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Raith Rvs vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 10/04/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
65%
23%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
65.3%
Avg Implied 49.5% · @ 1.87
Edge
+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.51
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.85
Edge
-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L10W01L31W00D00D01L11D10W51WA·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02A·ARB20/02H·ALL27/02H·AYR09/03A·INV12/03H·INV16/03A·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.172.001.131.331.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.061.592.001.672.121.50
vs Weaker (13)1.150.622.000.330.430.86
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W11D10W10W24L02L00D01L21WH·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02H·RAI20/02A·AYR27/02H·QUE06/03A·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.131.060.880.641.43
vs Stronger (11)0.641.090.800.600.501.50
vs Similar (19)1.001.161.181.000.751.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.05+2.7%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.73-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.8%
No
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.5%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.6%
0-0
8.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.1%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
08.3%4.1%1.8%0.4%0.1%
113%11%3.4%0.8%0.1%
213%9.4%3.3%0.8%0.1%
38.6%6.0%2.1%0.5%0.1%
44.1%2.9%1.0%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Raith Rvs is 0.48 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Raith Rvs is 0.63 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.04).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Raith Rvs is 0.07 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 6.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

16064447183104641332544481088111410167812H·DUNH·MORA·AYRH·INVA·INVH·AYRH·ALLA·ARBA·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8016422442533152341217666836553H·DUNH·MORA·AYRH·INVA·INVH·AYRH·ALLA·ARBA·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

290716108819158141579131610131114121023182723291629232522H·DUNH·MORA·AYRH·INVA·INVH·AYRH·ALLA·ARBA·MORA·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 5.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

1106253558343555272553588101171079108H·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUNH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·ALLH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50211111133111322311113224425522H·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUNH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·ALLH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

340198171712811919912141310211151012927342020282623321521H·ALLA·INVH·HEAA·DUNH·QUEA·AYRH·RAIA·ALLH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.610.54.14.33.922.722.622.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)11.611.511.64.95.14.723.122.224.0
vs Weaker (21)9.19.19.13.03.12.922.123.321.0
% over line60%64%56%66%76%56%52%52%52%
% under line40%36%44%34%24%44%48%48%48%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.89.73.22.83.622.621.423.9
vs Stronger (17)10.610.910.43.73.24.123.521.025.7
vs Similar (32)9.39.49.32.92.53.322.221.622.8
vs Weaker (1)7.07.0-4.04.0-22.022.0-
% over line58%54%62%42%27%58%54%50%58%
% under line42%46%38%58%73%42%46%50%42%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.2
Inverness CT
10.8
Dunfermline
10.7
Heart Of Midlothian
10.7
Raith Rvs
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.4
Morton
10.4
Dundee
10.4
Ayr
10.2
Arbroath
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
3.7
Dundee
3.3
Ayr
3.3
Dunfermline
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Morton
3.0
Alloa
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
25.9
Dundee
24.9
Raith Rvs
22.7
Arbroath
22.6
Alloa
22.5
Inverness CT
21.8
Ayr
21.8
Queen of Sth
20.9
Dunfermline
20.5
Morton
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.4%
Under 9.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.8%
Under 21.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D01L00D00D00D00D00D31WA·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02A·ARB20/02H·ALL27/02H·AYR09/03A·INV12/03H·INV16/03A·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.930.400.600.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.880.530.890.670.880.38
vs Weaker (13)0.620.151.000.000.290.29
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W00D00D23L00D00D00D00DH·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02H·RAI20/02A·AYR27/02H·QUE06/03A·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.750.440.210.64
vs Stronger (11)0.270.730.400.200.171.17
vs Similar (19)0.630.420.910.550.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D01L30W00D00D01L11D10W20WA·DUN03/02A·MOR06/02A·ARB20/02H·ALL27/02H·AYR09/03A·INV12/03H·INV16/03A·AYR20/03H·MOR27/03H·DUN30/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.801.070.730.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.181.061.111.001.251.12
vs Weaker (13)0.540.461.000.330.140.57
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L10W10W01L02L00D01L21WH·INV03/02H·DUN06/02A·ALL13/02H·RAI20/02A·AYR27/02H·QUE06/03A·DUN13/03H·HEA20/03A·INV27/03H·ALL03/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.310.440.430.79
vs Stronger (11)0.360.360.400.400.330.33
vs Similar (19)0.370.740.270.450.501.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
RR wins
4
Draws
2
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Arbroath · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/21AArbroath Vs RR1-0
17/10/20HRR Vs Arbroath3-0
21/04/19AArbroath Vs RR2-2
16/02/19HRR Vs Arbroath0-1
22/12/18AArbroath Vs RR0-2
06/10/18HRR Vs Arbroath1-1
07/04/18AArbroath Vs RR1-1
24/02/18HRR Vs Arbroath2-2

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/03/21HRR Vs Dunfermline5-1
27/03/21HRR Vs Morton1-0
20/03/21AAyr Vs RR1-1
16/03/21HRR Vs Inverness CT0-1
12/03/21AInverness CT Vs RR0-0
09/03/21HRR Vs Ayr0-0
27/02/21HRR Vs Alloa3-1
20/02/21AArbroath Vs RR1-0
06/02/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
03/02/21ADunfermline Vs RR4-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/21HARB Vs Alloa2-1
27/03/21AInverness CT Vs ARB1-0
20/03/21HARB Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
13/03/21ADundee Vs ARB2-0
06/03/21HARB Vs Queen of Sth2-4
27/02/21AAyr Vs ARB0-1
20/02/21HARB Vs Raith Rvs1-0
13/02/21AAlloa Vs ARB1-1
06/02/21HARB Vs Dunfermline2-0
03/02/21HARB Vs Inverness CT1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWW1.78
HomeWDLWW2.04
AwayLWLDD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.963.082.84
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.762.041.48
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners10.5410.5610.52
Cards4.104.283.92
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.24
HomeWWLDW1.54
AwayWDWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals1.981.882.08
Over 1.5 %62%62%62%
Over 2.5 %30%31%29%
Over 3.5 %10%4%17%
Scored0.881.040.71
Conceded1.100.851.38
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners9.749.779.71
Cards3.202.813.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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