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Raith Rvs vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 20/11/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
52%
28%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.69
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.52
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✗ Miss
20.2%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.83
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W32W11D31W21W11D11D21W11D30WA·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.131.801.401.200.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.851.352.101.601.601.10
vs Weaker (10)0.800.701.201.000.400.40
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D22D02L00D00D11D31W02LA·KIL11/09H·RAI18/09A·AYR25/09H·ARB02/10A·INV16/10A·QUE23/10H·PAR26/10H·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.270.941.560.570.93
vs Stronger (5)0.200.800.000.670.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.881.361.151.770.580.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.10-0.3%
Under 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.68+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.1%
Under 3.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
9.9%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
09.9%6.5%3.4%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.3%1.6%0.3%
211%9.3%4.1%1.2%0.3%
35.5%4.8%2.1%0.6%0.1%
42.1%1.9%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Raith Rvs is 0.28 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Raith Rvs is 0.22 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Raith Rvs is 0.08 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

1406846465632772777565414101011514914119A·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8035212143232322222318337554451A·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 8.5 · Total 18.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

270101797851210126714741391688527161322182111222413A·HAMA·QUEH·AYRA·DUNH·INVH·ARBA·KILH·DUNH·PARA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 4.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

130663534645838675445471287101311139911H·KILA·DUNH·HAMH·PARA·QUEA·INVH·ARBA·AYRH·RAIA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

401213311321120343233012H·KILA·DUNH·HAMH·PARA·QUEA·INVH·ARBA·AYRH·RAIA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 19.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901311106151451310116128117558151124162918211819121326H·KILA·DUNH·HAMH·PARA·QUEA·INVH·ARBA·AYRH·RAIA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.210.911.54.14.33.922.322.821.7
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)12.212.112.24.44.54.322.422.422.5
vs Weaker (18)9.58.710.33.64.03.221.923.720.2
% over line66%68%64%68%76%60%60%60%60%
% under line34%32%36%32%24%40%40%40%40%
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.810.02.92.92.920.421.319.4
vs Stronger (8)10.59.811.23.11.84.519.420.018.8
vs Similar (42)10.411.09.82.93.12.620.621.619.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line68%77%58%34%38%29%36%46%25%
% under line32%23%42%66%62%71%64%54%75%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.3
Raith Rvs
11.2
Queen of Sth
10.6
Morton
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.2
Hamilton
10.2
Partick
10.1
Ayr
9.8
Arbroath
9.7
Inverness CT
9.7

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Inverness CT
3.5
Kilmarnock
3.4
Ayr
3.4
Hamilton
3.4
Partick
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Queen of Sth
3.1
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.0
Hamilton
24.7
Arbroath
23.0
Inverness CT
22.7
Raith Rvs
22.3
Ayr
21.2
Queen of Sth
20.7
Partick
20.7
Dunfermline
20.4
Morton
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.4%
Under 9.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.8%
Under 3.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.9%
Under 21.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W10W20W00D00D20W00D30WA·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.300.870.330.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.850.451.000.500.700.40
vs Weaker (10)0.500.000.600.000.400.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L01L00D00D01L11D02LA·KIL11/09H·RAI18/09A·AYR25/09H·ARB02/10A·INV16/10A·QUE23/10H·PAR26/10H·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.230.600.310.750.140.43
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.280.640.380.770.170.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D01L21W01L11D11D01L11D00DA·MOR18/09H·PAR26/09H·DUN29/09A·KIL02/10H·ARB16/10H·INV23/10A·DUN26/10H·AYR30/10A·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.931.070.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.000.901.101.100.900.70
vs Weaker (10)0.300.700.601.000.000.40
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D21W01L00D00D10W20W00DA·KIL11/09H·RAI18/09A·AYR25/09H·ARB02/10A·INV16/10A·QUE23/10H·PAR26/10H·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.620.810.430.50
vs Stronger (5)0.200.400.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.720.771.000.420.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls85.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards84.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners72.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
RR wins
0
Draws
3
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Morton · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
27/03/21HRR Vs Morton1-0
06/02/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
07/11/20HRR Vs Morton5-0
15/04/17HRR Vs Morton2-0
07/02/17HRR Vs Morton0-1
14/01/17AMorton Vs RR2-0
01/10/16AMorton Vs RR1-0

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/11/21AHamilton Vs RR0-3
06/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR1-1
30/10/21HRR Vs Ayr2-1
26/10/21ADunfermline Vs RR1-1
23/10/21HRR Vs Inverness CT1-1
16/10/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-1
02/10/21AKilmarnock Vs RR1-3
29/09/21HRR Vs Dunfermline1-1
26/09/21HRR Vs Partick3-2
18/09/21AMorton Vs RR0-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/11/21HMOR Vs Kilmarnock0-2
06/11/21ADunfermline Vs MOR1-3
30/10/21HMOR Vs Hamilton1-1
26/10/21HMOR Vs Partick0-0
23/10/21AQueen of Sth Vs MOR0-0
16/10/21AInverness CT Vs MOR2-0
02/10/21HMOR Vs Arbroath2-2
25/09/21AAyr Vs MOR0-0
18/09/21HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
11/09/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW1.74
HomeWDWDW1.84
AwayWWDDW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals2.843.282.40
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %48%64%32%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.641.881.40
Conceded1.201.401.00
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners11.2010.8811.52
Cards4.124.323.92
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.10
HomeLDDDL1.08
AwayLDLDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.382.732.00
Over 1.5 %66%73%58%
Over 2.5 %38%42%33%
Over 3.5 %28%38%17%
Scored1.061.230.88
Conceded1.321.501.12
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners10.4210.8110.00
Cards2.902.882.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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