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Raith Rvs vs Partick Result & Analysis

Date: 26/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
RR
Raith Rvs
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Raith Rvs win✓ Hit
47.1%
Avg Implied 40.4% · @ 2.29
Edge
+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.42
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Partick win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.84
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D10W21W12L04L44D01L20W01L10WH·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.331.791.641.191.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.701.651.702.001.701.30
vs Weaker (10)1.000.702.000.750.330.67
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W22D50W23L32W30W13L30W13L02LH·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08A·INV11/09H·KIL18/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.001.930.801.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.911.042.080.831.731.27
vs Weaker (7)1.290.861.330.671.251.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.8%
Under 1.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.0%
@ 1.96+19.3%
Under 2.5
33.0%
@ 1.79-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.3%
Under 3.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
3-2 ✓
4.4%
Raith Rvs goals ↓
Partick goals →
01234
04.1%3.9%3.6%1.8%0.7%
15.2%10%7.0%3.5%1.3%
26.0%9.0%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.9%5.9%4.4%2.2%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.1%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Raith Rvs goals (down), columns = Partick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Raith Rvs is 0.06 points worse than Partick in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Raith Rvs is 0.06 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Raith Rvs is 0.11 goals worse than Partick in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

20054146468935168672263292010178714985A·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501412222231311412141544244535A·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

2808513121115139121681411910121211101413252622282220222324A·MORH·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PartickPartick

For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

170841252431074103143127812377171447315H·KILA·INVH·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

5022131312121241122344032353H·KILA·INVH·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.4

⚠ïļ Fouls

2508101015101011139996101491212138618252024181524212514H·KILA·INVH·MORA·ARBA·DUNH·QUEA·MONH·FALA·COVH·AIR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.611.14.14.24.022.723.022.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)11.711.911.54.64.84.523.322.923.7
vs Weaker (19)9.58.810.33.23.23.221.823.320.2
% over line58%60%56%68%72%64%62%60%64%
% under line42%40%44%32%28%36%38%40%36%
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.69.82.92.83.119.918.921.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (41)10.110.39.92.92.83.019.918.821.1
vs Weaker (9)10.612.29.23.13.03.220.019.220.6
% over line62%64%60%32%28%36%38%32%44%
% under line38%36%40%68%72%64%62%68%56%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.1
Raith Rvs
10.9
Hamilton
10.5
Queen of Sth
10.4
Morton
10.3
Partick
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.2
Inverness CT
10.0
Ayr
10.0
Arbroath
9.3

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.1
Kilmarnock
3.6
Inverness CT
3.4
Ayr
3.4
Queen of Sth
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Hamilton
3.2
Dunfermline
3.0
Morton
3.0
Partick
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.5
Hamilton
24.5
Arbroath
22.9
Raith Rvs
22.7
Inverness CT
22.6
Ayr
21.3
Queen of Sth
20.7
Dunfermline
20.0
Partick
19.9
Morton
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L02L01L20W00D20W01L10WH·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.710.570.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.650.700.800.600.50
vs Weaker (10)0.500.100.750.000.330.17
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D30W12L21W20W11D10W10W00DH·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08A·INV11/09H·KIL18/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.800.400.600.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.830.520.920.330.730.73
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.330.670.250.00
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D20W10W03L24L01L00D00D00DH·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09A·MOR18/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.871.071.070.690.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.051.001.001.201.100.80
vs Weaker (10)0.500.601.250.750.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Partick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PartickPartick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W11D11D10W02L20W03L02LH·AIR24/04A·COV27/04H·FAL29/04A·MON04/05H·QUE31/07A·DUN07/08A·ARB21/08H·MOR28/08A·INV11/09H·KIL18/09← League OneChampionship →
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.531.130.401.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.090.521.170.501.000.55
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Partick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RR wins
0
Draws
0
PAR wins

Head-to-head

Raith Rvs vs Partick · H/A from RR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/21AMorton Vs RR0-1
11/09/21HRR Vs Queen of Sth0-1
07/09/21AAyr Vs RR0-2
07/08/21AInverness CT Vs RR1-0
31/07/21HRR Vs Hamilton4-4
30/04/21HRR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
24/04/21ADundee Vs RR2-1
17/04/21AAlloa Vs RR1-2
13/04/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR0-1
10/04/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-2

PartickPartick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/21HPAR Vs Kilmarnock0-2
11/09/21AInverness CT Vs PAR3-1
28/08/21HPAR Vs Morton3-0
21/08/21AArbroath Vs PAR3-1
07/08/21ADunfermline Vs PAR0-3
31/07/21HPAR Vs Queen of Sth3-2
04/05/21AMontrose Vs PAR3-2
29/04/21HPAR Vs Falkirk5-0
27/04/21ACove Rangers Vs PAR2-2
24/04/21HPAR Vs Airdrie United1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.66
HomeWDLDL1.72
AwayWLLWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.763.042.48
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %42%56%28%
Over 3.5 %32%44%20%
Scored1.541.721.36
Conceded1.221.321.12
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners10.8610.6411.08
Cards4.104.164.04
Partick
Partick
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.46
HomeWWWWL1.52
AwayDLWLL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%40%40%
AVG goals2.822.643.00
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %54%48%60%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.521.521.52
Conceded1.301.121.48
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners10.2210.649.80
Cards2.942.803.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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