Rangers are tipped to lift the trophy, the model picking a home win with a 52% chance, while draws sit at 25% and Celtic’s 23% chance of triumph. The expected total of goals is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 11.9% chance. Rangers, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.25 conceded, whereas Celtic, on the road, average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Under 5.5 (92.0%), Home +2 handicap (90.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (89.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (89.0%) and Home over 0.5 goals (83.6%). The model’s selection for a home win is the most likely outcome, and the overall match shape suggests a tight contest with a high chance of a low-scoring draw.
Results analysis
The Rangers’ 2-game winning streak was halted as the match finished 0-0, a draw that stunned the pre-match favourite, the Home win, which had a 52% probability. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The fixture delivered a surprisingly low tally, with the final score of 0-0 confirming the model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals, which hit at 98.9% probability. Away under 3.5 goals also hit at 97.0%, as did Under 6.5 at 96.8% and Under 5.5 at 92.0%. Home +2 handicap succeeded at 90.6%, while Home under 3.5 goals and Away under 2.5 goals both hit at 89.0%. The only miss was Home over 0.5 goals, at 83.6%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rangers win✗ Miss
51.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Celtic win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.00
2.50
0.69
1.50
1.36
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (6)
1.33
1.50
1.00
1.25
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
0.78
3.00
0.50
1.45
1.09
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.43
2.07
1.43
1.75
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.57
2.00
1.25
2.75
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.00
1.26
2.40
0.90
1.69
1.54
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
0-0 ✓
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Rangers goals ↓
Celtic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
4.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
1
8.3%
12%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.1%
5.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.3%
2.7%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Celtic goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Formartine United
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Aberdeen
2.60
Celtic
2.60
Musselburgh Athletic
2.40
Clydebank
2.40
Jeanfield Swifts
2.33
Dundee North End
2.25
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.25
Brechin
2.25
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Fraserburgh
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Ayr Utd
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Banks O' Dee
2.00
Dunfermline
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Lochee United
2.00
Camelon Juniors
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
2.00
Cove Rangers
2.00
Hamilton Academical
2.00
Bo'ness United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Hibernian
2.00
Buckie Thistle
2.00
Queen's Park
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
1.75
Dunbar United
1.50
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Dalkeith Thistle
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Turriff United
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Vale of Leithen
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Culter
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Newtongrange Star
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Rangers
1.50
Falkirk
1.50
Stranraer
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Elgin
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Tweedmouth
1.03
Lossiemouth
1.03
Johnstone Burgh
1.03
St Cadoc's
1.03
Partick
1.00
Wick Academy
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Edinburgh City
0.50
Inverurie Loco Works
0.50
Keith
0.50
Huntly
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Dunipace
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Albion Rovers
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Forres Mechanics
0.00
Nairn County
0.00
Preston Athletic
0.00
East Stirlingshire
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Tayport
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Deveronvale
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
Spartans
0.00
Ross County
