This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.13
1.07
1.00
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (18)
0.67
1.39
0.57
1.57
0.73
1.27
vs Similar (12)
1.25
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.85-6.8%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.91+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.6%
1-2 ✓
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
Racing Santander goals ↓
FC Cartagena goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
6.6%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.4%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
9.3%
4.2%
1.2%
0.3%
3
5.4%
4.8%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.1%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Racing Santander goals (down), columns = FC Cartagena goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Levante
1.88
Elche
1.83
Oviedo
1.78
Mirandes
1.78
Racing Santander
1.64
Almeria
1.59
Granada CF
1.55
Huesca
1.52
Eibar
1.38
Albacete
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Cordoba
1.31
Cadiz
1.31
Malaga
1.26
Castellón
1.26
Deportivo La Coruna
1.26
Zaragoza
1.21
Eldense
1.07
Tenerife
0.86
Racing Ferrol
0.71
FC Cartagena
0.55
Racing Santander is 1.09 points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 0.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.68
Levante
1.64
Racing Santander
1.57
Castellón
1.55
Granada CF
1.55
Mirandes
1.48
Elche
1.40
Cordoba
1.40
Huesca
1.38
Sporting Gijon
1.36
Albacete
1.36
Zaragoza
1.33
Deportivo La Coruna
1.33
Oviedo
1.33
Cadiz
1.31
Eibar
1.05
Eldense
1.05
Malaga
1.00
Burgos
0.98
Tenerife
0.83
FC Cartagena
0.79
Racing Ferrol
0.52
Racing Santander is 0.78 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Elche
0.81
Eibar
0.98
Levante
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Malaga
1.10
Burgos
1.14
Huesca
1.17
Cadiz
1.26
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Deportivo La Coruna
1.29
Granada CF
1.29
Tenerife
1.31
Racing Santander
1.32
Almeria
1.32
Albacete
1.36
Castellón
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Eldense
1.50
Cordoba
1.50
Racing Ferrol
1.52
FC Cartagena
1.86
Racing Santander is 0.54 goals better than FC Cartagena in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Elche
62%
Castellón
57%
Cordoba
56%
Deportivo La Coruna
54%
Almeria
53%
Malaga
52%
Racing Santander
52%
Oviedo
52%
Granada CF
51%
Zaragoza
51%
Eibar
50%
Sporting Gijon
50%
Levante
49%
Burgos
49%
Tenerife
48%
Cadiz
48%
Racing Ferrol
48%
Eldense
46%
Mirandes
45%
Huesca
44%
Albacete
43%
FC Cartagena
40%
Racing Santander is 12.0 percentage points better than FC Cartagena in terms of average possession (52% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Racing Santander
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 15.3 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Cartagena
For 3.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Racing Santander
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.7
10.3
5.8
6.1
5.4
28.8
28.7
28.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
10.2
10.2
10.2
5.2
5.2
5.2
28.2
27.2
29.5
vs Weaker (25)
10.8
11.3
10.4
6.4
7.2
5.6
29.2
30.5
28.2
% over line
62%
62%
62%
80%
84%
76%
90%
92%
88%
% under line
38%
38%
38%
20%
16%
24%
10%
8%
12%
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.8
8.8
4.9
4.6
5.1
24.4
25.0
23.8
vs Stronger (29)
9.4
10.0
8.8
5.2
4.9
5.5
24.4
25.0
23.8
vs Similar (21)
9.1
9.5
8.7
4.5
4.3
4.6
24.3
24.9
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
54%
50%
72%
64%
80%
77%
79%
75%
% under line
48%
46%
50%
28%
36%
20%
23%
21%
25%
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Racing Santander
10.3
Oviedo
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.1
Almeria
10.0
Levante
9.8
Sporting Gijon
9.6
Burgos
9.6
Granada CF
9.6
Cordoba
9.5
Eibar
9.4
Tenerife
9.4
Huesca
9.3
Castellón
9.3
Eldense
9.3
FC Cartagena
9.3
Cadiz
9.2
Albacete
9.2
Elche
9.2
Zaragoza
9.2
Mirandes
9.2
Malaga
9.0
Racing Ferrol
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Malaga
5.7
Cadiz
5.6
Sporting Gijon
5.6
Cordoba
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Elche
5.2
Huesca
5.2
Granada CF
5.2
Oviedo
5.1
FC Cartagena
5.0
Zaragoza
5.0
Mirandes
4.9
Levante
4.8
Burgos
4.8
Albacete
4.7
Almeria
4.7
Eibar
4.6
Deportivo La Coruna
4.6
Eldense
4.4
Castellón
4.4
Racing Ferrol
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cordoba
30.7
Cadiz
29.0
Racing Santander
28.9
Malaga
28.6
Deportivo La Coruna
28.3
Castellón
27.1
Granada CF
27.1
Oviedo
27.1
Elche
27.0
Tenerife
26.6
Eldense
26.2
Levante
26.0
Racing Ferrol
25.8
Almeria
25.8
Albacete
25.5
Zaragoza
25.3
Huesca
25.1
FC Cartagena
24.5
Mirandes
24.2
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Burgos
22.7
Eibar
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.8%
Under 3.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.73
0.47
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.67
0.89
0.56
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (15)
0.53
0.27
0.50
0.33
0.56
0.22
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.47
0.53
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.61
0.14
0.71
0.27
0.55
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.67
0.75
0.38
0.00
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Racing Santander
