alex López0%
Emanuel Insua0%
Róber0%
Manu Vallejo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Naldo0%
Erick Cabaco0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Yoel Rodríguez0%
Moises Delgado0%
Aitor Buñuel0%
Heber Pena Picos0%
Jesús Ruiz Suárez0%
David Castro0%
Álvaro Sanz Catalán0%
Christian Borrego0%
Brais Martínez0%
Naim García0%
David Carballo0%
Oviedo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alemão27%
Nacho Vidal23%
Ilyas Chaira21%
Santi Cazorla14%
Jaime Seoane10%
Daniel Paraschiv10%
Haissem Hassan9%
Santiago Colombatto9%
Alberto del Moral8%
Oier Luengo Redondo6%
Lucas Ahijado6%
Federico Viñas5%
Álex Suárez5%
Dani Calvo4%
Francisco Portillo4%
Paulino de la Fuente4%
David Costas3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Aarón Escandell0%
César de la Hoz0%
Álvaro Lemos0%
Carlos Pomares Rayo0%
Sebas Moyano0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Abdel Rahim Alhassane0%
Masca0%
Jaime Vázquez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jaime Vázquez40%
Oier Luengo Redondo28%
Kwasi Sibo26%
Ilyas Chaira24%
Santiago Colombatto23%
Nacho Vidal23%
Dani Calvo22%
Álvaro Lemos22%
Federico Viñas21%
Álex Suárez18%
Jaime Seoane17%
Abdel Rahim Alhassane17%
Lucas Ahijado17%
Carlos Dotor17%
Paulino de la Fuente15%
David Costas14%
César de la Hoz13%
Alemão11%
Carlos Pomares Rayo11%
Haissem Hassan9%
Francisco Portillo8%
Sebas Moyano8%
Alberto del Moral8%
Aarón Escandell7%
Daniel Paraschiv3%
Santi Cazorla3%
Masca0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebas Moyano14%
Santi Cazorla11%
Lucas Ahijado11%
Alemão9%
Ilyas Chaira9%
Alberto del Moral8%
Carlos Pomares Rayo7%
Daniel Paraschiv7%
Dani Calvo7%
Haissem Hassan5%
Santiago Colombatto5%
Álex Suárez5%
Francisco Portillo4%
Paulino de la Fuente4%
Jaime Seoane3%
Abdel Rahim Alhassane3%
Oier Luengo Redondo3%
David Costas3%
Kwasi Sibo3%
Nacho Vidal0%
Aarón Escandell0%
César de la Hoz0%
Álvaro Lemos0%
Federico Viñas0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Masca0%
Jaime Vázquez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alemão25%
Ilyas Chaira21%
Federico Viñas11%
Haissem Hassan9%
Santiago Colombatto5%
Nacho Vidal5%
Jaime Seoane3%
Oier Luengo Redondo3%
Santi Cazorla3%
Sebas Moyano3%
Kwasi Sibo0%
Daniel Paraschiv0%
Aarón Escandell0%
César de la Hoz0%
Dani Calvo0%
Álvaro Lemos0%
Carlos Pomares Rayo0%
Francisco Portillo0%
Paulino de la Fuente0%
David Costas0%
Lucas Ahijado0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Álex Suárez0%
Abdel Rahim Alhassane0%
Masca0%
Jaime Vázquez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →