Radomlje vs Aluminij Result & Analysis

Radomlje’s attacking rhythm and defensive solidity - averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.33 conceded at home against similarly ranked opponents - set the stage for a high-scoring encounter. Aluminij, on the road, matches that pace with 1.89 goals for and 1.56 against, suggesting a clash where both sides will push forward. The model projects a 3.3-goal average, with the most likely total of three goals and a 22% chance of that exact tally. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability, even though the overall win-draw-loss odds favour a Radomlje victory at 38% versus 25% for a draw and 37% for Aluminij. The model’s selection list includes Over 1.5 goals (85.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (84.2%), Over 2.5 cards (78.3%), Under 5.5 cards (76.1%), Over 21.5 fouls (71.7%) and Under 11.5 corners (70.3%). Radomlje’s recent draw against Olimpija Ljubljana and Aluminij’s recent defeat to Koper add fresh narrative layers, but the statistical edge remains with the home side.

Radomlje’s win over Aluminij, 2-1, extended their recent form, coming off a draw, while Aluminij, after a defeat, failed to secure a win. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, and the result matched the predicted 2-1 scoreline. The pre-match probability for a home victory was 38 percent. The model also selected Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.3 percent chance, and that pick hit. All other suggested selections were settled, and the match confirmed the model’s overall accuracy. The final score of 2-1 fulfilled the expected outcome, showing the predictions were largely on target.