Radomlje vs Celje Result & Analysis

Radomlje enter the match after a draw, while Celje come off a defeat, setting the stage for a clear favourite. The model rates Celje as the most likely winner, assigning a 64% chance of an away win, 23% for a draw and 13% for a home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.6, with the single most probable scoreline being 0-2 for Celje, a 12.8% chance. Radomlje’s home form shows a modest 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against stronger opposition, whereas Celje’s away form is robust, averaging 2.38 scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker sides. The model’s suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 81.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 74.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.3% and Under 3.5 goals at 72.6% (miss).

The match ended 0-4 in favour of Celje, extending their winning run. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 64%. The predicted 0-2 scoreline hit the most likely outcome, but the actual 0-4 result was a larger margin than expected. The Over 1.5 selection, at 75.1%, was hit, while the Under 3.5, at 72.6%, missed. Celje’s away form - scoring 2.38 goals and conceding only 0.5 - proved decisive, whereas Radomlje’s home form, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, struggled. Overall, the model’s call and key selections performed well, though the goal total was higher than anticipated.