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Creetown
0.00
Glenafton Athletic
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Edinburgh University
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Dalbeattie Star
0.00
Pollok
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
Haddington Athletic
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
Alloa Athletic
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Rangers is 1.10 points worse than Celtic in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girvan
5.00
Stirling
4.50
Threave Rovers
4.00
Peterhead
4.00
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
3.67
Camelon Juniors
3.50
Ayr Utd
3.33
Lochee United
3.33
Fraserburgh
3.25
Clachnacuddin
3.00
Celtic
3.00
Cumnock Juniors
3.00
Clydebank
3.00
Tynecastle
3.00
Sauchie Juniors
2.67
Aberdeen
2.60
Stenhousemuir
2.50
Dundee North End
2.50
Montrose
2.50
Culter
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Bo'ness United
2.33
Bo'ness Athletic
2.25
Heart Of Midlothian
2.25
Brechin
2.25
ST Mirren
2.00
Partick
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Formartine United
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Preston Athletic
2.00
East Stirlingshire
2.00
Vale of Leithen
2.00
Jeanfield Swifts
2.00
Dundonald Bluebell
2.00
Deveronvale
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Auchinleck Talbot
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Kilbride
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Cowdenbeath
2.00
Rutherglen Glencairn
2.00
Glenafton Athletic
2.00
Berwick Rangers
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Newtongrange Star
2.00
Huntly
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Alloa Athletic
2.00
Queen's Park
1.75
Broxburn Athletic
1.75
Dunfermline
1.67
Hamilton Academical
1.67
Musselburgh Athletic
1.60
Carluke Rovers
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Caledonian Braves
1.50
Darvel
1.50
Burntisland Shipyard
1.50
Tweedmouth
1.44
Lossiemouth
1.44
Johnstone Burgh
1.44
St Cadoc's
1.44
Elgin
1.33
Cove Rangers
1.33
Hibernian
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.33
Forfar
1.33
Edinburgh City
1.00
Banks O' Dee
1.00
Dunbar United
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Dunipace
1.00
Inverurie Loco Works
1.00
Albion Rovers
1.00
Forres Mechanics
1.00
Nairn County
1.00
Turriff United
1.00
Tayport
1.00
Whitehill Welfare
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Creetown
1.00
Edinburgh University
1.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.00
Dalbeattie Star
1.00
Pollok
1.00
Haddington Athletic
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Johnstone
0.75
Dalkeith Thistle
0.50
Keith
0.50
Morton
0.00
Arbroath
0.00
Annan Athletic
0.00
Bonnyton Thistle
0.00
Hawick Royal Albert
0.00
Cumbernauld Colts
0.00
Glasgow University
0.00
Golspie Sutherland
0.00
Lothian Hutchison
0.00
Stirling University
0.00
Tranent Juniors
0.00
Kilwinning Rangers
0.00
Strathspey Thistle
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Inverness CT
0.00
St Andrews United
0.00
Rothes
0.00
Gretna 2008
0.00
Benburb
0.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
0.00
Easthouses Lily
0.00
Blackburn United
0.00
Invergordon
0.00
Penicuik Athletic
0.00
Newton Stewart
0.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
0.00
Coldstream
0.00
Motherwell
0.00
East Fife
0.00
Rangers is 0.50 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Formartine United
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.33
Celtic
0.40
Camelon Juniors
0.50
Newtongrange Star
0.50
Rangers
0.50
Aberdeen
0.60
Banks O' Dee
0.67
Jeanfield Swifts
0.67
Hibernian
0.67
Dundee North End
0.75
Clydebank
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Bonnyton Thistle
1.00
Clachnacuddin
1.00
Carluke Rovers
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Musselburgh Athletic
1.00
Caledonian Braves
1.00
Dundonald Bluebell
1.00
Sauchie Juniors
1.00
Auchinleck Talbot
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Clyde
1.00
Darvel
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Hamilton Academical
1.00
Cumnock Juniors
1.00
Culter
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Blackburn United
1.00
Buckie Thistle
1.00
Penicuik Athletic
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
East Fife
1.00
ST Johnstone
1.25
Heart Of Midlothian
1.25
Dunfermline
1.33
East Kilbride
1.33
Hill Of Beath Hawthorn
1.33
Stirling
1.50
Edinburgh City
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Civil Service Strollers
1.50
Turriff United
1.50
Whitehill Welfare
1.50
Rutherglen Glencairn
1.50
Fraserburgh
