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Raith Rvs vs Morton Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
42%
31%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
42.1%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.10
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.22
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Morton win✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.41
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D33D00D03L00D04L10W23L33D02LA·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03A·DUN06/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.231.201.331.201.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.051.151.001.201.101.10
vs Weaker (10)1.501.401.601.601.401.20
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W01L10W00D03L21W11D11D11DA·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.331.401.530.731.13
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.301.461.540.711.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.0%
Under 1.5
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.0%
@ 2.17-4.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
@ 1.64+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
11.9%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Morton goals →
01234
012%9.0%5.0%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.6%8.4%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.7%3.6%1.7%0.6%0.1%
41.2%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Morton goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Raith Rvs is 0.28 points better than Morton in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Raith Rvs is 0.22 goals better than Morton in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Raith Rvs is 0.08 goals better than Morton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1901518634333926261382456997611819109A·DUNA·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8011144413221232580130415A·DUNA·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001610986107101515109101711134913826171617301927241321A·DUNA·ARBH·INVA·QUEH·AYRH·PARA·KILH·HAMH·QUEA·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

15082592137746541952537410141514109107811H·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40111121312111311211213422423H·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

310131013181481261071711109118137101323312218172819192023H·KILH·AYRA·DUNH·PARA·QUEH·ARBA·PARA·HAMH·QUEA·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.69.84.14.04.221.821.422.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.511.19.83.73.53.922.222.322.1
vs Weaker (17)9.89.69.95.05.24.821.019.522.3
% over line52%64%40%66%60%72%56%48%64%
% under line48%36%60%34%40%28%44%52%36%
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.111.02.92.53.220.821.719.8
vs Stronger (7)10.49.012.34.03.05.319.320.218.0
vs Similar (43)10.510.310.82.72.52.921.022.020.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line66%62%71%34%27%42%38%46%29%
% under line34%38%29%66%73%58%62%54%71%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Hamilton
10.6
Morton
10.5
Dunfermline
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.4
Raith Rvs
10.2
Ayr
10.0
Partick
9.8
Arbroath
9.8
Kilmarnock
9.6
Inverness CT
9.2

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Inverness CT
3.6
Hamilton
3.6
Arbroath
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Partick
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.1
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
24.1
Hamilton
23.8
Inverness CT
23.5
Arbroath
23.1
Raith Rvs
21.8
Ayr
21.3
Dunfermline
21.2
Partick
21.0
Morton
20.8
Queen of Sth
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.1%
Under 21.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W00D02L00D03L10W21W11D01LA·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03A·DUN06/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.800.470.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.450.600.500.700.40
vs Weaker (10)1.100.401.200.401.000.40
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D00D02L01L10W10W00DA·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.630.530.800.330.47
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.560.540.690.290.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L00D01L00D01L00D02L22D01LA·MOR28/01H·QUE01/02H·HAM05/02A·KIL19/02H·PAR26/02H·AYR05/03A·QUE12/03H·INV19/03A·ARB26/03A·DUN06/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.400.870.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.400.700.400.700.400.70
vs Weaker (10)0.401.000.401.200.400.80
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L10W00D01L20W01L01L11DA·INV05/02H·QUE12/02A·HAM19/02A·PAR22/02H·ARB26/02A·QUE05/03H·PAR12/03A·DUN18/03H·AYR26/03H·KIL01/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.870.730.400.67
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.740.920.850.430.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls75.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
RR wins
1
Draws
1
MOR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Morton · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/22AMorton Vs RR2-2
20/11/21HRR Vs Morton2-1
18/09/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
27/03/21HRR Vs Morton1-0
06/02/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
07/11/20HRR Vs Morton5-0
15/04/17HRR Vs Morton2-0
07/02/17HRR Vs Morton0-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/22ADunfermline Vs RR2-0
26/03/22AArbroath Vs RR3-3
19/03/22HRR Vs Inverness CT2-3
12/03/22AQueen of Sth Vs RR0-1
05/03/22HRR Vs Ayr0-4
26/02/22HRR Vs Partick0-0
19/02/22AKilmarnock Vs RR3-0
05/02/22HRR Vs Hamilton0-0
01/02/22HRR Vs Queen of Sth3-3
28/01/22AMorton Vs RR2-2

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/22HMOR Vs Kilmarnock1-1
26/03/22HMOR Vs Ayr1-1
18/03/22ADunfermline Vs MOR1-1
12/03/22HMOR Vs Partick2-1
05/03/22AQueen of Sth Vs MOR3-0
26/02/22HMOR Vs Arbroath0-0
22/02/22APartick Vs MOR0-1
19/02/22AHamilton Vs MOR1-0
12/02/22HMOR Vs Queen of Sth2-1
05/02/22AInverness CT Vs MOR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.42
HomeDDDLL1.44
AwayDLWDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.622.962.28
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %48%60%36%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.281.441.12
Conceded1.341.521.16
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.2410.649.84
Cards4.124.044.20
Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.04
HomeWDWDD1.00
AwayWLWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%15%25%
AVG goals2.222.691.71
Over 1.5 %64%73%54%
Over 2.5 %38%50%25%
Over 3.5 %22%38%4%
Scored0.961.190.71
Conceded1.261.501.00
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet26%19%33%
Corners10.5210.0811.00
Cards2.862.543.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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