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Radomlje vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 01/10/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 1-1
Radomlje
Radomlje
Vs
25%
29%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radomlje win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Koper win✗ Miss
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L01L02L20W12L11D31W01L13LH·NK 20/05H·MAR23/07A·KOP29/07H·ALU12/08A·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.330.931.271.001.40
vs Stronger (13)0.622.000.671.830.572.14
vs Similar (17)1.240.821.110.891.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W10W13L30W30W21W11D10W11DH·MUR20/05H·OLI22/07H·RAD29/07H·MUR14/08A·BRA18/08H·ROG26/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.071.251.061.291.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.181.001.000.621.331.33
vs Weaker (13)1.381.151.501.501.200.60
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.2%
No
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.3%
Radomlje goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
011%12%9.2%4.3%1.5%
17.7%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
24.3%6.1%4.3%2.0%0.7%
31.4%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
40.3%0.5%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Radomlje is 0.42 points worse than Koper in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Radomlje is 0.50 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Radomlje is 0.06 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KoperKoper

For 5.5 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

2105624688648543512973321161414129821105A·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLIH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

70233411132311432331145724527545A·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLIH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.8

⚠️ Fouls

3601214201671618149111312141414111312181026362332202528252528A·OLIA·MARH·CELA·NK A·BRAH·MURH·OLIH·MURA·CELH·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (45)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (25)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (47)9.58.410.72.92.53.224.823.426.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)9.78.011.03.52.74.224.823.425.8
vs Weaker (19)9.28.99.81.92.21.724.723.427.0
% over line53%38%69%40%29%52%80%73%87%
% under line47%62%31%60%71%48%20%27%13%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.8
Aluminij
10.1
Celje
9.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.6
Koper
9.5
NK Domzale
9.3
Bravo
9.2
Maribor
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.4
NK Domzale
5.0
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.8
Maribor
4.8
Mura
4.3
Koper
4.2
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
27.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.4
Bravo
26.1
Aluminij
26.0
Maribor
25.8
Mura
25.6
Koper
24.8
Celje
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.5%
Under 9.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
80.0%
Under 21.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L02L20W02L11D31W01L10WH·NK 20/05H·MAR23/07A·KOP29/07H·ALU12/08A·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.470.870.470.73
vs Stronger (13)0.311.080.331.170.291.00
vs Similar (17)0.590.590.560.670.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L10W00D10W01L10W11D01L10W10WA·CEL13/05H·MUR20/05H·OLI22/07H·RAD29/07H·MUR14/08A·BRA18/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.470.470.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.590.530.140.290.900.70
vs Weaker (13)0.690.540.750.620.600.40
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D00D00D10W00D00D00D03LH·NK 20/05H·MAR23/07A·KOP29/07H·ALU12/08A·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.470.400.530.67
vs Stronger (13)0.310.920.330.670.291.14
vs Similar (17)0.650.240.560.220.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L21W00D12L20W10W10W00D01LA·CEL13/05H·MUR20/05H·OLI22/07H·RAD29/07H·MUR14/08A·BRA18/08A·NK 02/09H·CEL17/09A·MAR24/09A·OLI28/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.670.670.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.590.570.430.400.70
vs Weaker (13)0.690.620.750.880.600.20
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls89.8%--------
Over 2.5 cards81.4%--------
Over 21.5 fouls80.0%--------
Under 3.578.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.1%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Radomlje's squad is €3m less valuable than Koper's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje and Koper have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Radomlje's midfield is €1m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje and Koper have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
RAD wins
2
Draws
2
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radomlje vs Koper · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
29/07/23AKoper Vs RAD1-0
22/04/23HRAD Vs Koper1-1
21/02/23AKoper Vs RAD1-2
24/10/22HRAD Vs Koper2-2
13/08/22AKoper Vs RAD5-0

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/23AMaribor Vs RAD3-1
23/09/23ACelje Vs RAD1-0
17/09/23HRAD Vs NK Domzale3-1
03/09/23ARogaška Vs RAD1-1
27/08/23HRAD Vs Bravo1-2
19/08/23AMura Vs RAD0-2
12/08/23HRAD Vs Aluminij0-2
29/07/23AKoper Vs RAD1-0
23/07/23HRAD Vs Maribor0-4
20/05/23HRAD Vs NK Domzale1-0

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs KOP1-1
24/09/23AMaribor Vs KOP0-1
17/09/23HKOP Vs Celje1-1
02/09/23ANK Domzale Vs KOP1-2
26/08/23HKOP Vs Rogaška3-0
18/08/23ABravo Vs KOP0-3
14/08/23HKOP Vs Mura1-3
29/07/23HKOP Vs Radomlje1-0
22/07/23HKOP Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
20/05/23HKOP Vs Mura1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.13
HomeWLLLW1.14
AwayLWDLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%23%30%
AVG goals2.472.272.65
Over 1.5 %78%77%78%
Over 2.5 %44%36%52%
Over 3.5 %20%23%17%
Scored0.960.911.00
Conceded1.511.361.65
BTTS53%50%57%
Clean Sheet20%23%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.55
HomeWWLWD1.42
AwayLWWWD1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%42%48%
AVG goals2.342.382.30
Over 1.5 %68%67%70%
Over 2.5 %43%42%43%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored1.321.331.30
Conceded1.021.041.00
BTTS49%46%52%
Clean Sheet34%29%39%
Corners9.538.3810.69
Cards4.193.754.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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