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Radnik Bijeljina vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 3-0
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Vs
45%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radnik Bijeljina win✓ Hit
44.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D50W05L10W11D12L11D44D20W01LA·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05A·ZEL27/07A·FK 03/08H·POS10/08A·RUD15/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.531.921.081.351.88
vs Stronger (11)1.272.001.331.501.202.60
vs Similar (18)1.611.332.430.711.091.73
vs Weaker (1)5.000.00--5.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L22D12L30W12L11D31W01LA·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05A·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.471.071.131.20
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.600.800.001.00
vs Similar (18)1.611.392.001.251.301.50
vs Weaker (5)1.400.601.501.001.330.33
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%015%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
Radnik Bijeljina goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
07.7%6.5%4.5%1.8%0.5%
18.9%13%7.0%2.8%0.8%
27.9%9.2%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.1%4.8%2.8%1.1%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radnik Bijeljina goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.44 points worse than Velež in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.25 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Radnik Bijeljina is 0.28 goals worse than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L10W11D12L11D01L20W01LA·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05A·ZEL27/07A·FK 03/08H·POS10/08A·RUD15/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.771.080.460.531.00
vs Stronger (11)0.550.910.670.830.401.00
vs Similar (18)0.830.721.430.140.451.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L12L01L20W12L00D01L00DA·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05A·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.600.470.470.60
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.200.400.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.670.670.880.500.500.80
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.500.500.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W03L00D00D00D00D43W00D00DA·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05A·ZEL27/07A·FK 03/08H·POS10/08A·RUD15/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.850.620.820.88
vs Stronger (11)0.731.090.670.670.801.60
vs Similar (18)0.780.611.000.570.640.64
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D10W11D10W00D11D30W01LA·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05A·BOR10/05H·FK 18/05A·ZEL25/05H·SLO31/05A·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.870.600.670.60
vs Stronger (7)0.290.430.400.400.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.940.721.120.750.800.70
vs Weaker (5)0.800.401.000.500.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Radnik Bijeljina and Velež have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina and Velež have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Radnik Bijeljina and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Radnik Bijeljina and Velež have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
RB wins
0
Draws
3
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radnik Bijeljina vs Velež · H/A from RB
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25AVelež Vs RB3-2
08/02/25AVelež Vs RB2-1
29/11/24AVelež Vs RB2-1
24/08/24HRB Vs Velež4-3

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25ARudar Prijedor Vs RB1-0
10/08/25HRB Vs Posušje2-0
03/08/25AFK Sarajevo Vs RB4-4
27/07/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs RB1-1
31/05/25HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-2
25/05/25AFK Sarajevo Vs RB1-1
18/05/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
10/05/25AZrinjski Vs RB5-0
04/05/25HRB Vs GOŠK Gabela5-0
26/04/25AIgman Konjic Vs RB1-1

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25HVEL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-1
10/08/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs VEL1-3
03/08/25HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
26/07/25ASloga Doboj Vs VEL2-1
31/05/25HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj3-0
25/05/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL2-1
18/05/25HVEL Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
10/05/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL1-0
03/05/25HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
27/04/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs VEL0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.23
HomeWWWLW1.88
AwayLDDDL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%59%18%
AVG goals3.003.003.00
Over 1.5 %82%82%82%
Over 2.5 %49%53%45%
Over 3.5 %31%29%32%
Scored1.461.881.14
Conceded1.541.121.86
BTTS54%59%50%
Clean Sheet18%29%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.38
HomeLDWDL1.60
AwayWLLLW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.702.482.92
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.441.481.40
Conceded1.261.001.52
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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