Rangers are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 69% chance of a home win and a 22% chance of a draw, leaving only 8% for Hibernian. The club’s home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 2.36 goals and conceding just 0.57, while Hibernian’s away record against stronger sides is weak, with only 0.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The expected total goals is 2.3, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.8% probability. The model’s pick is a Rangers victory. The suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 81.5%, Under 3.5 goals at 79.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 72.7%, and Under 5.5 cards at 72.0%. Rangers’ recent form shows a win-winning streak after a defeat, whereas Hibernian also come off a loss, but their away form remains poor. The match is expected to be a straightforward home win for Rangers.
Results analysis
Rangers’ victory over Hibernian extended their recent run, with the 2-0 win confirming the model’s prediction of a home win at 69%. The final score matched the favoured outcome, and the model’s selection was correct. The match saw the model’s suggested picks largely hit: Over 2.5 cards at 81.5% probability, Under 3.5 goals at 79%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 72.7%, and Under 5.5 cards at 72% all came through. The most likely scoreline of 1-0 (16.8%) was close to the 2-0 result, and the overall goal expectation of 2.3 was satisfied. Rangers’ strong home form, averaging 2.36 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded, contrasted with Hibernian’s weaker away numbers, and the match’s statistics reflected that disparity.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rangers win✓ Hit
69.2%
Avg Implied 71.7% · @ 1.32
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.20
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hibernian win✗ Miss
8.4%
Avg Implied 10.1% · @ 9.35
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
0.80
2.38
0.56
2.07
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.67
1.33
2.50
0.50
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (27)
2.30
0.74
2.36
0.57
2.23
0.92
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.07
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.14
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.33
1.33
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.80
0.50
1.00
1.17
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
1.00
1.44
0.89
1.00
1.20
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.5%
@ 1.73-13.0%
Under 2.5
58.5%
@ 2.08+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
34.0%
No
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.8%
2-0 ✓
16.3%
0-0
10.5%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.6%
Rangers goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
3.9%
1.2%
0.2%
0.0%
1
17%
9.7%
2.2%
0.4%
0.0%
2
16%
8.2%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
3
10%
5.0%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
4
4.6%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.61
Livingston
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.26
Motherwell
1.21
Hibernian
1.18
ST Mirren
1.16
Aberdeen
1.08
Ross County
1.08
ST Johnstone
0.92
Dundee
0.76
Rangers is 1.16 points better than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (2.34 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.42
Rangers
2.11
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Ross County
1.24
Motherwell
1.11
Aberdeen
1.08
Livingston
1.08
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee Utd
0.97
Dundee
0.89
ST Mirren
0.87
ST Johnstone
0.63
Rangers is 1.11 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.58
Rangers
0.82
Hibernian
1.11
Dundee Utd
1.16
Heart Of Midlothian
1.16
Aberdeen
1.21
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.34
ST Johnstone
1.34
Motherwell
1.61
Ross County
1.61
Dundee
1.68
Rangers is 0.29 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hibernian
For 4.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.9
10.7
3.9
3.5
4.3
23.0
22.1
23.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
11.4
10.0
13.5
4.2
4.0
4.5
26.4
26.3
26.5
vs Weaker (45)
10.7
11.0
10.4
3.8
3.4
4.3
22.6
21.6
23.6
% over line
62%
58%
67%
50%
42%
58%
64%
54%
75%
% under line
38%
42%
33%
50%
58%
42%
36%
46%
25%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.5
3.6
3.1
4.2
24.3
24.3
24.3
vs Stronger (10)
10.7
10.0
11.4
3.4
3.2
3.6
24.3
24.2
24.4
vs Similar (15)
9.9
10.3
9.5
3.7
3.4
4.0
24.7
25.3
24.2
vs Weaker (25)
9.4
10.0
8.6
3.6
2.9
4.6
24.0
23.8
24.4
% over line
46%
52%
39%
42%
30%
57%
76%
74%
78%
% under line
54%
48%
61%
58%
70%
43%
24%
26%
22%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
Dundee
11.1
Rangers
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.7
ST Mirren
10.5
Ross County
10.4
Motherwell
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Hibernian
9.8
ST Johnstone
9.7
Aberdeen
9.7
Livingston
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Livingston
3.9
Rangers
3.9
Ross County
3.8
Aberdeen
3.8
Heart Of Midlothian
3.8
Motherwell
3.8
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Hibernian
3.6
ST Mirren
3.3
Celtic
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aberdeen
26.6
Motherwell
26.1
Dundee
25.8
Heart Of Midlothian
25.5
Livingston
24.7
ST Johnstone
24.7
Ross County
24.4
Hibernian
24.3
ST Mirren
24.2
Dundee Utd
23.8
Rangers
23.0
Celtic
22.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.0%
Under 3.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.47
1.00
0.31
1.00
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.04
0.37
1.00
0.29
1.08
0.46
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.62
0.44
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.40
0.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.43
0.89
0.33
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.33
1.38
0.25
1.07
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.26
0.37
1.36
0.29
1.15
0.46
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.38
0.56
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.67
0.00
0.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.40
0.25
0.75
0.67
0.17
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.57
0.56
0.56
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rangers · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Ryan Don Naderi25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Vanja Dragojević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Neil67%
Dujon Sterling33%
Vanja Dragojević33%
Lawrence Shankland25%
Emmanuel Fernandez25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daisuke Yokota33%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Vanja Dragojević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Vanja Dragojević33%
Djeidi Gassama25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Hibernian · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Passlack33%
Jason Kerr33%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Josh Mulligan0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Mulligan33%
Ante Šuto33%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa33%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Felix Passlack0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Adam Mayor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Mulligan33%
Nathan Lowe33%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Felix Passlack0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Mulligan33%
Nathan Lowe33%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Felix Passlack0%
Jason Kerr0%
Jordan Obita0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Adam Mayor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
RC (11)
€1m
Rangers's squad is €116m more valuable than Hibernian's (€136m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Rangers's attack is €31m more valuable than Hibernian's (€38m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Rangers's midfield is €37m more valuable than Hibernian's (€44m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Rangers's defence is €49m more valuable than Hibernian's (€54m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
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Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
Livingston
Dundee Utd
Motherwell
ST Mirren
Aberdeen
Ross County
ST Johnstone
Dundee