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Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo Prediction & Stats

Date: 17/10/2026
Time: 15:00
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Vs
24%
28%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win for FK Sarajevo, with a 52% chance of victory, a 28% draw probability and a 20% home win probability. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.2% chance. Radnik Bijeljina, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded, while FK Sarajevo, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (96.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (94.0%), Away +2 handicap (93.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.7%) and Under 4.5 (89.9%). The recent form shows Radnik struggling with two straight defeats and a 1-2 loss to Siroki Brijeg, while FK Sarajevo comes off a defeat but has won two of its last five matches.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnik Bijeljina win
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L00D00D04L00D15L12L22D11DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.171.131.070.471.27
vs Stronger (14)0.641.431.001.380.171.50
vs Similar (16)0.940.941.290.710.671.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L42W22D32W10W00D10W01L21WA·POS26/04H·BOR03/05A·RUD09/05H·SIR16/05A·VEL21/05H·ZEL25/05H·RAD08/08H·BSK21/08H·ZRI29/08A·SIR02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.771.440.501.211.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.561.330.500.330.67
vs Weaker (21)1.480.861.500.501.451.18
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
Radnik Bijeljina goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
09.1%11%9.2%4.7%1.8%
16.7%13%9.3%4.8%1.8%
24.0%6.2%4.7%2.4%0.9%
31.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Bijeljina goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Čelik
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
BSK Banja Luka
1.22
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.83 points worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Čelik
1.07
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
BSK Banja Luka
0.96
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.75 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
Čelik
1.09
BSK Banja Luka
1.21
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.22 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radnik Bijeljina or Draw
51.9%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Radnik Bijeljina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina or FK Sarajevo
71.9%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Radnik Bijeljina + FK Sarajevo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Sarajevo
76.2%
Avg Implied -
24%
28%
48%
covers Draw + FK Sarajevo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5
Over
63.6%
Under
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Radnik Bijeljina, so a minus line means Radnik Bijeljina give that many goals of a start and FK Sarajevo receive them. At -1, Radnik Bijeljina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radnik Bijeljina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina -2
2.5%
Draw -2
6.5%
FK Sarajevo +2
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina -1
9.1%
Draw -1
14.7%
FK Sarajevo +1
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina +1
51.9%
Draw +1
22.9%
FK Sarajevo -1
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina +2
74.8%
Draw +2
15.0%
FK Sarajevo -2
10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D02L00D12L11D10W00DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.500.600.470.270.53
vs Stronger (14)0.430.500.750.500.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.440.500.430.430.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L01L11D01L10W00D10W00D00DA·POS26/04H·BOR03/05A·RUD09/05H·SIR16/05A·VEL21/05H·ZEL25/05H·RAD08/08H·BSK21/08H·ZRI29/08A·SIR02/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.270.880.190.290.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.221.170.330.330.00
vs Weaker (21)0.480.290.700.100.270.45
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D00D02L00D03L01L12L11DA·VEL01/05H·ZRI09/05A·SLO16/05H·BOR22/05A·SIR25/05A·FK 08/08H·ZRI16/08A·SIR22/08H·BOR30/08A·VEL02/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.530.600.200.73
vs Stronger (14)0.210.930.250.880.171.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.860.290.220.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D41W11D31W00D00D00D01L21WA·POS26/04H·BOR03/05A·RUD09/05H·SIR16/05A·VEL21/05H·ZEL25/05H·RAD08/08H·BSK21/08H·ZRI29/08A·SIR02/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.560.310.930.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.110.330.170.170.000.67
vs Weaker (21)1.000.570.800.401.180.73
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.5%-------
Under 6.598.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.0%-------
Under 5.595.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals91.8%-------
Away +2 handicap90.9%-------
Under 4.588.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals80.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.4%-------
Draw or Away76.2%-------
Away +1 handicap76.2%-------
Under 3.574.9%-------
Home +2 handicap74.8%-------
Over 1.573.3%-------
Home under 1.5 goals73.2%-------
Home or Away71.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
BBL (23)
€2m
Radnik Bijeljina's squad is €5m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
BBL (9)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina and FK Sarajevo have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
BBL (4)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Radnik Bijeljina's midfield is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€0m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
BBL (10)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
RB wins
4
Draws
4
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radnik Bijeljina vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from RB
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AFK Sarajevo Vs RB0-0
18/04/26HRB Vs FK Sarajevo1-2
06/02/26AFK Sarajevo Vs RB2-0
18/10/25HRB Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
03/08/25AFK Sarajevo Vs RB4-4
25/05/25AFK Sarajevo Vs RB1-1
03/12/24HRB Vs FK Sarajevo2-3
30/08/24AFK Sarajevo Vs RB2-0

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AVelež Vs RB1-1
30/08/26HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka2-2
22/08/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs RB2-1
16/08/26HRB Vs Zrinjski1-5
08/08/26AFK Sarajevo Vs RB0-0
25/05/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs RB4-0
22/05/26HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
16/05/26ASloga Doboj Vs RB0-0
09/05/26HRB Vs Zrinjski0-1
01/05/26AVelež Vs RB1-0

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS1-2
29/08/26HFS Vs Zrinjski0-1
21/08/26HFS Vs BSK Banja Luka1-0
08/08/26HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina0-0
25/05/26HFS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
21/05/26AVelež Vs FS2-3
16/05/26HFS Vs Siroki Brijeg2-2
09/05/26ARudar Prijedor Vs FS2-4
03/05/26HFS Vs Borac Banja Luka0-1
26/04/26APosušje Vs FS0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDD1.04
HomeWLDLD1.48
AwayDLDLD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%40%8%
AVG goals2.162.082.24
Over 1.5 %58%52%64%
Over 2.5 %36%40%32%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.901.160.64
Conceded1.260.921.60
BTTS34%28%40%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.74
HomeDWDWL2.04
AwayWWWWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.482.212.73
Over 1.5 %64%54%73%
Over 2.5 %48%38%58%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.401.541.27
Conceded1.080.671.46
BTTS42%33%50%
Clean Sheet42%54%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski515
100%
3.0
133+10
3.2
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.60.6
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.20.8
-
3Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg58
40%
1.6
65+1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.21.0
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3330.80.5
-
5Sloga DobojSloga Doboj45
25%
1.2
12-1
0.8
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.20.5
-
6ČelikČelik54
20%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.2
-
7Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo44
25%
1.0
36-3
2.2
100%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.81.5
-
8VeležVelež54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
100%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.81.8
-
9BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka53
20%
0.6
47-3
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.4
-
10Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina53
0%
0.6
510-5
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.02.0
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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