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RAD vs Loznica Result & Analysis

Date: 22/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
RAD
RAD
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RAD win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Loznica win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RADRAD

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L12L16L11D12L23L01L22D11DA·PRO24/10A·FK 30/10H·JED05/11A·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.751.251.580.921.92
vs Stronger (5)0.803.601.003.000.674.00
vs Similar (19)1.161.261.301.301.001.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W22D12L01L11D11D00D01LA·FK 22/10A·JED29/10H·GRA05/11A·SLO13/11H·RAD20/11A·IND25/02A·RAD05/03H·MET08/03H·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.881.540.831.670.921.42
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.911.610.911.820.921.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
RAD goals ↓
Loznica goals →
01234
08.8%8.2%6.0%2.5%0.8%
18.8%14%7.9%3.3%1.0%
26.7%8.4%5.2%2.2%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RAD goals (down), columns = Loznica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
RAD is 0.30 points worse than Loznica in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
RAD is 0.08 goals worse than Loznica in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
RAD is 0.24 goals worse than Loznica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 1.46).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RADRAD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L13L10W10W22D01L00D00DA·PRO24/10A·FK 30/10H·JED05/11A·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.580.420.500.420.67
vs Stronger (5)0.201.400.001.000.331.67
vs Similar (19)0.470.370.500.400.440.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W01L11D00D10W00D00D00DA·FK 22/10A·JED29/10H·GRA05/11A·SLO13/11H·RAD20/11A·IND25/02A·RAD05/03H·MET08/03H·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.670.500.750.330.58
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.430.700.550.820.330.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RAD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RADRAD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D11D03L01L02L01L00D22D11DA·PRO24/10A·FK 30/10H·JED05/11A·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.170.831.080.501.25
vs Stronger (5)0.602.201.002.000.332.33
vs Similar (19)0.680.890.800.900.560.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoznicaLoznica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D21W01L01L01L11D00D01LA·FK 22/10A·JED29/10H·GRA05/11A·SLO13/11H·RAD20/11A·IND25/02A·RAD05/03H·MET08/03H·MAC12/03A·OFK18/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.880.330.920.580.83
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.480.910.361.000.580.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RAD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
RAD wins
0
Draws
0
LOZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RAD vs Loznica · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/22ALoznica Vs RAD2-5

RADRAD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AMacva Vs RAD1-1
11/03/23HRAD Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica2-2
05/03/23AMetalac GM Vs RAD1-0
01/03/23HRAD Vs Indjija2-3
25/02/23ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs RAD2-1
19/11/22HRAD Vs Sloboda Uzice1-1
12/11/22AGrafičar Vs RAD6-1
05/11/22HRAD Vs Jedinstvo Ub1-2
30/10/22AFK Trayal Vs RAD2-1
24/10/22AProleter Novi SAD Vs RAD2-0

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23AOFK Vršac Vs LOZ1-0
12/03/23HLOZ Vs Macva0-0
08/03/23HLOZ Vs Metalac GM1-1
05/03/23ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs LOZ1-1
25/02/23AIndjija Vs LOZ1-0
20/11/22HLOZ Vs Radnički Novi Beograd1-2
13/11/22ASloboda Uzice Vs LOZ2-2
05/11/22HLOZ Vs Grafičar2-1
29/10/22AJedinstvo Ub Vs LOZ0-0
22/10/22AFK Trayal Vs LOZ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RAD
RAD
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD0.75
HomeWLDLD0.92
AwayLLLLD0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%17%8%
AVG goals2.832.832.83
Over 1.5 %83%92%75%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %25%25%25%
Scored1.081.250.92
Conceded1.751.581.92
BTTS67%75%58%
Clean Sheet17%17%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDL0.92
HomeLWLDD0.83
AwayDDLDL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%17%25%
AVG goals2.422.502.33
Over 1.5 %54%58%50%
Over 2.5 %42%50%33%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored0.880.830.92
Conceded1.541.671.42
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet25%33%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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