Radomlje vs Celje Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Celje holding a 61% chance of triumph, Radomlje 16%, and a draw 24%. The expected goal total sits at 2.8, but the most probable total is two goals, with a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% probability, and this is the only scoreline to mention. Radomlje, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded, while Celje, on the road versus a weaker side, averages 2.33 scored and 0.56 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 80.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.2%, Over 1.5 at 77.8% (hit), and Under 5.5 cards at 73.8%. Radomlje’s home win probability is 16%, the draw probability 24%, and Celje’s away win probability 61%.

The pre-match favourite, Celje, did not come through, as the match finished 1-1 and ended in a draw. Radomlje’s recent form, coming off a draw, and Celje’s recent win both set up a tightly contested fixture. The model had picked an away win with a 61% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection was Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.8% probability, and it hit, as the final tally of two goals matched the model’s expectation. The predicted most likely score of 1-1, at 11.3%, also materialised, underscoring the accuracy of the model’s total-goals assessment.