Radomlje vs Mura Result & Analysis

The contest between Radomlje and Mura is a knife-edge affair, with the model favouring a home victory at 36%. A draw is next in line at 28%, while the away side’s chances sit at 35%. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most probable total being two goals, a 26% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is a 1-1 stalemate, carrying a 13.4% probability. Radomlje, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Mura, on the road, averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 78.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.8% (hit), Over 8.5 corners at 76.7%, and Under 3.5 goals at 70.9% (hit). The home win percentage is 36%, the draw 28%, and the away win 35%.

Radomlje’s run of draws, wins and losses left them on a shaky footing, yet the pre-match favourite was still the home side with a 36% chance of triumph. The match ended 1-2 in favour of Mura, so the model’s call was wrong. The model had also highlighted a 76.8% chance of Over 1.5 goals, a pick that hit, and a 70.9% chance of Under 3.5 goals, another hit. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 missed, as did the 2-1 and 1-2 possibilities. The final result was an away win, a clear upset that kept the model’s predictions largely off target.