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.80
0.60
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.56
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.78
0.78
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Cartagena) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Cartagena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
0.78
0.43
0.86
0.45
0.73
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.08
0.75
0.12
0.75
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Racing Santander) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Racing Santander over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Racing Santander over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Cartagena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Racing Santander
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andrés Martín39%
Juan Carlos Arana29%
Jon Karrikaburu18%
Pablo Rodríguez16%
Ekain Zenitagoia11%
Marco Sangalli11%
Iñigo Vicente9%
Mario Garcia9%
Javier Castro8%
Clément Michelin6%
Lago Júnior5%
Aritz Aldasoro5%
Suleiman Camara5%
Francisco Montero4%
Maguette Gueye3%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Rober González0%
Saúl García0%
Pol Moreno0%
Manu Hernando0%
Víctor Meseguer0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Unai Vencedor0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Marco Carrascal0%
Jeremy Arévalo0%
Jorge Salinas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maguette Gueye30%
Mario Garcia26%
Aritz Aldasoro26%
Iñigo Vicente26%
Alvaro Mantilla24%
Marco Sangalli22%
Francisco Montero20%
Pablo Rodríguez19%
Clément Michelin18%
Juan Carlos Arana17%
Víctor Meseguer16%
Andrés Martín14%
Saúl García12%
Unai Vencedor12%
Javier Castro10%
Manu Hernando7%
Jon Karrikaburu7%
Rober González6%
Lago Júnior5%
Jokin Ezkieta5%
Suleiman Camara5%
Pol Moreno0%
Ekain Zenitagoia0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Marco Carrascal0%
Jeremy Arévalo0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrés Martín36%
Iñigo Vicente21%
Jon Karrikaburu9%
Pablo Rodríguez8%
Aritz Aldasoro7%
Clément Michelin6%
Marco Sangalli5%
Víctor Meseguer5%
Unai Vencedor5%
Suleiman Camara5%
Saúl García4%
Francisco Montero4%
Maguette Gueye3%
Juan Carlos Arana2%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Rober González0%
Lago Júnior0%
Pol Moreno0%
Ekain Zenitagoia0%
Manu Hernando0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Javier Castro0%
Marco Carrascal0%
Jeremy Arévalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
Jorge Salinas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrés Martín30%
Juan Carlos Arana20%
Jon Karrikaburu14%
Iñigo Vicente5%
Pablo Rodríguez3%
Javier Castro2%
Francisco Montero0%
Jokin Ezkieta0%
Rober González0%
Clément Michelin0%
Lago Júnior0%
Saúl García0%
Marco Sangalli0%
Pol Moreno0%
Ekain Zenitagoia0%
Manu Hernando0%
Víctor Meseguer0%
Alvaro Mantilla0%
Aritz Aldasoro0%
Unai Vencedor0%
Íñigo Sáinz-Maza0%
Suleiman Camara0%
Marco Carrascal0%
Maguette Gueye0%
Jeremy Arévalo0%
Mario Garcia0%
Jorge Salinas0%
FC Cartagena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Millán32%
Luis Muñoz18%
Daniel Luna18%
Nacho Martínez14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Gaston Valles11%
Pocho Román10%
Cedric Teguia9%
Andy Rodríguez8%
José Machín8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Jairo Izquierdo5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Alfredo Ortuño3%
Sergio Guerrero3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Julián Delmás0%
Dani Escriche0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Jesús Hernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Hernández60%
Damián Musto50%
Nacho Martínez36%
Sergio Guerrero32%
José Machín31%
Martín Aguirregabiria28%
Andrija Vukčević26%
Dani Escriche22%
Jorge Moreno20%
Pocho Román19%
Pedro Alcalá19%
Luis Muñoz18%
Assane Ndiaye Dione12%
Salim El Jebari12%
Daniel Luna12%
Andy Rodríguez11%
Kiko Olivas10%
Nikola Šipčić9%
Jairo Izquierdo9%
Julián Delmás7%
Alfredo Ortuño5%
Pablo Cuñat5%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Gaston Valles4%
Hugo González0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Álex Millán0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Martínez21%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Salim El Jebari12%
Luis Muñoz9%
Dani Escriche8%
Rafael Núñez7%
Daniel Luna6%
Óscar Clemente6%
José Antonio Ríos5%
Cedric Teguia5%
Martín Aguirregabiria3%
Andy Rodríguez3%
José Machín0%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
Hugo González0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Álex Millán0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Pocho Román0%
Gaston Valles0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cedric Teguia14%
Gaston Valles11%
Álex Millán11%
Luis Muñoz9%
José Machín8%
Dani Escriche5%
Hugo González5%
Andy Rodríguez3%
Andrija Vukčević0%
Nikola Šipčić0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Alfredo Ortuño0%
Julián Delmás0%
Martín Aguirregabiria0%
Nacho Martínez0%
Kiko Olivas0%
Pedro Alcalá0%
Damián Musto0%
José Antonio Ríos0%
Rafael Núñez0%
Toni Fuidias0%
Óscar Clemente0%
Jorge Moreno0%
Sergio Guerrero0%
Assane Ndiaye Dione0%
Carmelo Sánchez0%
Pablo Cuñat0%
Daniel Luna0%
Salim El Jebari0%
Pocho Román0%
Jesús Hernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →