The encounter between Ranger's and FC Santa Coloma is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving room for a draw or an away triumph. The expected total is 2.8 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% chance. Ranger's, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.78 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. FC Santa Coloma, on the road, average 1.5 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against similar opposition. Home win probability is 40%, draw 28%, and away win 32%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.5%), Under 5.5 (93.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (85.4%), Home +2 handicap (85.4%), and Under 4.5 (84.7%). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and no other outcomes are assigned a win probability.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ranger's win
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma win
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ranger's
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.90
2.00
1.14
1.75
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
2.50
1.67
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.89
0.78
1.78
0.67
2.00
0.89
vs Weaker (8)
2.00
0.38
3.50
0.50
1.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Santa Coloma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.13
1.80
1.33
1.80
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.44
1.38
1.75
1.50
1.12
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.50
2.50
0.33
2.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.2%
Under 2.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
Ranger's goals ↓
FC Santa Coloma goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.8%
5.2%
2.3%
0.7%
1
7.9%
13%
7.8%
3.4%
1.1%
2
6.7%
8.8%
5.8%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.4%
4.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.3%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranger's goals (down), columns = FC Santa Coloma goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ranger's is 0.17 points better than FC Santa Coloma in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ranger's is 0.04 goals better than FC Santa Coloma in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ranger's is 0.08 goals worse than FC Santa Coloma in terms of goals conceded per game (0.92 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ranger's or Draw
67.9%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Ranger's + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranger's or FC Santa Coloma
72.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Ranger's + FC Santa Coloma
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Santa Coloma
59.7%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + FC Santa Coloma
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ranger's over/under 0.5
Over
77.5%
Under
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5
Over
44.0%
Under
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5
Over
18.9%
Under
81.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
Under
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5
Over
37.7%
Under
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ranger's, so a minus line means Ranger's give that many goals of a start and FC Santa Coloma receive them. At -1, Ranger's must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ranger's win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ranger's)
Ranger's -2
7.9%
Draw -2
12.4%
FC Santa Coloma +2
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ranger's)
Ranger's -1
20.2%
Draw -1
20.1%
FC Santa Coloma +1
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ranger's)
Ranger's +1
67.9%
Draw +1
17.5%
FC Santa Coloma -1
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ranger's)
Ranger's +2
85.4%
Draw +2
9.6%
FC Santa Coloma -2
5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ranger's
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
0.86
0.57
0.88
0.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.67
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.39
0.78
0.22
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.83
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Santa Coloma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.47
0.47
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.56
0.50
0.62
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.08
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ranger's
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.14
0.57
0.88
0.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.39
1.00
0.44
1.11
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.38
2.00
0.50
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Santa Coloma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Santa Coloma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.33
0.87
1.00
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.88
0.88
1.12
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
1.75
0.42
2.00
0.17
1.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranger's) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranger's over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranger's over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Santa Coloma over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ranger's and FC Santa Coloma have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ranger's and FC Santa Coloma have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ranger's and FC Santa Coloma have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ranger's and FC Santa Coloma have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Esperança d'Andorra
Sporting Escaldes
Penya Encarnada
Ordino
Carroi
Casa de Portugal