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Raith Rvs vs Dunfermline Result & Analysis

Date: 05/12/2020
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
55%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
55.5%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.87
Edge
+23.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.52
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.23
Edge
-22.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D10W01L11D21W30W52W11D50W02LA·STR08/02H·CLY22/02A·DUM29/02H·FAL03/03H·FOR07/03H·ARB17/10A·QUE24/10A·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.102.130.801.531.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.061.242.251.001.891.44
vs Weaker (13)1.540.922.000.571.001.33
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W00D11D11D31W41W32W00D21WH·INV25/02H·DUN29/02A·ARB04/03H·QUE07/03A·PAR10/03H·INV17/10A·ALL24/10H·QUE31/10A·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.201.941.061.361.36
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (25)1.761.162.081.001.461.31
vs Weaker (4)1.001.501.331.330.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.66-3.1%
Under 2.5
46.8%
@ 2.14+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Dunfermline goals →
01234
07.1%4.9%3.0%1.0%0.2%
19.9%12%5.4%1.8%0.4%
29.9%9.9%4.9%1.6%0.4%
36.0%6.0%3.0%1.0%0.2%
42.7%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Dunfermline goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Dundee
1.67
Raith Rvs
1.59
Dunfermline
1.44
Inverness CT
1.33
Queen of Sth
1.19
Arbroath
1.11
Morton
1.07
Ayr
1.07
Alloa
0.81
Raith Rvs is 0.15 points better than Dunfermline in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
2.33
Dundee
1.81
Raith Rvs
1.67
Dunfermline
1.41
Queen of Sth
1.41
Inverness CT
1.33
Ayr
1.15
Alloa
1.11
Arbroath
1.04
Morton
0.81
Raith Rvs is 0.26 goals better than Dunfermline in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Inverness CT
1.15
Morton
1.22
Dunfermline
1.26
Arbroath
1.26
Raith Rvs
1.33
Ayr
1.37
Dundee
1.48
Queen of Sth
1.89
Alloa
2.22
Raith Rvs is 0.07 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

16056103827964627347222411131016108101146A·INVH·MORA·DUNA·QUEH·ARBH·FORH·FALA·DUMH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4011132112231112422404011A·INVH·MORA·DUNA·QUEH·ARBH·FORH·FALA·DUMH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

39071213111212108162391119166711159919242418392035132618A·INVH·MORA·DUNA·QUEH·ARBH·FORH·FALA·DUMH·CLYA·STR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DunfermlineDunfermline

For 5.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

17039736838665128175682121014111217971110H·HEAA·AYRH·QUEA·ALLH·INVA·PARH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8044222312112132248420422356H·HEAA·AYRH·QUEA·ALLH·INVA·PARH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

27016114231114121311810777916768727272525191714251315H·HEAA·AYRH·QUEA·ALLH·INVA·PARH·QUEA·ARBH·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.89.83.43.53.321.321.820.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)10.310.210.34.74.84.722.922.922.8
vs Weaker (28)9.49.59.32.42.62.220.020.919.1
% over line50%50%50%52%62%42%38%46%31%
% under line50%50%50%48%38%58%62%54%69%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.39.611.13.23.82.520.620.620.5
vs Stronger (1)12.012.0-8.08.0-27.027.0-
vs Similar (43)10.39.411.23.23.62.720.720.521.0
vs Weaker (6)10.210.59.52.83.81.018.219.216.0
% over line60%56%65%44%59%26%42%41%43%
% under line40%44%35%56%41%74%58%59%57%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.8
Inverness CT
11.3
Morton
10.9
Queen of Sth
10.8
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Dunfermline
10.3
Dundee
10.2
Ayr
10.2
Arbroath
10.0
Raith Rvs
9.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Arbroath
3.6
Dundee
3.5
Raith Rvs
3.4
Dunfermline
3.2
Morton
3.2
Ayr
3.1
Queen of Sth
3.0
Inverness CT
3.0
Alloa
2.6

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Heart Of Midlothian
27.8
Dundee
23.9
Arbroath
21.7
Ayr
21.7
Raith Rvs
21.3
Alloa
20.7
Morton
20.7
Dunfermline
20.6
Inverness CT
20.3
Queen of Sth
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.5%
Under 9.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.8%
Under 21.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D10W30W31W01L20W01LA·STR08/02H·CLY22/02A·DUM29/02H·FAL03/03H·FOR07/03H·ARB17/10A·QUE24/10A·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.471.070.400.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.060.531.120.501.000.56
vs Weaker (13)0.770.381.000.290.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D01L00D11D11D20W00D00DH·INV25/02H·DUN29/02A·ARB04/03H·QUE07/03A·PAR10/03H·INV17/10A·ALL24/10H·QUE31/10A·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.810.440.570.71
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (25)0.800.561.000.420.620.69
vs Weaker (4)0.250.750.330.670.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L11D11D00D21W10W30W01LA·STR08/02H·CLY22/02A·DUM29/02H·FAL03/03H·FOR07/03H·ARB17/10A·QUE24/10A·DUN31/10H·MOR07/11A·INV21/11← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.631.070.400.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.000.711.120.500.890.89
vs Weaker (13)0.770.541.000.290.500.83
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DunfermlineDunfermline

