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Raith Rvs vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 15/01/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied 37.9% · @ 2.44
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.20
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.78
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D30W21W00D10W01L02L00D11DH·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.071.601.331.130.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.551.201.781.561.360.91
vs Weaker (10)1.000.801.331.000.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W11D11D10W00D20W21W30W00D01LH·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12A·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.971.530.801.531.13
vs Stronger (11)1.000.911.000.201.001.50
vs Similar (19)1.841.001.801.101.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.15+5.0%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.65-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2 ✓
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
08.6%7.6%5.3%2.1%0.6%
19.1%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.3%8.7%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.4%4.1%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Raith Rvs is 0.42 points worse than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Raith Rvs is 0.28 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.50).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Raith Rvs is 0.44 goals worse than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 0.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15032522392447105684646575961115141010A·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8041122241114233521215345155833A·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

35091519165159101181413691017978524352019192715271613A·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUEH·AYR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArbroathArbroath

For 8.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

17093652688857410784141831211816131117121511A·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PARH·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

601313112141331313211342356443A·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PARH·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

27011116151511412991314101181612911922212616182721242120A·AYRH·INVA·DUNH·MORA·PARH·RAIA·KILH·QUEA·HAMH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.910.84.34.24.322.923.222.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)11.211.411.04.24.14.323.023.622.4
vs Weaker (17)10.19.910.24.44.44.422.622.422.8
% over line62%68%56%72%72%72%64%60%68%
% under line38%32%44%28%28%28%36%40%32%
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.23.43.23.623.222.823.6
vs Stronger (19)10.210.79.83.63.23.923.722.324.9
vs Similar (31)9.89.110.53.33.23.522.923.022.7
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line58%56%60%50%40%60%54%56%52%
% under line42%44%40%50%60%40%46%44%48%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.0
Raith Rvs
10.8
Queen of Sth
10.6
Partick
10.3
Morton
10.3
Ayr
10.2
Hamilton
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.0
Arbroath
9.9
Inverness CT
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.3
Inverness CT
3.5
Partick
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Hamilton
3.3
Ayr
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.2
Dunfermline
2.9
Morton
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.0
Hamilton
24.6
Arbroath
23.2
Inverness CT
23.1
Raith Rvs
22.9
Partick
21.3
Ayr
21.2
Dunfermline
21.2
Queen of Sth
21.0
Morton
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.8%
Under 9.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.8%
Under 21.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D30W11D00D00D00D01L00D10WH·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.270.870.270.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.351.000.330.640.36
vs Weaker (10)0.600.100.670.170.500.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L00D00D00D10W00D20W00D01LH·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12A·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.600.400.730.47
vs Stronger (11)0.450.360.600.000.330.67
vs Similar (19)0.790.470.600.601.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D00D10W00D10W01L01L00D01LH·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.731.070.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.850.781.220.730.55
vs Weaker (10)0.400.700.670.830.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W11D10W00D10W21W10W00D00DH·DUN30/10A·HAM06/11H·QUE13/11A·KIL20/11H·RAI04/12A·PAR11/12H·MOR18/12A·DUN26/12H·INV02/01A·AYR08/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.930.400.800.67
vs Stronger (11)0.550.550.400.200.670.83
vs Similar (19)1.050.531.200.500.890.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
RR wins
3
Draws
2
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Arbroath · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/21AArbroath Vs RR0-0
16/10/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-1
10/04/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-2
20/02/21AArbroath Vs RR1-0
17/10/20HRR Vs Arbroath3-0
21/04/19AArbroath Vs RR2-2
16/02/19HRR Vs Arbroath0-1
22/12/18AArbroath Vs RR0-2

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/01/22AInverness CT Vs RR1-1
02/01/22HRR Vs Dunfermline0-0
26/12/21AAyr Vs RR2-0
18/12/21APartick Vs RR1-0
11/12/21HRR Vs Kilmarnock1-0
04/12/21AArbroath Vs RR0-0
20/11/21HRR Vs Morton2-1
13/11/21AHamilton Vs RR0-3
06/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR1-1
30/10/21HRR Vs Ayr2-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/01/22AAyr Vs ARB1-0
02/01/22HARB Vs Inverness CT0-0
26/12/21ADunfermline Vs ARB0-3
18/12/21HARB Vs Morton2-1
11/12/21APartick Vs ARB0-2
04/12/21HARB Vs Raith Rvs0-0
20/11/21AKilmarnock Vs ARB0-1
13/11/21HARB Vs Queen of Sth1-1
06/11/21AHamilton Vs ARB1-1
30/10/21HARB Vs Dunfermline4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.64
HomeDWWWD1.76
AwayWDLLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.683.002.36
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %46%60%32%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.521.721.32
Conceded1.161.281.04
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.8210.8810.76
Cards4.284.244.32
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.40
HomeWDDWD1.56
AwayDWWWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.241.962.52
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %38%32%44%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored1.241.241.24
Conceded1.000.721.28
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners9.949.6810.20
Cards3.423.203.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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