This opponent (Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.80
1.44
0.56
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.87
1.46
0.69
0.70
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.57
1.33
0.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.63+5.9%
Under 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.46-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0 ✓
11.9%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
Racing Ferrol goals ↓
Zaragoza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.0%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.2%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.1%
8.8%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.2%
4.0%
2.0%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing Ferrol goals (down), columns = Zaragoza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Racing Ferrol is 0.19 points better than Zaragoza in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Racing Ferrol is 0.17 goals better than Zaragoza in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Racing Ferrol is 0.24 goals worse than Zaragoza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Racing Ferrol is 1.5 percentage points better than Zaragoza in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing Ferrol
For 5.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zaragoza
For 3.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 13.5 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Ferrol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
8.7
10.5
7.8
3.2
3.5
3.0
23.2
25.5
22.0
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
8.0
9.0
2.5
2.0
2.7
24.0
28.0
22.7
vs Similar (2)
8.5
13.0
4.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
21.5
23.0
20.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
25%
50%
50%
50%
50%
100%
25%
% under line
67%
50%
75%
50%
50%
50%
50%
0%
75%
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
6.8
12.3
0.8
1.0
0.5
24.8
25.8
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (37)
9.6
7.0
13.5
0.6
0.8
0.5
26.4
26.7
26.0
vs Weaker (13)
7.7
6.5
10.0
1.2
1.6
0.7
22.0
24.5
17.0
% over line
50%
20%
100%
12%
15%
8%
62%
60%
67%
% under line
50%
80%
0%
88%
85%
92%
38%
40%
33%
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Huesca
10.3
Espanyol
10.3
Mirandes
10.1
Valladolid
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Amorebieta
9.5
Eibar
9.3
Zaragoza
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Levante
9.2
Racing Santander
9.1
Elche
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Alcorcon
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.7
Tenerife
8.7
Albacete
8.4
Leganes
8.4
Eldense
8.3
Villarreal II
8.3
FC Andorra
7.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
5.9
Espanyol
5.7
Levante
5.6
Zaragoza
5.3
Valladolid
5.3
Oviedo
5.2
Tenerife
5.2
Huesca
5.1
Elche
5.0
FC Cartagena
5.0
Albacete
5.0
Villarreal II
5.0
Mirandes
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.8
Leganes
4.8
Eibar
4.7
Alcorcon
4.5
FC Andorra
4.3
Burgos
4.2
Amorebieta
4.2
Eldense
3.9
Racing Ferrol
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.4
Leganes
29.5
Albacete
29.0
FC Cartagena
28.7
Huesca
27.8
Tenerife
27.7
Oviedo
27.3
Valladolid
27.3
Alcorcon
26.8
Elche
26.6
Espanyol
26.2
Zaragoza
26.2
Levante
26.1
Amorebieta
25.9
FC Andorra
25.7
Mirandes
25.3
Villarreal II
25.3
Eibar
24.9
Eldense
24.7
Burgos
24.6
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Racing Ferrol
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.3%
Under 3.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.2%
Under 21.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing Ferrol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.25
0.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.33
0.69
0.12
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.30
0.77
0.15
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.43
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing Ferrol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.75
0.44
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.57
0.57
0.69
0.54
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.14
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Ferrol) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing Ferrol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Ferrol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Racing Ferrol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nico Serrano29%
