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Radomlje vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 0-1
Radomlje
Radomlje
Vs
26%
28%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radomlje win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bravo win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W13L02L03L04L22D10W13L12L00DA·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12A·KOP10/02H·OLI17/02H·ALU20/02A·MUR25/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.371.061.811.000.86
vs Stronger (13)0.771.850.882.250.601.20
vs Similar (17)1.241.001.251.381.220.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D02L20W11D32W31W00D12L00DH·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02H·KOP26/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.231.251.191.211.29
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.151.541.081.231.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.2%
Under 3.5
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.8%
No
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1 ✓
10.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
Radomlje goals ↓
Bravo goals →
01234
08.7%10%8.5%4.2%1.6%
16.9%13%9.2%4.6%1.7%
24.4%6.7%5.0%2.5%0.9%
31.6%2.4%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.4%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Radomlje is 0.47 points worse than Bravo in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Radomlje is 0.25 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Radomlje is 0.25 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

For 5.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1703722455348988332104571049812171151412H·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

702142313221521222554041732H·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.1

⚠️ Fouls

3101516157167101048965161012121412731222320121521222619H·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.18.92.72.33.124.524.624.3
vs Stronger (6)9.89.310.52.82.53.523.823.025.0
vs Similar (44)9.510.38.82.72.33.124.624.924.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line53%61%44%38%31%46%64%50%78%
% under line47%39%56%62%69%54%36%50%22%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.8
Aluminij
9.8
NK Domzale
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Bravo
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
4.9
NK Domzale
4.7
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.6
Mura
4.2
Celje
4.1
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.3
NK Domzale
26.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.1
Maribor
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.8
Mura
24.3
Celje
23.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.8%
Under 9.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.8%
Under 21.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D02L00D12L00D02L01L00DA·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12A·KOP10/02H·OLI17/02H·ALU20/02A·MUR25/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.381.000.570.57
vs Stronger (13)0.310.850.251.000.400.60
vs Similar (17)0.590.760.501.000.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W00D10W20W00D11D00DH·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02H·KOP26/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.500.500.500.640.50
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.000.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.460.620.460.620.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L02L01L04L10W10W11D11D00DA·BRA05/11H·ROG11/11H·OLI25/11A·NK 02/12H·CEL05/12H·MAR11/12A·KOP10/02H·OLI17/02H·ALU20/02A·MUR25/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.690.810.430.29
vs Stronger (13)0.461.000.621.250.200.60
vs Similar (17)0.650.240.750.380.560.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L10W11D22D11D00D01L00DH·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02H·KOP26/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.750.690.570.79
vs Stronger (4)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.690.920.620.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls80.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards77.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners76.0%--------
Over 1.574.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Radomlje's squad is €1m more valuable than Bravo's (€5m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje and Bravo have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Radomlje and Bravo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje and Bravo have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
RAD wins
2
Draws
1
BRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radomlje vs Bravo · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
05/11/23ABravo Vs RAD0-2
27/08/23HRAD Vs Bravo1-2
14/05/23ABravo Vs RAD0-1
12/03/23HRAD Vs Bravo3-1
12/11/22ABravo Vs RAD1-1
05/09/22HRAD Vs Bravo1-1

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/24AMura Vs RAD0-0
20/02/24HRAD Vs Aluminij1-2
17/02/24HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-3
10/02/24AKoper Vs RAD0-1
11/12/23HRAD Vs Maribor2-2
05/12/23HRAD Vs Celje0-4
02/12/23ANK Domzale Vs RAD3-0
25/11/23HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
11/11/23HRAD Vs Rogaška1-3
05/11/23ABravo Vs RAD0-2

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/24HBRA Vs Koper0-0
22/02/24AMaribor Vs BRA2-1
18/02/24HBRA Vs Celje0-0
10/02/24ANK Domzale Vs BRA1-3
10/12/23HBRA Vs Rogaška3-2
07/12/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-1
03/12/23HBRA Vs Mura2-0
26/11/23HBRA Vs Celje0-2
10/11/23AAluminij Vs BRA1-1
05/11/23HBRA Vs Radomlje0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.10
HomeLLDLL0.92
AwayWWLWD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%19%33%
AVG goals2.482.652.29
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %44%50%38%
Over 3.5 %22%35%8%
Scored0.940.920.96
Conceded1.541.731.33
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD1.26
HomeLWWDD1.69
AwayDDDWL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%12%
AVG goals2.402.542.25
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %16%19%12%
Scored1.161.420.88
Conceded1.241.121.38
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet24%35%12%
Corners9.5310.118.94
Cards3.783.394.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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