Radomlje vs Mura Result & Analysis

Radomlje are tipped to edge Mura in a 44% favourite home win, a result the model sees as the most likely. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at 13%. Radomlje, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded, while Mura on the road average 1.0 scored and 2.12 conceded. The model’s picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 82.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.7% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 77.5% and Under 5.5 cards at 77.1%. Home win stands at 44%, draw at 27% and away win at 29%. Radomlje’s recent form shows a draw against Olimpija Ljubljana, while Mura come off two straight defeats, losing 0-2 to Bravo.

The updated form story shows Radomlje coming off a draw, while Mura is still after two straight defeats. The model’s favourite, a Home win, was correct as Radomlje triumphed 3-1. The pre-match probability for the home win was 44%. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals with a 77.7% probability, and it hit as the match produced four goals. The model’s prediction of a 3-1 scoreline was not the most likely score, but the overall outcome matched the forecast, confirming the accuracy of the model’s selections.