Álvaro Giménez24%
Iker Losada21%
Carlos Vicente19%
Josep Señé17%
Álvaro Vadillo12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Sabin Merino8%
Jon Garcia5%
Manu Justo5%
Alex López3%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Nacho Sánchez0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Sergio Cubero0%
Brais Martínez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moises Delgado27%
Álvaro Vadillo25%
Jon Garcia24%
David Castro24%
Óscar Pinchi18%
Jesús Bernal17%
Brais Martínez17%
Sergio Cubero15%
Alex López12%
Álex Martín12%
Heber Pena Picos11%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Josep Señé10%
Enrique Clemente10%
Carlos Vicente10%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Nico Serrano7%
Francisco De La Manzanara7%
Sabin Merino6%
Julián Delmás5%
Manu Justo5%
Ander Cantero2%
Chuca0%
Iker Losada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Heber Pena Picos22%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada14%
Nico Serrano14%
Álvaro Giménez11%
Óscar Pinchi9%
Nacho Sánchez8%
Jon Garcia5%
Jesús Bernal5%
Josep Señé3%
Sergio Cubero3%
David Castro3%
Alex López0%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Sabin Merino0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Enrique Clemente0%
Brais Martínez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nico Serrano29%
Carlos Vicente19%
Iker Losada17%
Álvaro Giménez13%
Heber Pena Picos8%
Alex López6%
Sabin Merino6%
Nacho Sánchez4%
Sergio Cubero3%
Jon Garcia3%
Álvaro Vadillo0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ander Cantero0%
Francisco De La Manzanara0%
Moises Delgado0%
Chuca0%
Josep Señé0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Álex Martín0%
Manu Justo0%
Jesús Bernal0%
Enrique Clemente0%
David Castro0%
Brais Martínez0%
Zaragoza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maikel Mesa27%
Adrián Liso17%
Ivan Azón Monzón14%
Francho Serrano14%
Víctor Mollejo13%
Alejandro Francés8%
Manu Vallejo7%
Sergi Enrich6%
Jaume Grau6%
Santiago Mouriño4%
Fran Gámez3%
Jair Amador3%
Toni Moya3%
Germán Valera3%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Sinan Bakış0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Édgar Badía0%
Cristian Álvarez0%
Carlos Nieto0%
Lluís López0%
Daniel Rebollo0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Andrés Borge Martín0%
Marc Aguado0%
Alberto Vaquero0%
Marcos Cuenca0%
Marcos Luna0%
Lucas Terrer0%
Pau Sans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Víctor Mollejo42%
Santiago Mouriño29%
Akim Zedadka27%
Jair Amador26%
Gaetan Poussin25%
Toni Moya22%
Sinan Bakış21%
Carlos Nieto20%
Marc Aguado20%
Maikel Mesa20%
Quentin Lecoeuche19%
Alejandro Francés17%
Adrián Liso17%
Fran Gámez12%
Jaume Grau11%
Daniel Rebollo11%
Andrés Borge Martín9%
Cristian Álvarez8%
Sergi Enrich6%
Édgar Badía6%
Lluís López6%
Germán Valera5%
Sergio Bermejo5%
Francho Serrano5%
Manu Vallejo3%
Ivan Azón Monzón3%
Alberto Vaquero0%
Marcos Cuenca0%
Marcos Luna0%
Lucas Terrer0%
Pau Sans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Nieto20%
Fran Gámez15%
Toni Moya8%
Manu Vallejo7%
Marc Aguado6%
Lluís López6%
Francho Serrano5%
Víctor Mollejo3%
Jair Amador3%
Jaume Grau3%
Ivan Azón Monzón3%
Alejandro Francés3%
Germán Valera3%
Maikel Mesa2%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Sinan Bakış0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Édgar Badía0%
Cristian Álvarez0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Daniel Rebollo0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Andrés Borge Martín0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Alberto Vaquero0%
Marcos Cuenca0%
Marcos Luna0%
Adrián Liso0%
Lucas Terrer0%
Pau Sans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Azón Monzón22%
Carlos Nieto20%
Adrián Liso17%
Maikel Mesa15%
Víctor Mollejo6%
Sinan Bakış5%
Francho Serrano5%
Manu Vallejo3%
Toni Moya3%
Germán Valera3%
Jaume Grau0%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Quentin Lecoeuche0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Fran Gámez0%
Édgar Badía0%
Cristian Álvarez0%
Lluís López0%
Sergi Enrich0%
Daniel Rebollo0%
Jair Amador0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Andrés Borge Martín0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Marc Aguado0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Alberto Vaquero0%
Marcos Cuenca0%
Marcos Luna0%
Lucas Terrer0%
Pau Sans0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →