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RAD vs Železničar Pančevo Result & Analysis

Date: 08/04/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
RAD
RAD
Vs
31%
32%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RAD win✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RADRAD

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-616L11D12L23L01L22D11D11D10W22DA·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03H·LOZ22/03A·OFK27/03A·IMT01/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.111.671.231.541.001.79
vs Stronger (6)1.003.331.003.001.003.50
vs Similar (21)1.141.191.271.271.001.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %19% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L21W10W61W21W10W01L12L02L50WA·FK 14/11H·JED20/11A·GRA25/02H·SLO01/03A·RAD05/03H·IND12/03A·MET19/03H·RAD23/03A·MAC27/03H·LOZ01/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.590.852.360.860.770.85
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.800.601.001.500.670.00
vs Weaker (22)1.770.912.580.750.801.10
Clean sheet %48% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
RAD goals ↓
Železničar Pančevo goals →
01234
012%11%7.5%2.9%0.8%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
26.0%7.0%4.1%1.6%0.5%
32.1%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RAD goals (down), columns = Železničar Pančevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
RAD is 1.03 points worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.84).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
RAD is 0.70 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
RAD is 0.76 goals worse than Železničar Pančevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.70 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RADRAD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L10W10W22D01L00D00D01L00D02LA·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03H·LOZ22/03A·OFK27/03A·IMT01/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.380.540.360.71
vs Stronger (6)0.171.500.001.000.251.75
vs Similar (21)0.430.380.450.450.400.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W01L00D00D11D00D20WA·FK 14/11H·JED20/11A·GRA25/02H·SLO01/03A·RAD05/03H·IND12/03A·MET19/03H·RAD23/03A·MAC27/03H·LOZ01/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.371.000.360.230.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.001.000.670.00
vs Weaker (22)0.680.361.170.250.100.50
Clean sheet %74% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RAD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RADRAD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L01L00D22D11D10W10W20WA·GRA12/11H·SLO19/11A·RAD25/02H·IND01/03A·MET05/03H·RAD11/03A·MAC18/03H·LOZ22/03A·OFK27/03A·IMT01/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.741.040.851.000.641.07
vs Stronger (6)0.831.831.002.000.751.75
vs Similar (21)0.710.810.820.820.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L11D00D51W20W10W01L01L02L30WA·FK 14/11H·JED20/11A·GRA25/02H·SLO01/03A·RAD05/03H·IND12/03A·MET19/03H·RAD23/03A·MAC27/03H·LOZ01/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.481.360.500.540.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.201.000.500.000.00
vs Weaker (22)1.090.551.420.500.700.60
Clean sheet %59% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RAD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Železničar Pančevo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janko Jevremović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Nikola Đuričić20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Davorin Tošić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamane Amadou Sabo60%
Uroš Tegeltija50%
Nemanja Vidojević20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Kwaku Karikari0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simão Pedro40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Uroš Tegeltija25%
Janko Jevremović20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Nikola Jovanović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Jovanović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Aleksa Kuljanin0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
RAD wins
0
Draws
1
ŽP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

RAD vs Železničar Pančevo · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs RAD4-1

RADRAD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23AIMT Novi Beograd Vs RAD2-2
27/03/23AOFK Vršac Vs RAD0-1
22/03/23HRAD Vs Loznica1-1
18/03/23AMacva Vs RAD1-1
11/03/23HRAD Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica2-2
05/03/23AMetalac GM Vs RAD1-0
01/03/23HRAD Vs Indjija2-3
25/02/23ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs RAD2-1
19/11/22HRAD Vs Sloboda Uzice1-1
12/11/22AGrafičar Vs RAD6-1

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23HŽP Vs Loznica5-0
27/03/23AMacva Vs ŽP2-0
23/03/23HŽP Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica1-2
19/03/23AMetalac GM Vs ŽP1-0
12/03/23HŽP Vs Indjija1-0
05/03/23ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs ŽP1-2
01/03/23HŽP Vs Sloboda Uzice6-1
25/02/23AGrafičar Vs ŽP0-1
20/11/22HŽP Vs Jedinstvo Ub2-1
14/11/22AFK Trayal Vs ŽP1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RAD
RAD
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD0.85
HomeLDLDD0.92
AwayLLDWD0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%15%14%
AVG goals2.782.772.79
Over 1.5 %81%92%71%
Over 2.5 %48%54%43%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.111.231.00
Conceded1.671.541.79
BTTS67%77%57%
Clean Sheet19%15%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.93
HomeWWWLW2.36
AwayLWWLL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%79%38%
AVG goals2.443.211.62
Over 1.5 %56%71%38%
Over 2.5 %44%64%23%
Over 3.5 %30%43%15%
Scored1.592.360.77
Conceded0.850.860.85
BTTS37%50%23%
Clean Sheet48%43%54%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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