Radnicki 1923 is expected to emerge victorious in this match, with a predicted score of 1-1 holding 13.7% probability. The expected total number of goals is 2.6. The home side has a strong record at home, scoring an average of 1.64 goals and conceding 1.0, while the away side, IMT Novi Beograd, has a decent away record, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 1.38 against similar opponents. The model's selection for the match result is a home win, with a 42% probability of Radnicki 1923 winning, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability of IMT Novi Beograd winning. The home win percentage is 42%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 29%. The model also suggests Over 21.5 fouls (91.9%), Over 3.5 cards (77.8%), Over 1.5 (74.2%), and Under 3.5 (73.9%) as its selections.
Results analysis
Radnicki 1923 continued their three-game winning streak, beating IMT Novi Beograd 2-1 to secure the predicted home victory. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, reflecting a 42 % pre-match probability. The match also matched the most likely 2-goal total, with a 26 % chance of a 2-goal scoreline. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Under 6.5 (98.3 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Over 19.5 fouls (96.6 %), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.4 %). The model’s predictions were remarkably accurate.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radnicki 1923 win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.36
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.50
Dafabet
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Betfair
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 28.1% · @ 3.22
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.39
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
IMT Novi Beograd win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 33.6% · @ 2.69
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.10
888Sport
2.90
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Dafabet
2.70
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radnicki 1923
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.07
1.60
1.20
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.20
0.67
2.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.16
0.84
1.83
0.92
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.12
0.75
1.29
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.83
1.09
0.55
1.25
1.08
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.25+1.3%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 3.38-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.42
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.84-2.5%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.86+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.87
Betfair
1.87
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
@ 3.04-4.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
@ 1.31+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.25
888Sport
3.10
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Under
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.4%
@ 1.65-2.2%
No
46.6%
@ 2.06+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.68
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
888Sport
2.10
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.09+6.4%
1-0
9.5%@ 8.28+4.1%
2-1 ✓
8.9%@ 8.88+3.9%
0-0
8.8%@ 9.36+4.0%
2-0
7.7%@ 11.81+3.9%
0-1
7.4%@ 8.90+2.4%
1-2
7.2%@ 9.55+2.5%
2-2
5.1%@ 12.14+1.5%
Radnicki 1923 goals ↓
IMT Novi Beograd goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.4%
5.0%
1.9%
0.6%
1
9.5%
14%
7.2%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.9%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.7%
4.3%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnicki 1923 goals (down), columns = IMT Novi Beograd goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Radnicki 1923 is 0.19 points worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Radnicki 1923 is 0.26 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Radnicki 1923 is 0.43 goals worse than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Radnicki 1923 is 5.9 percentage points better than IMT Novi Beograd in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radnicki 1923
For 5.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 14.9 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IMT Novi Beograd
For 5.0 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 28.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Radnicki 1923
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.7
8.7
5.2
5.6
4.8
29.9
29.6
30.2
vs Stronger (10)
10.5
12.0
9.5
5.2
5.0
5.3
27.6
26.0
28.7
vs Similar (40)
8.9
9.2
8.5
5.2
5.7
4.6
30.5
30.4
30.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
54%
48%
76%
77%
75%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
49%
46%
52%
24%
23%
25%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.3
8.6
4.5
4.1
4.8
29.7
28.6
30.7
vs Stronger (5)
11.0
12.5
10.0
3.8
3.5
4.0
28.0
25.0
30.0
vs Similar (38)
8.1
7.8
8.4
4.3
4.0
4.7
30.0
29.3
30.7
vs Weaker (7)
8.7
8.8
8.7
5.6
4.8
6.7
29.1
27.2
31.7
% over line
26%
28%
24%
60%
56%
64%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
74%
72%
76%
40%
44%
36%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.9
Mladost Lucani
9.6
Zemun
9.6
FK Partizan
9.1
Vojvodina
9.1
Radnicki 1923
9.0
Novi Pazar
8.9
OFK Beograd
8.9
Radnik Surdulica
8.8
Cukaricki
8.8
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zemun
6.2
Macva
5.6
Radnicki 1923
5.5
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.0
Vojvodina
4.9
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
FK Partizan
4.8
Novi Pazar
4.6
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.4
Mladost Lucani
4.3
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnik Surdulica
30.5
Macva
30.4
Radnicki 1923
30.2
IMT Novi Beograd
29.7
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.0
Cukaricki
29.0
Železničar Pančevo
27.6
Novi Pazar
27.2
Vojvodina
26.9
FK Partizan
26.2
Mladost Lucani
25.8
Zemun
25.8
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.4%
@ 2.00-8.7%
Under 9.5
62.6%
@ 1.71+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Under
1xBet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.8%
Under 3.5
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
92.1%
Under 21.5
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radnicki 1923 or Draw✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.39
Edge
+4.5%
42%
29%
29%
covers Radnicki 1923 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Radnicki 1923 or IMT Novi Beograd✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.3%
42%
29%
29%
covers Radnicki 1923 + IMT Novi Beograd
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Draw or IMT Novi Beograd✗ Miss
57.8%
Avg Implied 61.1% · @ 1.51
Edge
-3.2%
42%
29%
29%
covers Draw + IMT Novi Beograd
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.24+2.4%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.48-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.75
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.48
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.9%
@ 2.20+0.3%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.57-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.62
888Sport
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 4.71-2.0%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.14+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
888Sport
4.75
Under
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Radnicki 1923 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 10.56-3.2%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
888Sport
12.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.02
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.5%
@ 1.29-2.4%
Under
31.5%
@ 3.14+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.20
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.44-5.6%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.47+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.59