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D10W11D20W30W12L00D21WH·INV25/02H·DUN29/02A·ARB04/03H·QUE07/03A·PAR10/03H·INV17/10A·ALL24/10H·QUE31/10A·AYR07/11H·HEA20/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.120.620.790.64
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.960.601.080.580.850.62
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.670.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards90.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards80.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.8%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (30)
€22m
DUN (21)
€5m
DUN (26)
€4m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€12m
DUN (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (6)
€4m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOM (12)
€6m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
RR wins
1
Draws
2
DUN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Dunfermline · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/17ADunfermline Vs RR1-0
02/01/17HRR Vs Dunfermline0-2
05/11/16ADunfermline Vs RR0-0
20/08/16HRR Vs Dunfermline2-0

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/20AInverness CT Vs RR2-0
07/11/20HRR Vs Morton5-0
31/10/20ADundee Vs RR1-1
24/10/20AQueen of Sth Vs RR2-5
17/10/20HRR Vs Arbroath3-0
07/03/20HRR Vs Forfar2-1
03/03/20HRR Vs Falkirk1-1
29/02/20ADumbarton Vs RR1-0
22/02/20HRR Vs Clyde1-0
08/02/20AStranraer Vs RR1-1

DunfermlineDunfermline

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/20HDUN Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-1
07/11/20AAyr Vs DUN0-0
31/10/20HDUN Vs Queen of Sth3-2
24/10/20AAlloa Vs DUN1-4
17/10/20HDUN Vs Inverness CT3-1
10/03/20APartick Vs DUN1-1
07/03/20HDUN Vs Queen of Sth1-1
04/03/20AArbroath Vs DUN0-0
29/02/20HDUN Vs Dundee Utd2-0
25/02/20HDUN Vs Inverness CT1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.76
HomeWDWWW2.21
AwayDLWDL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.163.382.96
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %38%46%31%
Scored1.922.381.50
Conceded1.241.001.46
BTTS66%58%73%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners9.789.799.77
Cards3.423.503.35
Dunfermline
Dunfermline
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.36
HomeWDWWW1.59
AwayWDDWD1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%26%
AVG goals2.442.592.26
Over 1.5 %64%70%57%
Over 2.5 %40%44%35%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.321.521.09
Conceded1.121.071.17
BTTS46%48%43%
Clean Sheet28%26%30%
Corners10.309.6311.09
Cards3.223.812.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian2757
63%
2.1
6324+39
3.2
78%
59%
41%
10.1
56%
3.0
41%
25.5
74%
22
12462.30.9
-
2DundeeDundee2745
44%
1.7
4940+9
3.3
89%
63%
44%
10.5
67%
3.0
33%
24.7
67%
5
1221.81.5
-
3
RR
Raith Rvs
2743
44%
1.6
4536+9
3.0
70%
56%
44%
11.2
67%
4.5
74%
23.7
74%
0
0001.71.3
-
4DunfermlineDunfermline2739
37%
1.4
3834+4
2.7
59%
48%
37%
11.1
81%
2.9
33%
22.0
52%
4
2021.41.3
-
5Inverness CTInverness CT2736
30%
1.3
3631+5
2.5
78%
44%
26%
10.4
48%
3.5
48%
24.0
63%
1
0001.31.1
-
6
QO
Queen of Sth
2732
33%
1.2
3851-13
3.3
85%
59%
41%
10.3
56%
3.5
48%
21.8
56%
0
0001.41.9
-
7ArbroathArbroath2730
26%
1.1
2834-6
2.3
59%
37%
26%
9.2
56%
3.4
52%
24.5
67%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
2729
22%
1.1
3137-6
2.5
74%
41%
30%
10.5
63%
3.1
48%
22.2
52%
0
0001.11.4
-
9MortonMorton2729
22%
1.1
2233-11
2.0
59%
30%
19%
10.4
70%
3.0
41%
22.1
48%
1
0000.81.2
-
10
A
Alloa
2722
19%
0.8
3060-30
3.3
89%
67%
41%
10.6
59%
3.4
56%
26.0
78%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: Championship 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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