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Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Raith Rovers are looking to build on their recent momentum after coming off a win against Queen's Park, having won their last game 2-1. However, Ayr United have shown resilience in their recent form, drawing against Dunfermline in their last match.

Raith Rovers have a slight edge at home, with a 49% chance of winning, while Ayr United have a 25% chance of taking the three points. The draw is the least likely outcome at 26%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals.

The model's most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.5%. Raith Rovers have been scoring an average of 1.58 goals at home, while conceding 1.42. Ayr United have been scoring 1.08 goals away from home, while conceding 1.38.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a probability of 78.8%, indicating a significant edge of 9%. This selection is the most likely among the model's picks, which also include the Home win at 49% and the Draw at 26%.

Results analysis

Raith Rovers extended their two-game winning run at home, beating Ayr United 2-0 and confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would triumph. The model had named a home win as the favourite with a 49 % probability, and it proved correct. The final score matched the most likely 2-0 outcome, and the total of two goals fell well below the expected 2.8, validating the model’s high confidence in low-scoring fixtures. Every suggested selection was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5 %), Under 6.5 (97.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.7 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.6 %), and Under 5.5 (93.1 %). The model’s choices all delivered.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rovers win✓ Hit
48.7%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.92
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.00
Dafabet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
SBO
1.96
Betano
1.95
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.27
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.32
1xBet
3.32
Ayr Utd win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.72
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.06
Unibet
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
1xBet
3.79
Dafabet
3.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L02L32W31W00D11D10W11D21WA·QUE14/04A·ARB18/04A·ST 24/04H·ROS01/05H·ELG11/07A·KIL14/07A·HAM18/07H·PET21/07H·STE01/08A·QUE08/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.072.071.200.470.93
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)1.321.072.141.210.500.93
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L01L32W10W20W41W20W11D23LA·ROS18/04A·AIR25/04H·ST 01/05A·STR11/07A·FAL14/07H·EDI18/07H·ALL25/07H·ARB01/08A·DUN08/08A·KIL14/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.271.001.201.67
vs Stronger (1)3.000.003.000.00--
vs Similar (27)1.071.411.081.151.071.64
vs Weaker (2)2.501.002.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
@ 1.34+9.5%
Under 1.5
21.2%
@ 3.02-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.18
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.2%
@ 2.07+9.1%
Under 2.5
45.8%
@ 1.70-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
@ 3.67+6.6%
Under 3.5
68.2%
@ 1.24-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
Bet365
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
@ 1.86+7.5%
No
43.0%
@ 1.83-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
No
Betfair
1.90
888Sport
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.84
BetVictor
1.83

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.09+5.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 8.02+4.1%
1-0
8.7%@ 6.15+1.5%
2-0 ✓
8.3%@ 8.38+3.0%
0-0
6.9%@ 8.13+1.5%
1-2
6.6%@ 11.75+2.8%
0-1
5.6%@ 9.11+0.7%
2-2
5.5%@ 14.56+2.5%
Raith Rovers goals ↓
Ayr Utd goals →
01234
06.9%5.6%3.9%1.5%0.4%
18.7%12%6.6%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.6%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.7%5.4%3.1%1.2%0.3%
42.0%2.3%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rovers goals (down), columns = Ayr Utd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Raith Rovers is 0.17 points better than Ayr Utd in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Raith Rovers is 0.14 goals better than Ayr Utd in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Raith Rovers is 0.14 goals better than Ayr Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1005510H·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 1.0

