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Ranger's vs Carroi Prediction & Stats

Date: 11/10/2026
Time: 09:00
Ranger
Ranger's
Vs
77%
15%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ranger's are the clear favourite, with the model giving them a 77% chance of victory and a 15% chance of a draw, while Carroi’s odds of winning sit at 8%. The prediction favours a 2-0 win for the home side, the most likely scoreline at 11.2% probability. The expected total is 3.5 goals, with the model most often forecasting three goals overall at 22%. Ranger’s home form shows they average 1.78 goals scored and concede only 0.67 against similar opponents, whereas Carroi, playing away, average 1.25 goals scored but concede 2.25 against the same tier. The suggested picks include an away under 3.5 goals at 99.1%, a home +2 handicap at 97.6%, an under 7.5 at 97.5%, an away under 2.5 goals at 95.4%, an under 6.5 at 93.7%, a home over 0.5 goals at 93.1%, a home or draw at 92.2%, and a home +1 handicap at 92.2%. Ranger’s recent two-game winning streak and a 2-0 win over FC Santa Coloma reinforce their dominance, while Carroi’s return from a win after a losing run suggests they will struggle to match the home side’s potency.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranger's win
76.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
15.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win
7.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RangerRanger's

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W20W11D12L21W31W21W35L21W20WA·CAR08/02A·ATL14/02A·ESP22/02H·UE 01/03A·ORD07/03H·ATL11/04A·CAR19/04H·INT25/04A·PEN10/05H·FC 16/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.902.001.141.750.69
vs Stronger (4)1.502.501.673.001.001.00
vs Similar (18)1.890.781.780.672.000.89
vs Weaker (8)2.000.383.500.501.500.33
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D00D02L14L00D05L12L03L21WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.000.871.400.732.60
vs Stronger (14)0.432.500.712.000.143.00
vs Similar (14)1.211.791.171.171.252.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
67.3%
Under 2.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.6%
Under 3.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
Ranger's goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
03.8%1.8%1.0%0.3%0.1%
17.7%7.3%2.6%0.7%0.1%
211%8.8%3.5%0.9%0.2%
310%7.9%3.1%0.8%0.2%
46.7%5.3%2.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranger's goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ranger's is 1.28 points better than Carroi in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ranger's is 1.32 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ranger's is 1.28 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ranger's or Draw
92.2%
Avg Implied -
77%
15%
8%
covers Ranger's + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranger's or Carroi
84.6%
Avg Implied -
77%
15%
8%
covers Ranger's + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Carroi
23.3%
Avg Implied -
77%
15%
8%
covers Draw + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ranger's over/under 0.5
Over
93.1%
Under
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 3.5
Over
28.1%
Under
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5
Over
54.5%
Under
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ranger's, so a minus line means Ranger's give that many goals of a start and Carroi receive them. At -1, Ranger's must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ranger's win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ranger's)
Ranger's -2
35.0%
Draw -2
21.5%
Carroi +2
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ranger's)
Ranger's -1
56.5%
Draw -1
20.2%
Carroi +1
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ranger's)
Ranger's +1
92.2%
Draw +1
5.5%
Carroi -1
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ranger's)
Ranger's +2
97.6%
Draw +2
1.9%
Carroi -2
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RangerRanger's

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W10W10W00D10W01L23L10W20WA·CAR08/02A·ATL14/02A·ESP22/02H·UE 01/03A·ORD07/03H·ATL11/04A·CAR19/04H·INT25/04A·PEN10/05H·FC 16/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.860.570.880.38
vs Stronger (4)0.751.750.672.001.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.830.390.780.220.890.56
vs Weaker (8)1.000.001.500.000.830.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L00D02L10W01L11DH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.400.530.530.93
vs Stronger (12)0.081.170.171.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.430.290.890.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RangerRanger's

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L02L21W21W20W12L11D00DA·CAR08/02A·ATL14/02A·ESP22/02H·UE 01/03A·ORD07/03H·ATL11/04A·CAR19/04H·INT25/04A·PEN10/05H·FC 16/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.140.570.880.31
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (18)1.060.391.000.441.110.33
vs Weaker (8)1.000.382.000.500.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L13L00D03L02L02L10WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.730.870.731.47
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.671.170.171.67
vs Similar (16)1.001.060.860.711.111.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 3.5 goals99.1%-------
Home +2 handicap97.6%-------
Under 7.597.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals95.4%-------
Under 6.593.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals93.1%-------
Home or Draw92.2%-------
Home +1 handicap92.2%-------
Over 1.586.7%-------
Under 5.586.2%-------
Home or Away84.6%-------
Away under 1.5 goals81.3%-------
Home win76.7%-------
Home over 1.5 goals74.7%-------
Under 4.573.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals71.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ranger's's squad is €2m more valuable than Carroi's (€4m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ranger's and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
RAN wins
0
Draws
4
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ranger's vs Carroi · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26ACarroi Vs RAN1-2
08/02/26ACarroi Vs RAN0-3
12/10/25HRAN Vs Carroi3-0
29/05/24ACarroi Vs RAN0-1
25/05/24HRAN Vs Carroi0-1
22/04/23HRAN Vs Carroi0-3
11/02/23HRAN Vs Carroi1-2
23/10/22ACarroi Vs RAN1-0

RangerRanger's

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HRAN Vs FC Santa Coloma2-0
10/05/26APenya Encarnada Vs RAN1-2
25/04/26HRAN Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes3-5
19/04/26ACarroi Vs RAN1-2
11/04/26HRAN Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes3-1
07/03/26AOrdino Vs RAN1-2
01/03/26HRAN Vs UE Santa Coloma1-2
22/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs RAN1-1
14/02/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs RAN0-2
08/02/26ACarroi Vs RAN0-3

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-1
26/04/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-0
19/04/26HCAR Vs Ranger's1-2
11/04/26AOrdino Vs CAR5-0
22/03/26HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-0
08/03/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR4-1
01/03/26HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
15/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-0
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ranger
Ranger's
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.86
HomeWLWLW1.91
AwayWDWWW1.82
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%59%50%
AVG goals2.863.322.50
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %52%64%43%
Over 3.5 %32%45%21%
Scored2.022.271.82
Conceded0.841.050.68
BTTS44%45%43%
Clean Sheet46%41%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.14
HomeLLDLW1.42
AwayDDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.002.583.38
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.821.422.19
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.00.0
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.00.0
-
4Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
5Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
7RangerRanger's00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
8OrdinoOrdino00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
9CarroiCarroi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.00.0
-
10Casa de PortugalCasa de Portugal00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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