1.50
Berwick Rangers
1.50
Girvan
1.50
Tynecastle
1.50
Falkirk
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Airdrie United
1.67
Bo'ness United
1.67
Forfar
1.67
Brechin
1.75
Morton
2.00
Queen's Park
2.00
Partick
2.00
Elgin
2.00
Annan Athletic
2.00
Dunbar United
2.00
Kilmarnock
2.00
Dunipace
2.00
Dalkeith Thistle
2.00
Golspie Sutherland
2.00
Inverurie Loco Works
2.00
Albion Rovers
2.00
Lothian Hutchison
2.00
Forres Mechanics
2.00
Stirling University
2.00
Kilwinning Rangers
2.00
Bo'ness Athletic
2.00
Keith
2.00
Threave Rovers
2.00
Wick Academy
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Gretna 2008
2.00
Dalbeattie Star
2.00
Stranraer
2.00
Tweedmouth
2.14
Lossiemouth
2.14
Johnstone Burgh
2.14
St Cadoc's
2.14
Broxburn Athletic
2.25
Cowdenbeath
2.33
Montrose
2.50
Burntisland Shipyard
2.50
Huntly
2.50
Lochee United
2.67
Kelty Hearts
3.00
Cumbernauld Colts
3.00
Nairn County
3.00
Preston Athletic
3.00
East Stirlingshire
3.00
Vale of Leithen
3.00
Tayport
3.00
Peterhead
3.00
Ross County
3.00
Raith Rovers
3.00
Creetown
3.00
Benburb
3.00
Edinburgh University
3.00
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.00
Pollok
3.00
Newton Stewart
3.00
Alloa Athletic
3.00
Dumbarton
3.50
Hawick Royal Albert
4.00
Glasgow University
4.00
Tranent Juniors
4.00
Deveronvale
4.00
Glenafton Athletic
4.00
Wigtown & Bladnoch
4.00
Easthouses Lily
4.00
Invergordon
4.00
Haddington Athletic
4.00
Strathspey Thistle
6.00
Coldstream
6.00
St Andrews United
7.00
Rothes
8.00
St. Cuthbert Wanderers
9.00
Rangers is 0.10 goals worse than Celtic in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 7.7 · Against 3.6 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.2 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Celtic
For 7.2 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 8.0 · Total 19.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
9.7
12.0
3.9
3.4
4.4
25.3
25.3
25.4
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
-
1.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (12)
10.0
9.1
12.0
4.2
4.0
4.8
27.6
28.6
25.3
vs Weaker (37)
11.2
9.9
12.3
3.8
3.2
4.5
24.5
23.7
25.2
% over line
61%
50%
73%
52%
48%
57%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
39%
50%
27%
48%
52%
43%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.6
10.9
3.4
3.2
3.5
21.4
20.2
22.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
11.2
9.8
12.4
3.7
4.4
3.0
22.0
21.0
22.8
vs Weaker (40)
11.3
12.1
10.5
3.3
2.9
3.6
21.3
20.1
22.4
% over line
66%
71%
61%
44%
33%
54%
34%
29%
39%
% under line
34%
29%
39%
56%
67%
46%
66%
71%
61%
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queen's Park
12.0
Celtic
11.2
Ross County
11.0
ST Mirren
11.0
Morton
10.9
Rangers
10.8
East Kilbride
10.8
Stirling
10.7
Aberdeen
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Hibernian
10.7
Elgin
10.5
Dumbarton
10.4
Falkirk
10.3
ST Johnstone
10.3
Airdrie United
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Stranraer
10.2
Partick
10.2
Dundee
10.2
Brechin
10.0
Kilmarnock
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Annan Athletic
9.8
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.6
Clyde
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Cowdenbeath
9.4
Inverness CT
9.4
Edinburgh City
9.2
Forfar
9.2
Motherwell
9.1
Spartans
8.7
Kelty Hearts
8.7
Peterhead
8.7
Stenhousemuir
8.4
Montrose
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Peterhead
5.3
Edinburgh City
5.1
Hamilton Academical
5.0
Aberdeen
4.8
Morton
4.8
Forfar
4.8
Ayr Utd
4.8
Stenhousemuir
4.6
Elgin
4.5
Livingston
4.5
Clyde
4.5
Hibernian
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
ST Johnstone
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Partick
4.2
Spartans
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Stranraer
4.1
Kelty Hearts
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Dundee Utd
4.1
East Fife
3.9
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.9
ST Mirren
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
Dunfermline
3.7
Montrose
3.7
Celtic
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Dundee
3.4
Ross County
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Arbroath
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.1
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
East Kilbride
26.9
Peterhead
26.7
Livingston
26.0
Motherwell
25.6
Rangers
25.2
Aberdeen
24.4
Edinburgh City
24.4
Forfar
24.4
Stenhousemuir
24.0
Falkirk
23.8
Kilmarnock
23.6
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
East Fife
23.1
ST Johnstone
22.8
Elgin
22.6
Morton
22.4
Hibernian
22.2
Clyde
22.0
Cowdenbeath
21.9
Stranraer
