Radomlje face Bravo in the Slovenia: 1. SNL, with the away side's recent form suggesting they're coming off a draw, having drawn 1-1 against Brinje-Grosuplje. This match is expected to be high-scoring, with an expected total of 3.4 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 10.3%.
Radomlje's home form against similar opponents sees them scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding 2.25. Bravo, on the other hand, have scored an average of 1.67 goals when playing away against similar opponents, while conceding 1.89. The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 52%. The model also suggests the Over 1.5 selection, with a probability of 86.0% and an edge of 7%. The home win probability is 24%, the draw probability is 23%, and the away win probability is 52%. The away win is the model's selection, with the Over 1.5 selection also a consideration.
Results analysis
Radomlje's win extends their run of mixed results, but the true story here is Bravo's turnaround. The 1-2 scoreline confirms the away win, the model's call that was correct. The model's selection, an away win, held a 52% pre-match probability. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model's selection being one of them. Over 1.5 goals hit, as expected, with a 86% pre-match probability. The model's call on the final score, 1-2, was not among the most likely options, which included 1-1, 1-2 and 0-2.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radomlje win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.83
Edge
-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.00
Dafabet
2.95
Unibet
2.95
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.42
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.54
Bravo win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied 41.1% · @ 2.22
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.26
BetVictor
2.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radomlje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.87
1.33
2.13
1.53
1.60
vs Stronger (22)
1.32
2.09
1.00
2.33
1.70
1.80
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.25
2.67
1.33
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
1.67
1.40
1.60
1.53
vs Stronger (11)
1.73
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.56
1.69
1.62
1.38
1.50
2.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
2.00
1.00
2.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
@ 1.17+7.4%
Under 1.5
14.0%
@ 4.29-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.62
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
@ 1.61+8.1%
Under 2.5
34.4%
@ 2.17-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
888Sport
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.6%
@ 2.52+6.8%
Under 3.5
56.4%
@ 1.47-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.60
Pinnacle
2.58
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.2%
@ 1.51+4.2%
No
34.8%
@ 2.36-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
No
BetVictor
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 6.49+3.4%
1-2 ✓
9.5%@ 8.17+4.0%
0-2
7.0%@ 11.78+3.3%
1-3
6.4%@ 14.54+3.3%
2-2
6.4%@ 10.51+2.2%
2-1
6.3%@ 9.50+1.6%
0-1
6.0%@ 9.44+1.3%
0-3
4.8%@ 20.79+2.6%
Radomlje goals ↓
Bravo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
6.0%
7.0%
4.8%
2.4%
1
3.7%
10%
9.5%
6.4%
3.2%
2
3.1%
6.3%
6.4%
4.3%
2.2%
3
1.4%
2.8%
2.9%
1.9%
1.0%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.26
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
Radomlje is 0.50 points worse than Bravo in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.25
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.50
Radomlje is 0.35 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.61
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Radomlje is 0.35 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radomlje
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bravo
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Radomlje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (34)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Bravo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (17)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Celje
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.5%
@ 1.82+0.6%
Under 9.5
48.5%
@ 1.89-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.92
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radomlje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.53
1.13
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (22)
0.50
1.00
0.25
1.33
0.80
0.60
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.25
1.67
0.33
0.60
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bravo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.55
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.38
0.50
1.38
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.0%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
1.30
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
-
+2.5%
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maribor
Celje
Nafta
Mura
Koper
Aluminij
Brinje-Grosuplje
Olimpija Ljubljana