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Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Analysis

Date: 03/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Vs
30%
32%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the forecast, as both sides have shown modest scoring and conceding figures. Radnik Bijeljina, at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.17 goals for and 1.5 against, while Borac Banja Luka, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.36 for and 0.91 against. The model favours an away win with a 38% chance, followed closely by a draw at 32% and a home win at 30%. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a low-scoring affair, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.7% probability. The suggested pick is Under 3.5, with an 81.8% chance of hitting. Both teams have recently drawn their last matches, hinting at a cautious approach.

Results analysis

The match saw the away side continue their recent form streak, with Borac Banja Luka coming off a draw to secure a 0-1 victory over Radnik Bijeljina. The model had correctly predicted the away win, assigning it a 38% probability, and the result matched the actual outcome. The single goal scored by the visitors confirmed the model’s pick. In addition, the model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with an 81.8% probability, hit as the final tally was just one goal. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 at 14.7% did not materialise, but the overall forecast was largely accurate, with the favoured result and the key selection both delivered.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnik Bijeljina win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka win✓ Hit
37.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L00D10W22D04L21W01L10W02L12LA·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10A·VEL09/11A·FK 12/11H·ZRI21/11A·SLO28/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.571.570.861.002.19
vs Stronger (12)1.172.251.171.501.173.00
vs Similar (17)1.351.181.880.380.891.89
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W20W20W10W12L22D21W01L21W21WH·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10H·VEL19/10A·ZRI27/10A·KRU29/10H·SLO02/11A·FK 08/11A·SIR23/11H·ZEL29/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.832.570.861.250.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.441.112.001.751.000.60
vs Weaker (21)2.050.712.800.501.360.91
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
0-1 ✓
11.6%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
Radnik Bijeljina goals ↓
Borac Banja Luka goals →
01234
012%12%7.6%3.0%0.9%
110.0%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
25.8%6.9%4.0%1.6%0.5%
32.0%2.4%1.4%0.5%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Bijeljina goals (down), columns = Borac Banja Luka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Radnik Bijeljina is 1.42 points worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Radnik Bijeljina is 1.36 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 2.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.69 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D10W10W02L11D00D10W00D11DA·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10A·VEL09/11A·FK 12/11H·ZRI21/11A·SLO28/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.790.290.501.25
vs Stronger (12)0.581.080.670.500.501.67
vs Similar (17)0.650.650.880.120.441.11
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W00D20W00D11D20W11D01L00D21WH·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10H·VEL19/10A·ZRI27/10A·KRU29/10H·SLO02/11A·FK 08/11A·SIR23/11H·ZEL29/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.401.210.640.690.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.781.001.250.600.40
vs Weaker (21)1.000.241.300.400.730.09
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D12L02L10W01L00D02L01LA·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10A·VEL09/11A·FK 12/11H·ZRI21/11A·SLO28/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.790.570.500.94
vs Stronger (12)0.581.170.501.000.671.33
vs Similar (17)0.710.531.000.250.440.78
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W01L02L10W00D21W00DH·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10H·VEL19/10A·ZRI27/10A·KRU29/10H·SLO02/11A·FK 08/11A·SIR23/11H·ZEL29/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.431.360.210.560.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.331.000.500.400.20
vs Weaker (21)1.050.481.500.100.640.82
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Radnik Bijeljina's squad is €5m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina's attack is €2m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Radnik Bijeljina and Borac Banja Luka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina's defence is €2m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
RB wins
0
Draws
3
BBL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka · H/A from RB
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB5-1
18/05/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
01/03/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
29/09/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB2-0

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/25ASloga Doboj Vs RB2-1
21/11/25HRB Vs Zrinjski0-2
12/11/25AFK Crni Vrh Jaružani Vs RB0-1
09/11/25AVelež Vs RB1-0
31/10/25HRB Vs Rudar Prijedor2-1
26/10/25APosušje Vs RB4-0
18/10/25HRB Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
05/10/25HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
26/09/25HRB Vs Siroki Brijeg0-0
20/09/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB5-1

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HBBL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo2-1
23/11/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL1-2
08/11/25AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL1-0
02/11/25HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj2-1
29/10/25AKruševo Vs BBL2-2
27/10/25AZrinjski Vs BBL2-1
19/10/25HBBL Vs Velež1-0
05/10/25ARudar Prijedor Vs BBL0-2
28/09/25APosušje Vs BBL0-2
20/09/25HBBL Vs Radnik Bijeljina5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.18
HomeDWDWL1.87
AwayLLLWL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%57%15%
AVG goals2.882.703.04
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %30%26%33%
Scored1.321.701.00
Conceded1.561.002.04
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet22%39%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW2.18
HomeWWWWW2.48
AwayWLDLW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %68%80%56%
AVG goals2.482.802.16
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %40%48%32%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.762.201.32
Conceded0.720.600.84
BTTS38%36%40%
Clean Sheet52%56%48%
Corners10.869.2513.00
Cards5.435.006.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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