PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica vs Dubočica Result & Analysis

Date: 23/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica win✗ Miss
52.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubočica win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W01L11D11D00D03L11D01L41W10WH·RAD12/05A·JED20/05H·IND27/05A·MLA06/08H·OFK12/08A·MAC19/08H·SLO26/08A·MET03/09H·JED09/09A·RAD17/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.231.931.141.001.31
vs Stronger (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.461.181.931.141.001.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L22D21W21W35L01L11DA·RAD06/08A·IND12/08H·RFK21/08A·GRA27/08H·OFK03/09A·TEK10/09H·KOL16/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.862.002.331.001.50
vs Stronger (2)2.503.003.005.002.001.00
vs Similar (5)1.001.401.501.000.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-33pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals ↓
Dubočica goals →
01234
08.8%6.0%3.4%1.0%0.2%
111%13%5.5%1.7%0.4%
210%9.6%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.6%5.2%2.4%0.8%0.2%
42.3%2.1%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals (down), columns = Dubočica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica and Dubočica are level in average points per game (both 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica is 0.08 goals worse than Dubočica in terms of goals scored per game (0.81 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica is 0.16 goals better than Dubočica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L11D00D00D02L00D00D20W10WH·RAD12/05A·JED20/05H·IND27/05A·MLA06/08H·OFK12/08A·MAC19/08H·SLO26/08A·MET03/09H·JED09/09A·RAD17/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.710.430.500.56
vs Stronger (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Similar (28)0.610.500.710.430.500.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L11D10W12L01L01LA·RAD06/08A·IND12/08H·RFK21/08A·GRA27/08H·OFK03/09A·TEK10/09H·KOL16/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.140.671.330.501.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
vs Similar (5)0.401.200.501.000.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %14% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D11D00D01L11D01L21W00DH·RAD12/05A·JED20/05H·IND27/05A·MLA06/08H·OFK12/08A·MAC19/08H·SLO26/08A·MET03/09H·JED09/09A·RAD17/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.731.210.710.500.75
vs Stronger (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
vs Similar (28)0.860.681.210.710.500.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W11D23L00D10WA·RAD06/08A·IND12/08H·RFK21/08A·GRA27/08H·OFK03/09A·TEK10/09H·KOL16/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.711.331.000.500.50
vs Stronger (2)1.502.002.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (5)0.600.201.000.000.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RSM wins
0
Draws
0
DUB wins

Head-to-head

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica vs Dubočica · H/A from RSM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/23ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs RSM0-1
09/09/23HRSM Vs Jedinstvo Ub4-1
03/09/23AMetalac GM Vs RSM1-0
26/08/23HRSM Vs Sloboda Uzice1-1
19/08/23AMacva Vs RSM3-0
12/08/23HRSM Vs OFK Vršac0-0
06/08/23AMladost Novi Sad Vs RSM1-1
27/05/23HRSM Vs Indjija1-1
20/05/23AJedinstvo Ub Vs RSM1-0
12/05/23HRSM Vs Radnički Novi Beograd5-0

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/23HDUB Vs Kolubara1-1
10/09/23ATekstilac Odžaci Vs DUB1-0
03/09/23HDUB Vs OFK Beograd3-5
27/08/23AGrafičar Vs DUB1-2
21/08/23HDUB Vs RFK Novi Sad2-1
12/08/23AIndjija Vs DUB2-2
06/08/23ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs DUB2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.41
HomeWDDDW1.91
AwayLDLLW0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%50%18%
AVG goals2.162.272.05
Over 1.5 %61%64%59%
Over 2.5 %39%41%36%
Over 3.5 %23%27%18%
Scored1.141.500.77
Conceded1.020.771.27
BTTS45%55%36%
Clean Sheet34%45%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.14
HomeWLD1.33
AwayLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%33%25%
AVG goals3.294.332.50
Over 1.5 %86%100%75%
Over 2.5 %57%67%50%
Over 3.5 %29%33%25%
Scored1.432.001.00
Conceded1.862.331.50
BTTS71%100%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

← all matches