Defensive solidity is the headline for this encounter, with Radnik Bijeljina averaging 0.71 goals conceded at home and Sloga Doboj conceding 1.22 away. The model favours a Radnik win, assigning a 47% chance, while a draw sits at 33% and a Sloga victory at 21%. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.5% probability. The match is projected to finish 2 goals in total, a 28% chance for that total. Radnik’s home form shows 1.29 goals scored per game against similar opposition, whereas Sloga’s away form yields only 0.56 goals scored. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Under 5.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%) and Home under 3.5 goals (96.6%). Both sides are coming off draws, with Radnik’s last match a 1-1 against Velež and Sloga’s a 0-0 against Celik.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radnik Bijeljina win
46.5%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.33
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.37
Unibet
2.35
1xBet
2.32
Betfair
2.30
Draw
32.9%
Avg Implied 30.8% · @ 2.95
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Dafabet
3.00
Unibet
2.80
Sloga Doboj win
20.6%
Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 2.99
Edge
-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.10
1xBet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.80
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radnik Bijeljina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.17
1.13
1.07
0.47
1.27
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
1.43
1.00
1.38
0.17
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.94
1.29
0.71
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.33
0.71
1.29
0.50
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
2.09
0.00
2.40
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.94
1.11
0.67
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.49-4.4%
Under 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.48+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Unibet
1.46
Under
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Unibet
2.40
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.56-6.3%
Under 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.45+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.63
Unibet
2.43
Under
Betfair
1.47
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.7%
@ 5.25-5.2%
Under 3.5
87.3%
@ 1.14+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Both teams to score
Yes
36.7%
@ 2.08-7.7%
No
63.3%
@ 1.67+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.05
No
1xBet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%@ 5.50+7.8%
0-0
16.1%@ 6.50+8.7%
1-1
13.9%@ 5.00+4.2%
2-0
10.7%@ 8.50+5.0%
0-1
9.2%@ 6.00+1.2%
2-1
7.6%@ 8.50+1.9%
1-2
4.5%@ 9.50-0.6%
3-0
4.3%@ 19.00+1.7%
Radnik Bijeljina goals ↓
Sloga Doboj goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
9.2%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
17%
14%
4.5%
1.1%
0.2%
2
11%
7.6%
2.7%
0.6%
0.1%
3
4.3%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Bijeljina goals (down), columns = Sloga Doboj goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Čelik
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
BSK Banja Luka
1.22
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.03 points better than Sloga Doboj in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Čelik
1.07
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
BSK Banja Luka
0.96
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.17 goals better than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 0.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
Čelik
1.09
BSK Banja Luka
1.21
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.03 goals better than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radnik Bijeljina or Draw
79.4%
Avg Implied 69.8% · @ 1.30
Edge
+9.6%
47%
33%
21%
covers Radnik Bijeljina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Radnik Bijeljina or Sloga Doboj
67.1%
Avg Implied 68.7% · @ 1.32
Edge
-1.7%
47%
33%
21%
covers Radnik Bijeljina + Sloga Doboj
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Unibet
1.29
Draw or Sloga Doboj
53.5%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.47
Edge
-8.0%
47%
33%
21%
covers Draw + Sloga Doboj
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.42
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5
Over
69.9%
@ 1.35+2.3%
Under
30.1%
@ 2.80-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Under
1xBet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.65
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5
Over
33.7%
@ 2.84+1.4%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.36-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5
Over
12.1%
@ 7.00-1.2%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.07+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5
Over
50.8%
@ 1.46-11.7%
Under
49.2%
@ 2.43+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5
Over
15.9%
@ 3.33-11.8%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.27+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Under
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.25
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5
Over
3.5%
@ 9.75-6.1%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Sloga Doboj over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radnik Bijeljina, so a minus line means Radnik Bijeljina give that many goals of a start and Sloga Doboj receive them. At -1, Radnik Bijeljina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radnik Bijeljina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina -2
7.2%
Draw -2
14.0%
Sloga Doboj +2
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina -1
21.3%
@ 4.62+3.1%
Draw -1
25.3%
@ 3.48+1.0%
Sloga Doboj +1
53.5%
@ 1.46-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.25
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.20
Away
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina +1
79.4%
@ 1.29+17.4%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 3.55-8.2%
Sloga Doboj -1
6.2%
@ 5.20-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.29
Draw
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
5.20
Handicap +2 (Radnik Bijeljina)
Radnik Bijeljina +2
93.8%
Draw +2
4.9%
Sloga Doboj -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radnik Bijeljina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.50
0.60
0.47
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.50
0.43
0.43
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.67
0.29
0.71
0.19
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
0.73
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.67
0.44
0.56
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
64.1%
@ 1.49+2.2%
Under 0.5
35.9%
@ 2.43-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Unibet
2.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
28.4%
@ 3.50+2.1%
Under 1.5
71.6%
@ 1.25-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 9.50+0.6%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.04-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Under
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.0%
@ 2.25+1.9%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.57-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 8.00-0.9%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.05+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.05
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.6%
@ 2.50-3.0%
Under
66.4%
@ 1.44+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.44
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radnik Bijeljina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
0.93
0.25
0.88
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.44
0.86
0.29
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.29
0.64
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.36
0.00
1.40
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.33
0.44
0.22
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.9%
Under 0.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.1%
Under 1.5
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
Under 2.5
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.1%
Under
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.5%
1.03
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.5%
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home +2 handicap
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-0.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.9%
1.07
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+1.2%
Under 3.5
87.3%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
-
-
-
+5.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
84.1%
1.27
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
+11.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
79.4%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
-
-
+9.6%
Home +1 handicap
79.4%
1.29
Unibet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+17.4%
Away +2 handicap
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-2.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5
70.1%
1.45
Betfair
1.47
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+6.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
BBL (23)
€2m
Radnik Bijeljina's squad is €1m more valuable than Sloga Doboj's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
BBL (9)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina and Sloga Doboj have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
BBL (4)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Radnik Bijeljina and Sloga Doboj have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
BBL (10)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina and Sloga Doboj have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →
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Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Čelik
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
BSK Banja Luka