21.9
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee Utd
21.7
Montrose
21.7
Inverness CT
21.7
Annan Athletic
21.7
Dundee
21.4
Celtic
21.2
Dunfermline
21.1
Ross County
21.1
Kelty Hearts
21.1
Stirling
20.9
Arbroath
20.7
Cove Rangers
20.5
Dumbarton
20.5
Brechin
20.4
Airdrie United
20.3
Partick
20.2
Spartans
20.0
Queen's Park
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
72.8%
Under 9.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.2%
Under 3.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rangers or Draw✓ Hit
77.0%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
23%
covers Rangers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rangers or Celtic✗ Miss
74.8%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
23%
covers Rangers + Celtic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Celtic✓ Hit
48.3%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
23%
covers Draw + Celtic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
83.6%
Under
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
54.0%
Under
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
27.2%
Under
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.4%
Under
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rangers, so a minus line means Rangers give that many goals of a start and Celtic receive them. At -1, Rangers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rangers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rangers)Actual: Celtic
Rangers -2
13.5%
Draw -2
16.1%
Celtic +2
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rangers)Actual: Celtic
Rangers -1
29.6%
Draw -1
22.1%
Celtic +1
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers +1
77.0%
Draw +1
13.7%
Celtic -1
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers +2
90.6%
Draw +2
6.5%
Celtic -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.57
1.25
0.38
0.64
0.79
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.04
0.43
1.33
0.33
0.73
0.55
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.00
0.57
1.06
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.57
1.10
0.30
1.08
0.77
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.25
0.31
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.83
0.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.22
0.35
1.67
0.17
0.73
0.55
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Celtic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Celtic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.07
0.86
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.70
1.30
0.60
0.62
0.77
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Celtic over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 9.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (34)
€154m
RAN (25)
€127m
HOM (33)
€33m
HIB (31)
€30m
ABE (35)
€24m
MOT (28)
€21m
KIL (33)
€13m
DUN (30)
€12m
SM (26)
€8m
FAL (26)
€7m
LIV (29)
€6m
DUN (31)
€6m
SJ (26)
€5m
PAR (22)
€3m
RC (26)
€2m
MOR (26)
€2m
ARB (25)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Rangers's squad is €26m less valuable than Celtic's (€127m vs €154m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (9)
€59m
CEL (12)
€55m
HOM (12)
€19m
HIB (10)
€14m
MOT (10)
€12m
ABE (11)
€10m
KIL (12)
€5m
DUN (10)
€3m
SJ (9)
€3m
SM (9)
€3m
DUN (11)
€2m
FAL (10)
€2m
LIV (12)
€2m
RC (9)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
ARB (5)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Rangers's attack is €4m more valuable than Celtic's (€59m vs €55m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (6)
€38m
RAN (6)
€28m
HIB (8)
€10m
HOM (8)
€9m
ABE (10)
€5m
DUN (8)
€5m
MOT (8)
€4m
SM (7)
€3m
KIL (6)
€3m
LIV (8)
€3m
FAL (5)
€2m
PAR (7)
€1m
SJ (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (8)
€1m
RC (5)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
MON (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
Rangers's midfield is €10m less valuable than Celtic's (€28m vs €38m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (16)
€60m
RAN (10)
€40m
ABE (14)
€8m
HIB (13)
€6m
MOT (10)
€6m
HOM (13)
€5m
KIL (15)
€5m
DUN (11)
€5m
FAL (11)
€3m
SM (10)
€2m
DUN (14)
€2m
LIV (9)
€2m
SJ (10)
€2m
PAR (9)
€1m
RC (12)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (12)
€1m
MON (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Rangers's defence is €20m less valuable than Celtic's (€40m vs €60m).
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Heart Of Midlothian
Motherwell
Hibernian
Falkirk
Dundee Utd
Dundee
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
ST Mirren
Livingston
Partick
Dunfermline
Arbroath