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Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Vs
17%
33%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the early stages of the match, as Radnik Bijeljina’s home form shows a low average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against stronger opposition. In contrast, Borac Banja Luka, playing away, has averaged 1.83 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker sides, suggesting a sharper attack. The model favours an away win, with a 51% probability, followed by a 33% chance of a draw and 17% for a home victory. The expected total goals hover at 1.8, pointing to a tight, low-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 18.6% chance. The suggested selections are Under 3.5 goals at 88.6% and Under 2.5 goals at 72.2%. Radnik’s recent form, after two straight defeats, and Borac’s two-game winning streak add narrative weight to the prediction. The match is set to be a defensive standoff, with the model’s favourite outcome being an away win.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Radnik Bijeljina’s home form, a run of two straight defeats, failed to lift the team, while Borac Banja Luka, riding a two-game winning streak, could not secure the victory. The final score was 0-0, a draw that left the pre-match favourite - the model’s pick of an away win at 51 % probability - wrong. The model’s other selections proved accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit with an 88.6 % probability, and Under 2.5 goals also hit at 72.2 %. The match ended in a stalemate, with the predicted 2-goal total missed and the model’s expectation of an away win proved incorrect.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnik Bijeljina win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D03L02L12L11D10W01L01L00DH·SIR04/04H·ZRI08/04H·ZEL11/04A·ZRI15/04H·FK 18/04A·POS22/04H·RUD25/04A·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.101.200.930.471.27
vs Stronger (10)0.401.500.501.330.251.75
vs Similar (20)1.050.901.670.670.551.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W20W22D11D31W10W10W10WA·ZEL14/03H·RAD21/03A·POS04/04A·RUD10/04H·VEL18/04A·ZRI22/04H·SLO26/04A·FK 03/05A·SIR10/05H·ZEL16/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.632.360.641.560.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.670.330.751.00
vs Weaker (23)2.170.612.550.731.830.50
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%17%027%128%216%38%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
55.8%
Under 1.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.8%
Under 2.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.4%
Under 3.5
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.1%
No
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
18.6%
0-0 ✓
17.2%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.5%
Radnik Bijeljina goals ↓
Borac Banja Luka goals →
01234
017%19%12%5.0%1.5%
18.4%13%7.3%3.0%0.9%
22.9%3.5%2.2%0.9%0.3%
30.6%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Bijeljina goals (down), columns = Borac Banja Luka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Radnik Bijeljina is 1.42 points worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Radnik Bijeljina is 1.36 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 2.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.69 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L00D11D11D10W01L00D00DH·SIR04/04H·ZRI08/04H·ZEL11/04A·ZRI15/04H·FK 18/04A·POS22/04H·RUD25/04A·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.470.600.400.330.53
vs Stronger (10)0.200.400.330.330.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.600.500.780.440.450.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W10W21W00D20W10W10W00DA·ZEL14/03H·RAD21/03A·POS04/04A·RUD10/04H·VEL18/04A·ZRI22/04H·SLO26/04A·FK 03/05A·SIR10/05H·ZEL16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.271.140.430.880.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.290.290.000.000.500.50
vs Weaker (23)1.220.261.450.551.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L02L01L00D00D00D01L00DH·SIR04/04H·ZRI08/04H·ZEL11/04A·ZRI15/04H·FK 18/04A·POS22/04H·RUD25/04A·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.600.530.130.73
vs Stronger (10)0.201.100.171.000.251.25
vs Similar (20)0.450.400.890.220.090.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W20W10W01L11D11D00D00D10WA·ZEL14/03H·RAD21/03A·POS04/04A·RUD10/04H·VEL18/04A·ZRI22/04H·SLO26/04A·FK 03/05A·SIR10/05H·ZEL16/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.371.210.210.690.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.431.670.330.250.50
vs Weaker (23)0.960.351.090.180.830.50
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.588.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (56)
€11m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (25)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
BBL (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (23)
€5m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
RB wins
0
Draws
5
BBL wins

Head-to-head

Radnik Bijeljina vs Borac Banja Luka · H/A from RB
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB1-0
03/12/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
20/09/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB5-1
18/05/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
01/03/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
29/09/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB2-0

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26ASloga Doboj Vs RB0-0
09/05/26HRB Vs Zrinjski0-1
01/05/26AVelež Vs RB1-0
25/04/26HRB Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0
22/04/26APosušje Vs RB1-1
18/04/26HRB Vs FK Sarajevo1-2
15/04/26AZrinjski Vs RB2-0
11/04/26HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-3
08/04/26HRB Vs Zrinjski0-0
04/04/26HRB Vs Siroki Brijeg2-0

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HBBL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
10/05/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL0-1
03/05/26AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL0-1
26/04/26HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj3-1
22/04/26AZrinjski Vs BBL1-1
18/04/26HBBL Vs Velež2-2
10/04/26ARudar Prijedor Vs BBL0-2
04/04/26APosušje Vs BBL0-3
21/03/26HBBL Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-0
14/03/26AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs BBL0-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.18
HomeDLLWL1.68
AwayLLDLD0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%48%12%
AVG goals2.322.082.56
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %38%40%36%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.081.360.80
Conceded1.240.721.76
BTTS36%28%44%
Clean Sheet34%52%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.32
HomeWWDWW2.56
AwayWWDWW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%84%64%
AVG goals2.523.121.92
Over 1.5 %62%72%52%
Over 2.5 %42%56%28%
Over 3.5 %26%40%12%
Scored1.882.401.36
Conceded0.640.720.56
BTTS36%44%28%
Clean Sheet56%48%64%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5152.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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