888Sport
2.50
Betano
2.45
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 5.33-6.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.11+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
888Sport
6.00
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Superbet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 13.00-4.3%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radnicki 1923, so a minus line means Radnicki 1923 give that many goals of a start and IMT Novi Beograd receive them. At -1, Radnicki 1923 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radnicki 1923 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Radnicki 1923)Actual: IMT Novi Beograd
Radnicki 1923 -2
7.9%
@ 8.82-1.9%
Draw -2
13.0%
@ 6.10-1.2%
IMT Novi Beograd +2
79.1%
@ 1.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Radnicki 1923)Actual: Draw
Radnicki 1923 -1
20.9%
@ 4.60+1.5%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 4.10-0.5%
IMT Novi Beograd +1
57.8%
@ 1.51-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
3.80
Away
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Radnicki 1923)Actual: Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923 +1
70.8%
@ 1.38+6.5%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 4.43-3.1%
IMT Novi Beograd -1
12.3%
@ 5.63-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Bet365
5.00
Handicap +2 (Radnicki 1923)Actual: Radnicki 1923
Radnicki 1923 +2
87.7%
@ 1.10+11.1%
Draw +2
8.4%
@ 6.17-5.3%
IMT Novi Beograd -2
3.9%
@ 8.80-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radnicki 1923
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.47
0.93
0.40
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.33
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.40
1.08
0.25
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.43
0.31
0.38
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.43
0.36
0.27
0.33
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.8%
@ 1.35+2.0%
Under 0.5
30.2%
@ 2.84-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.63-0.9%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.40+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 6.17-2.5%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.08+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
1xBet
6.55
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.0%
@ 1.99+0.4%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.73-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 6.05-2.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.09+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.45
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 16.58-3.3%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.5%
@ 2.11-5.4%
Under
61.5%
@ 1.65+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.70-3.1%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 16.50-4.2%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radnicki 1923
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.80
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.33
1.33
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.44
0.75
0.67
0.15
0.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (IMT Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IMT Novi Beograd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.81
0.38
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.39
0.73
0.27
0.92
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.33
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnicki 1923) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.2%
Under 0.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.9%
Under 1.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
Under 2.5
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnicki 1923 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
53.8%
Under
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki 1923 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki 1923 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.9%
Under
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IMT Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
888Sport
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+11.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.1%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.14
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.1%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.25
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
888Sport
1.25
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.1%
1.42
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
-
+9.3%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.3%
1.27
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.8%
1.39
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
William Hil
1.40
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.8%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
10Bet
1.35
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Radnicki 1923
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Uroš Sremčević40%
Issa Bah25%
Slobodan Simović17%
Mohamed Cissé17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Ilija Babić0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Jovan Živković0%
Vanja Tomić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola Marjanović80%
Ilija Babić50%
Vanja Tomić50%
Nemanja Glavčić40%
Miloš Ristić25%
Jovan Ilić25%
Jovan Živković20%
Slobodan Simović17%
Semir Alić17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Uroš Sremčević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bojica Nikčević33%
Nemanja Glavčić20%
Jovan Živković20%
Ilija Babić17%
Slobodan Simović0%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Aleksa Marušić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Mohamed Cissé0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Uroš Sremčević0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Vanja Tomić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa Marušić33%
Uroš Sremčević20%
Slobodan Simović17%
Mohamed Cissé17%
Mićo Kuzmanović0%
Miloš Ristić0%
Nemanja Glavčić0%
Asmir Suljić0%
Issa Bah0%
Bojica Nikčević0%
Ilija Babić0%
Jovan Ilić0%
Semir Alić0%
Luka Lijeskić0%
Nikola Marjanović0%
Jovan Živković0%
Vanja Tomić0%
IMT Novi Beograd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oriyomi Lebi33%
Charly Keita29%
Dušan Zagar17%
Tadija Cojić17%
Stefan Šapić14%
Iván Martos14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Josué Tiendrebeogo14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Luka Luković0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oriyomi Lebi67%
Iván Martos29%
Josué Tiendrebeogo29%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Dušan Zagar17%
Luka Luković14%
Stefan Šapić14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tadija Cojić33%
Vasilije Novičić29%
Nikola Glišić14%
Luka Luković0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Vladimir Radočaj0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Charly Keita0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Dušan Zagar0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Zagar50%
Vladimir Radočaj17%
Luka Luković14%
Charly Keita14%
Nikola Glišić14%
Vasilije Novičić14%
Stefan Šapić0%
Iván Martos0%
Julián Delmás0%
Ognjen Čančarević0%
Ismael Casas0%
Moussa Sissako0%
Josué Tiendrebeogo0%
Oriyomi Lebi0%
Đorđe Radivojević0%
Rafael Batista da Silva Junior0%
Aleksa Mitić0%
Daniel Akrofi0%
Tadija Cojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Radnicki 1923's squad is €3m less valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€9m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Radnicki 1923 and IMT Novi Beograd have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Radnicki 1923's midfield is €2m less valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Radnicki 1923's defence is €2m less valuable than IMT Novi Beograd's (€3m vs €4m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FK Crvena Zvezda
Vojvodina
Mladost Lucani
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS
Zemun