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Radnički Sr. Mitrovica vs Dubočica Result & Analysis

Date: 05/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Vs
43%
34%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica win✗ Miss
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubočica win✓ Hit
22.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W11D00D20W10W11D01L30WA·BOR03/03H·GRA08/03A·OFK12/03A·FK 17/03H·ZEM24/03A·JAV30/03H·IND06/04H·SLO12/04A·FK 23/04H·IND28/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.900.930.670.601.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.770.900.930.670.601.13
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W12L11D21W23L40W10W20W13L12LH·IND02/03A·MLA09/03H·SLO13/03A·FK 17/03H·SLO22/03H·OFK29/03A·SEM06/04H·SLO14/04A·IND23/04H·FK 28/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.601.381.941.071.21
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.003.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.251.571.401.871.081.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%18%027%128%216%37%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.5%
Under 1.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.4%
Under 2.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.1%
Under 3.5
88.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
35.5%
No
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.5%
1-0
16.5%
1-1
14.1%
0-1 ✓
10.4%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.6%
0-2
4.2%
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals ↓
Dubočica goals →
01234
018%10%4.2%1.0%0.2%
117%14%4.6%1.1%0.2%
29.7%7.0%2.5%0.6%0.1%
33.6%2.6%0.9%0.2%0.0%
41.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals (down), columns = Dubočica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica is 0.03 points worse than Dubočica in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica is 0.38 goals worse than Dubočica in terms of goals scored per game (0.78 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica is 0.59 goals better than Dubočica in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.54).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D00D20W10W11D00D20WA·BOR03/03H·GRA08/03A·OFK12/03A·FK 17/03H·ZEM24/03A·JAV30/03H·IND06/04H·SLO12/04A·FK 23/04H·IND28/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.330.600.200.470.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.330.600.200.470.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D12L20W10W10W10W11DH·IND02/03A·MLA09/03H·SLO13/03A·FK 17/03H·SLO22/03H·OFK29/03A·SEM06/04H·SLO14/04A·IND23/04H·FK 28/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.560.690.570.43
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.540.600.670.620.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W00D00D00D00D00D01L10WA·BOR03/03H·GRA08/03A·OFK12/03A·FK 17/03H·ZEM24/03A·JAV30/03H·IND06/04H·SLO12/04A·FK 23/04H·IND28/04
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.570.330.470.130.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.230.570.330.470.130.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubočica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DubočicaDubočica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W12L11D10W11D20W00D10W03L01LH·IND02/03A·MLA09/03H·SLO13/03A·FK 17/03H·SLO22/03H·OFK29/03A·SEM06/04H·SLO14/04A·IND23/04H·FK 28/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.811.250.500.79
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.641.040.801.200.460.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubočica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
RSM wins
3
Draws
1
DUB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica vs Dubočica · H/A from RSM
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24ADubočica Vs RSM2-1
31/08/24HRSM Vs Dubočica0-0
06/03/24ADubočica Vs RSM0-0
23/09/23HRSM Vs Dubočica1-1

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/25HRSM Vs Indjija3-0
23/04/25AFK Trayal Vs RSM1-0
12/04/25HRSM Vs Sloven Ruma1-1
06/04/25HRSM Vs Indjija1-0
30/03/25AJavor Vs RSM0-2
24/03/25HRSM Vs Zemun0-0
17/03/25AFK Vozdovac Vs RSM1-1
12/03/25AOFK Vršac Vs RSM0-1
08/03/25HRSM Vs Grafičar1-1
03/03/25ABorac Cacak Vs RSM1-0

DubočicaDubočica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/04/25HDUB Vs FK Trayal1-2
23/04/25AIndjija Vs DUB3-1
14/04/25HDUB Vs Sloboda Uzice2-0
06/04/25ASemendrija 1924 Vs DUB0-1
29/03/25HDUB Vs OFK Vršac4-0
22/03/25HDUB Vs Sloven Ruma2-3
17/03/25AFK Trayal Vs DUB1-2
13/03/25HDUB Vs Sloboda Uzice1-1
09/03/25AMladost Novi Sad Vs DUB2-1
02/03/25HDUB Vs Indjija3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.22
HomeDDWDW1.64
AwayLWDWL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%44%12%
AVG goals1.641.521.76
Over 1.5 %46%40%52%
Over 2.5 %18%16%20%
Over 3.5 %8%4%12%
Scored0.760.920.60
Conceded0.880.601.16
BTTS30%24%36%
Clean Sheet46%56%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubočica
Dubočica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.00
HomeDLWWL0.92
AwayLLWWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.422.582.25
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %40%46%33%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored0.981.040.92
Conceded1.441.541.33
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
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Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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