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Radomlje vs Maribor Result & Analysis

Date: 23/07/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 0-4
Radomlje
Radomlje
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radomlje win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maribor win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D11D20W11D11D21W21W10W10WA·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05H·NK 20/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.530.931.271.001.80
vs Stronger (13)0.852.150.862.000.832.33
vs Similar (17)1.061.061.000.621.111.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W31W02L10W13L31W11D11D11D21WA·GOR01/04H·KOP08/04A·OLI16/04H·NK 22/04A·CEL29/04H·MUR02/05A·TAB14/05H·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.070.972.210.791.941.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.531.071.710.571.381.50
vs Weaker (15)2.600.872.711.002.500.75
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.4%
Under 1.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
Under 2.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
Radomlje goals ↓
Maribor goals →
01234
010.0%10%7.7%3.4%1.1%
18.4%14%8.6%3.8%1.3%
25.4%7.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%
32.0%2.6%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = Maribor goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Radomlje is 1.03 points worse than Maribor in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Radomlje is 1.00 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Radomlje is 0.53 goals worse than Maribor in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MariborMaribor

For 4.9 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

160361027274610335344449129111668880A·BIRH·BIRH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

1103347212221223432111261134347523A·BIRH·BIRH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

36015181191212910812221271012151818121133202419203417273623A·BIRH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELH·NK A·OLIH·KOPA·BRAH·TAB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (46)8.910.17.73.02.93.225.324.226.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.49.27.63.43.53.325.525.525.5
vs Weaker (20)9.811.58.02.62.23.025.223.027.8
% over line35%44%27%37%26%48%74%67%82%
% under line65%56%73%63%74%52%26%33%18%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.7
Aluminij
10.5
Celje
9.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.3
Koper
9.2
Maribor
8.9
Bravo
8.7
NK Domzale
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
6.0
NK Domzale
5.4
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.6
Mura
4.6
Maribor
4.5
Koper
4.2
Celje
4.2
Bravo
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
33.5
NK Domzale
28.2
Bravo
27.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
27.0
Mura
26.5
Maribor
25.3
Celje
24.6
Koper
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
38.9%
Under 9.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.2%
Under 21.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W11D01L10W11D11D01L01L00D00DA·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05H·NK 20/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.400.670.400.80
vs Stronger (13)0.381.150.431.140.331.17
vs Similar (17)0.410.410.380.250.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L00D01L21W00D00D01L01LA·GOR01/04H·KOP08/04A·OLI16/04H·NK 22/04A·CEL29/04H·MUR02/05A·TAB14/05H·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.431.290.361.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.331.140.140.620.50
vs Weaker (15)1.400.531.430.571.380.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W10W00D00D20W20W10W10WA·NK 15/03H·MAR18/03A·CEL01/04H·GOR08/04A·MUR15/04H·KOP22/04A·TAB30/04H·OLI03/05A·BRA14/05H·NK 20/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.530.600.601.00
vs Stronger (13)0.461.000.430.860.501.17
vs Similar (17)0.650.650.620.380.670.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Maribor) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MariborMaribor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W01L10W12L10W11D11D10W20WA·GOR01/04H·KOP08/04A·OLI16/04H·NK 22/04A·CEL29/04H·MUR02/05A·TAB14/05H·BRA20/05H·BIR13/07A·BIR20/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.530.930.430.940.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.730.570.430.751.00
vs Weaker (15)1.200.331.290.431.120.25
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maribor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.3%--------
Over 21.5 fouls84.2%--------
Over 2.5 cards82.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners82.0%--------
Under 3.576.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners72.7%--------
Over 23.5 fouls72.3%--------
Over 1.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Radomlje's squad is €4m less valuable than Maribor's (€5m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje's attack is €3m less valuable than Maribor's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Radomlje and Maribor have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje and Maribor have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
RAD wins
1
Draws
2
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Radomlje vs Maribor · H/A from RAD
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HRAD Vs Maribor1-1
06/12/22AMaribor Vs RAD7-0
18/09/22HRAD Vs Maribor0-5
16/07/22AMaribor Vs RAD0-3

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23HRAD Vs NK Domzale1-0
14/05/23ABravo Vs RAD0-1
03/05/23HRAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
30/04/23ATabor Sežana Vs RAD1-2
22/04/23HRAD Vs Koper1-1
15/04/23AMura Vs RAD1-1
08/04/23HRAD Vs Gorica2-0
01/04/23ACelje Vs RAD1-1
18/03/23HRAD Vs Maribor1-1
15/03/23ANK Domzale Vs RAD1-2

MariborMaribor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/23ABirkirkara Vs MAR1-2
13/07/23HMAR Vs Birkirkara1-1
20/05/23HMAR Vs Bravo1-1
14/05/23ATabor Sežana Vs MAR1-1
02/05/23HMAR Vs Mura3-1
29/04/23ACelje Vs MAR3-1
22/04/23HMAR Vs NK Domzale1-0
16/04/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MAR2-0
08/04/23HMAR Vs Koper3-1
01/04/23AGorica Vs MAR0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.22
HomeDWDWW1.22
AwayWDDWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%33%
AVG goals2.442.062.83
Over 1.5 %78%72%83%
Over 2.5 %44%28%61%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored0.970.891.06
Conceded1.471.171.78
BTTS56%50%61%
Clean Sheet22%28%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Maribor
Maribor
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW1.57
HomeWWWDD1.65
AwayWLLDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%43%43%
AVG goals2.722.702.74
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.631.651.61
Conceded1.091.041.13
BTTS46%43%48%
Clean Sheet33%35%30%
Corners8.9410.067.73
Cards4.524.194.87

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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