Radomlje vs Maribor Result & Analysis

Radomlje face Maribor in a match where the model favours an away win. The odds lean heavily toward the visitors, with a 53% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 21% chance of a home win. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most probable total being two goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.3% probability. Radomlje, playing at home against a stronger side, average 0.71 goals scored and concede 2.0, while Maribor, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.75 goals scored and concede only 0.5. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 85.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.0% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 75.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 74.2%, and Under 11.5 corners at 72.9%. These picks reflect a match likely to see plenty of physicality and a decent goal tally.

The 2-2 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite Maribor, picked by the model with a 53% chance of victory, failed to secure the win. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The match saw the model’s sole suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit, confirming the 78% probability. Radomlje’s recent form, a draw in their last outing, and Maribor’s two-game winning streak both set the stage for a tight contest. The final score of 2-2 produced a draw, contradicting the model’s prediction of an away triumph. The outcome underscores the unpredictability of the league.