🟨 Cards

1011H·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.0

⚠️ Fouls

22013922H·ALL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (47)---0.10.00.2---
vs Weaker (2)---0.50.5----
% over line---2%0%4%---
% under line---98%100%96%---
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.0-0.20.10.322.022.0-
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (45)10.010.0-0.20.10.322.022.0-
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%100%-2%0%4%100%100%-
% under line0%0%-98%100%96%0%0%-
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
@ 1.80-2.4%
Under 9.5
51.2%
@ 1.89+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.0%
Under 3.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
51.0%
Under 21.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Raith Rovers or Draw✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.23
Edge
-0.3%
49%
26%
25%
covers Raith Rovers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Raith Rovers or Ayr Utd✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.0%
49%
26%
25%
covers Raith Rovers + Ayr Utd
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Ayr Utd✗ Miss
51.3%
Avg Implied 51.9% · @ 1.78
Edge
-0.6%
49%
26%
25%
covers Draw + Ayr Utd
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.6%
@ 1.22+5.7%
Under
18.4%
@ 3.83-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.33
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
50.4%
@ 2.09+6.0%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.67-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Superbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.0%
@ 4.47+3.3%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.17-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Raith Rovers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 10.06-0.2%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.75
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.5%
@ 1.49+6.5%
Under
31.5%
@ 2.44-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.52
888Sport
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.45
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 3.42+5.1%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.27-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.67
BetVictor
3.60
Unibet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 8.59+0.3%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
8.70
Marathonbet
8.70
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Ayr Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 13.75-3.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Raith Rovers, so a minus line means Raith Rovers give that many goals of a start and Ayr Utd receive them. At -1, Raith Rovers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Raith Rovers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Raith Rovers)Actual: Draw
Raith Rovers -2
11.6%
@ 7.03-1.0%
Draw -2
15.2%
@ 5.25-1.7%
Ayr Utd +2
73.2%
@ 1.26+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (Raith Rovers)Actual: Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers -1
26.8%
@ 3.48+1.4%
Draw -1
22.0%
@ 3.48-3.4%
Ayr Utd +1
51.3%
@ 1.79+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.30
Away
Unibet
1.87
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Betfair
1.73
Handicap +1 (Raith Rovers)Actual: Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers +1
75.1%
@ 1.22+2.5%
Draw +1
14.7%
@ 5.20-2.3%
Ayr Utd -1
10.3%
@ 8.40-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Away
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Bet365
8.00
Handicap +2 (Raith Rovers)Actual: Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers +2
89.7%
@ 1.06+1.6%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 12.00-0.7%
Ayr Utd -2
3.2%
@ 23.00-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
23.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L01L20W00D11D10W11D10WA·QUE14/04A·ARB18/04A·ST 24/04H·ROS01/05H·ELG11/07A·KIL14/07A·HAM18/07H·PET21/07H·STE01/08A·QUE08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.730.600.200.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.570.710.570.210.57
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L01L10W00D30W10W11D11DA·ROS18/04A·AIR25/04H·ST 01/05A·STR11/07A·FAL14/07H·EDI18/07H·ALL25/07H·ARB01/08A·DUN08/08A·KIL14/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.670.270.800.67
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.740.480.620.310.860.64
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.41+5.2%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 2.69-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.83
10Bet
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.9%
@ 2.96+3.5%
Under 1.5
65.1%
@ 1.35-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Pinnacle
3.15
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Under
10Bet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.8%
@ 7.44+1.4%
Under 2.5
86.2%
@ 1.06-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Superbet
7.20
Betano
7.10
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.3%
@ 1.89+0.4%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.81-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Unibet
1.84
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.6%
@ 5.49+0.8%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.11-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
5.60
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 14.25-3.4%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 2.57+0.3%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.45-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.72
Betano
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.6%
@ 8.94-1.7%
Under
91.4%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D31W11D00D00D00D00D11DA·QUE14/04A·ARB18/04A·ST 24/04H·ROS01/05H·ELG11/07A·KIL14/07A·HAM18/07H·PET21/07H·STE01/08A·QUE08/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.471.330.600.270.33
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.860.501.430.640.290.36
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D31W00D20W11D10W00D12LA·ROS18/04A·AIR25/04H·ST 01/05A·STR11/07A·FAL14/07H·EDI18/07H·ALL25/07H·ARB01/08A·DUN08/08A·KIL14/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.600.730.401.00
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.330.930.460.850.211.00
vs Weaker (2)2.500.502.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.2%
Under 0.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.4%
Under 1.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
Under 2.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
59.8%
Under
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
24.2%
Under
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.0%1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
---+3.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.1%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-0.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals91.4%1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-+1.7%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals90.8%1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.03
-+0.2%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.7%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+1.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals88.9%1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-0.3%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals87.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.2%1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-1.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.584.0%1.07
Betano
1.09
888Sport
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
-3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.4%1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
--0.8%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals81.6%1.22
Marathonbet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+5.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.7%--------
Under 25.5 fouls79.1%--------
Over 1.578.8%1.34
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
+9.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals77.2%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals76.0%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-3.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals75.8%-------✓ Hit
Home or Draw75.1%1.23
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
-0.3%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap75.1%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
-+2.5%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.4%1.33
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+5.3%-
Home or Away73.7%1.27
888Sport
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+1.0%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap73.2%1.26
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.23
--+2.8%✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards73.0%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals70.7%1.41
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.43
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
+5.2%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Raith Rovers and Ayr Utd have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
RR wins
0
Draws
4
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rovers vs Ayr Utd · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/26HRR Vs Ayr Utd3-0
31/01/26AAyr Utd Vs RR2-1
11/10/25HRR Vs Ayr Utd0-2
09/08/25AAyr Utd Vs RR0-1
05/04/25HRR Vs Ayr Utd1-0
04/01/25AAyr Utd Vs RR3-0
01/11/24HRR Vs Ayr Utd2-0
24/08/24AAyr Utd Vs RR2-0

Raith RoversRaith Rovers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AQueen's Park Vs RR1-2
01/08/26HRR Vs Stenhousemuir1-1
21/07/26HRR Vs Peterhead1-0
18/07/26AHamilton Academical Vs RR1-1
14/07/26AKilmarnock Vs RR0-0
11/07/26HRR Vs Elgin3-1
01/05/26HRR Vs Ross County3-2
24/04/26AST Johnstone Vs RR2-0
18/04/26AArbroath Vs RR2-1
14/04/26AQueen's Park Vs RR0-2

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AKilmarnock Vs AU3-2
08/08/26ADunfermline Vs AU1-1
01/08/26HAU Vs Arbroath2-0
25/07/26HAU Vs Alloa Athletic4-1
18/07/26HAU Vs Edinburgh City2-0
14/07/26AFalkirk Vs AU0-1
11/07/26AStranraer Vs AU2-3
01/05/26HAU Vs ST Johnstone0-1
25/04/26AAirdrie United Vs AU2-1
18/04/26ARoss County Vs AU2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.40
HomeWWWWD1.76
AwayLLDDW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals2.583.122.04
Over 1.5 %74%88%60%
Over 2.5 %44%52%36%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.421.920.92
Conceded1.161.201.12
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet36%32%40%
Corners---
Cards3.001.005.00
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.34
HomeWLWWW1.54
AwayLWWDL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.622.422.81
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.401.461.35
Conceded1.220.961.46
BTTS56%46%65%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.0010.00-
Cards2.751.504.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StenhousemuirStenhousemuir410
75%
2.5
82+6
2.5
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.5
-
2PartickPartick48
50%
2.0
41+3
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.2
-
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers47
50%
1.8
53+2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.20.8
-
4ArbroathArbroath47
50%
1.8
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
-
5LivingstonLivingston46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.00.8
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
7DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
23-1
1.2
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.50.8
-
8Inverness CTInverness CT43
0%
0.8
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.0
-
9MortonMorton41
0%
0.2
26-4
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.51.5
-
10QueenQueen's Park41
0%
0.2
16-5
1.8
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.21.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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