The model favours an away win, with a 51 % chance for Olimpija Ljubljana, 26 % for a draw and 23 % for Radomlje. The expected total is 2.8 goals, but the most likely single scoreline is 1-1, a 12.6 % probability. Radomlje, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.75 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Olimpija, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.3 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %), Under 6.5 (97.7 %, edge 6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7 %, edge 6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 %, edge 7 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3 %, edge 6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.8 %, edge 6 %), and Under 5.5 (93.9 %, edge 4 %). Radomlje are coming off a defeat to Aluminij, while Olimpija are buoyed by a recent win over Nafta.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Olimpija Ljubljana, did not deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The game was a low-scoring affair, with both sides struggling to break the deadlock despite Olimpija’s higher probability of victory at 51%. The model’s selection of an away win was incorrect, and the final score of 0-0 confirmed a draw. The model’s other picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 95.1%, and Under 5.5 at 93.9%. The match ended in a stalemate, with both teams coming off recent draws.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Radomlje win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.82
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.22
Dafabet
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.85
Draw✓ Hit
26.4%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Olimpija Ljubljana win✗ Miss
51.2%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.84
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.92
Dafabet
1.88
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.86
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Radomlje
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.80
1.27
1.93
1.73
1.67
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.08
0.86
2.00
1.50
2.17
vs Similar (17)
1.76
1.59
1.62
1.88
1.89
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.00
1.50
0.94
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.33
1.33
1.22
0.78
1.44
vs Weaker (12)
1.50
0.50
1.71
0.57
1.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.2%
@ 1.24+2.6%
Under 1.5
22.8%
@ 3.62-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.88
Unibet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.81+0.3%
Under 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.92-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.83
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.82
Under
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
SBO
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
@ 3.00-1.1%
Under 3.5
70.3%
@ 1.33+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.16
10Bet
3.00
Under
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.4%
@ 1.70+0.3%
No
45.6%
@ 2.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
No
Unibet
2.10
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.15+5.5%
0-1
9.7%@ 6.88+3.4%
1-2
9.7%@ 7.55+3.9%
0-2
9.2%@ 8.39+4.0%
0-0 ✓
7.5%@ 9.44+2.9%
2-1
6.0%@ 11.67+2.3%
1-0
5.6%@ 10.71+1.5%
1-3
5.5%@ 13.08+2.1%
Radomlje goals ↓
Olimpija Ljubljana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
9.7%
9.2%
5.2%
2.2%
1
5.6%
13%
9.7%
5.5%
2.3%
2
3.6%
6.0%
5.1%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.3%
2.1%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Radomlje goals (down), columns = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Radomlje is 0.31 points worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Radomlje is 0.74 goals better than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Radomlje is 0.95 goals worse than Olimpija Ljubljana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Radomlje
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Olimpija Ljubljana
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Radomlje
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (21)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (18)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.4
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.9
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.3%
@ 2.06+6.2%
Under 9.5
48.7%
@ 1.69-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.03
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.58
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.8%
Under 21.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Radomlje or Draw✓ Hit
48.8%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.84
Edge
-1.0%
22%
26%
51%
covers Radomlje + Draw
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Radomlje or Olimpija Ljubljana✗ Miss
73.6%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.24
Edge
-0.1%
22%
26%
51%
covers Radomlje + Olimpija Ljubljana
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Olimpija Ljubljana✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
+1.1%
22%
26%
51%
covers Draw + Olimpija Ljubljana
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Radomlje over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.2%
@ 1.42+0.1%
Under
34.8%
@ 2.65-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.83
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Radomlje over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.5%
@ 3.09-1.5%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.32+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Radomlje over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.54-3.1%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50
Betano
6.90
Superbet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Radomlje over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 13.38-4.8%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.6%
@ 1.17+2.6%
Under
18.4%
@ 4.40-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
BetVictor
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.5%
@ 1.84+0.2%
Under
49.5%
@ 1.86-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
BetVictor
1.90
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
1xBet
1.96
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.1%
@ 3.68-1.0%
Under
75.9%
@ 1.23+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.86
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 7.23-3.6%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.07+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.30
1xBet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Radomlje, so a minus line means Radomlje give that many goals of a start and Olimpija Ljubljana receive them. At -1, Radomlje must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Radomlje win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Radomlje)Actual: Olimpija Ljubljana
Radomlje -2
2.5%
@ 23.00-1.6%
Draw -2
6.2%
@ 13.00-1.0%
Olimpija Ljubljana +2
91.3%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
23.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap -1 (Radomlje)Actual: Olimpija Ljubljana
Radomlje -1
8.7%
@ 8.25-1.9%
Draw -1
13.7%
@ 5.55-2.0%
Olimpija Ljubljana +1
77.5%
@ 1.19+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap +1 (Radomlje)Actual: Radomlje
Radomlje +1
48.8%
@ 1.81+1.0%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 3.53-1.8%
Olimpija Ljubljana -1
28.4%
@ 3.14+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.10
Away
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Bet365
3.10
Unibet
2.75
Handicap +2 (Radomlje)Actual: Radomlje
Radomlje +2
71.6%
@ 1.29+2.6%
Draw +2
16.0%
@ 5.25-0.9%
Olimpija Ljubljana -2
12.4%
@ 6.33-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Radomlje
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.60
1.07
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.43
1.14
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.59
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.69
0.19
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.50
0.56
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.17
0.86
0.00
0.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.35-0.1%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 2.94+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.19
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.6%
@ 2.59-5.0%
Under 1.5
69.4%
@ 1.43+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Betano
2.72
Marathonbet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 6.08-4.0%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.09+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.10
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
38.7%
@ 2.42+0.5%
Under
61.3%
@ 1.50-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 8.35-1.8%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.03+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.20
1xBet
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
46.9%
@ 1.76-5.7%
Under
53.1%
@ 1.96+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.88
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 4.70-5.0%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.15+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
Betano
4.70
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.38-4.8%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Radomlje
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.03
0.67
0.87
0.93
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.08
0.43
0.86
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.88
1.00
0.88
0.88
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Olimpija Ljubljana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.81
0.75
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.83
0.78
0.89
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.33
0.86
0.57
0.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.22+1.1%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 3.88-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
10Bet
3.80
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.1%
@ 2.03-2.4%
Under 1.5
56.9%
@ 1.70+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 4.18-5.0%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.18+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.50
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.0%
@ 2.01+0.1%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.71-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 6.20-2.6%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.08+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.45
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 16.75-3.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
54.7%
@ 1.54-5.3%
Under
45.3%
@ 2.31+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.4%
@ 3.51-3.9%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.25+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 8.83-5.6%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
91.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.8%
1.08
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.6%
1.10
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.0%
1.18
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
81.6%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.15
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.6%
1.25
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.5%
1.20
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.5%
1.19
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
77.2%
1.24
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
75.9%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.6%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.2%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-2.4%
-
Home +2 handicap
71.6%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.5%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.3%
1.33
Unibet
1.38
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
+1.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olimpija Ljubljana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
Agustín Doffo14%
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Matevž Vidovšek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino Kojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Agustín Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Álex Blanco0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino Kojić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Antonio Marin0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Radomlje's squad is €6m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€5m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Radomlje's attack is €4m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€2m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Radomlje and Olimpija Ljubljana have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Radomlje's defence is €2m less valuable than Olimpija Ljubljana's (€2m vs €5m).
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maribor
Koper
Celje
Bravo
Aluminij
Brinje-Grosuplje
Nafta
Mura