This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.03
1.50
1.06
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.44
1.33
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
1.29
0.86
1.60
0.80
1.00
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.58-11.9%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 2.33+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.4%
No
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
16.4%
1-0
14.9%
3-0
11.3%
1-1
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
5.9%
3-1 ✓
5.7%
Rangers goals ↓
Kilmarnock goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
15%
8.7%
2.0%
0.3%
0.0%
2
16%
8.2%
2.1%
0.3%
0.0%
3
11%
5.7%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
4
5.9%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Kilmarnock goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.45
Rangers
2.24
Heart Of Midlothian
1.79
Partick
1.75
Kilmarnock
1.47
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.24
Hibernian
1.21
Motherwell
1.13
Dundee
1.11
Ross County
1.02
ST Johnstone
0.92
Raith Rovers
0.75
Livingston
0.66
Airdrie United
0.50
Rangers is 0.76 points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.29
Partick
1.75
Airdrie United
1.50
Motherwell
1.47
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Dundee
1.29
Aberdeen
1.26
ST Mirren
1.21
Kilmarnock
1.21
Ross County
1.10
Raith Rovers
1.00
Livingston
0.76
ST Johnstone
0.76
Rangers is 1.08 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals scored per game (2.29 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.79
Rangers
0.84
Heart Of Midlothian
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.16
ST Mirren
1.37
Aberdeen
1.37
ST Johnstone
1.42
Partick
1.50
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.55
Ross County
1.70
Dundee
1.79
Livingston
1.84
Airdrie United
2.00
Raith Rovers
2.25
Rangers is 0.32 goals better than Kilmarnock in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
69%
Rangers
63%
Heart Of Midlothian
55%
Hibernian
53%
Aberdeen
49%
Motherwell
46%
ST Mirren
45%
Kilmarnock
45%
Ross County
44%
Dundee
44%
ST Johnstone
44%
Livingston
43%
Rangers is 17.4 percentage points better than Kilmarnock in terms of average possession (63% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 5.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kilmarnock
For 6.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.6
2.7
2.8
2.6
22.6
21.9
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
10.1
12.2
8.0
3.9
3.2
4.8
24.0
23.2
24.8
vs Weaker (39)
10.1
10.1
10.2
2.3
2.6
2.0
22.0
21.3
22.6
% over line
59%
64%
53%
44%
46%
42%
52%
43%
60%
% under line
41%
36%
47%
56%
54%
58%
48%
57%
40%
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.4
11.2
1.8
1.5
2.1
23.4
23.5
23.4
vs Stronger (16)
11.4
10.5
12.7
2.1
1.8
2.6
22.3
23.2
21.0
vs Similar (34)
11.2
11.9
10.6
1.6
1.4
1.9
24.0
23.6
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
73%
60%
26%
19%
33%
57%
64%
50%
% under line
33%
27%
40%
74%
81%
67%
43%
36%
50%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Dundee
11.2
ST Mirren
11.0
Ross County
10.8
Motherwell
10.7
Kilmarnock
10.6
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
ST Johnstone
10.3
Hibernian
10.1
Partick
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Rangers
9.8
Livingston
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Rangers
4.5
Aberdeen
4.2
Livingston
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Ross County
4.1
ST Johnstone
3.9
Celtic
3.7
Kilmarnock
3.7
Dundee
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Partick
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
25.7
Aberdeen
25.2
Livingston
24.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.9
Ross County
23.5
Hibernian
23.5
Kilmarnock
22.8
ST Mirren
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.4
Rangers
21.7
Dundee
21.5
Partick
20.4
Celtic
19.8
Airdrie United
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
68.4%
Under 9.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
51.7%
Under 21.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.43
1.00
0.43
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.25
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
1.10
0.50
0.83
0.25
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.22
0.50
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.43
0.70
0.40
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
0.93
0.36
1.00
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.18
1.10
0.20
1.08
0.17
Clean sheet %
77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Kilmarnock) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kilmarnock
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.37
0.88
0.31
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.22
0.83
0.17
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.43
0.90
0.40
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kilmarnock over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
73.7%
1.23
-
-
-
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdallah Sima38%
James Tavernier36%
Cyriel Dessers35%
Danilo26%
Rabbi Matondo24%
Todd Cantwell21%
Fábio Silva20%
Oscar Cortés17%
Kieran Dowell13%
Mohammed Diomande13%
Ross McCausland12%
Tom Lawrence11%
Kemar Roofe10%
Sam Lammers7%
Ben Davies7%
Ryan Jack6%
John Souttar6%
Nicolas Raskin4%
Scott Wright4%
Rıdvan Yılmaz4%
Dujon Sterling3%
Borna Barišić0%
Connor Goldson0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
José Cifuentes0%
John Lundstram0%
Leon King0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor Goldson27%
Todd Cantwell21%
Borna Barišić17%
John Souttar14%
Dujon Sterling14%
Sam Lammers11%
James Tavernier10%
John Lundstram9%
Abdallah Sima9%
Rabbi Matondo8%
Nicolas Raskin8%
Rıdvan Yılmaz7%
Leon Balogun7%
Ben Davies7%
Kieran Dowell7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Kemar Roofe5%
Jack Butland4%
Scott Wright4%
Tom Lawrence4%
Cyriel Dessers2%
Danilo0%
Ryan Jack0%
José Cifuentes0%
Fábio Silva0%
Leon King0%
Ross McCausland0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon King20%
Oscar Cortés17%
James Tavernier16%
Danilo16%
Borna Barišić14%
John Lundstram14%
Kieran Dowell13%
Cyriel Dessers13%
Rabbi Matondo12%
Ross McCausland12%
José Cifuentes11%
Sam Lammers11%
Tom Lawrence11%
Todd Cantwell11%
Dujon Sterling7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Abdallah Sima6%
Kemar Roofe5%
Nicolas Raskin4%
Rıdvan Yılmaz4%
John Souttar3%
Connor Goldson2%
Ryan Jack0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
Ben Davies0%
Scott Wright0%
Fábio Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abdallah Sima44%
Danilo37%
Cyriel Dessers30%
Fábio Silva25%
Todd Cantwell21%
Sam Lammers19%
Oscar Cortés17%
James Tavernier14%
Rabbi Matondo12%
John Souttar11%
Rıdvan Yılmaz11%
Tom Lawrence11%
John Lundstram9%
Ben Davies7%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Kemar Roofe5%
Ross McCausland3%
Connor Goldson2%
Borna Barišić0%
Ryan Jack0%
Nicolas Raskin0%
Leon Balogun0%
Jack Butland0%
José Cifuentes0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Scott Wright0%
Leon King0%
Kilmarnock
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marley Watkins25%
Kyle Vassell20%
David Watson14%
Danny Armstrong13%
Gary Mackay-Steven11%
Joe Wright10%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba4%
Rory McKenzie4%
Robbie Deas3%
Lewis Mayo3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Deas33%
Bradley Lyons30%
Liam Donnelly30%
Joe Wright28%
David Watson25%
Danny Armstrong24%
Kevin van Veen17%
Rory McKenzie14%
Lewis Mayo14%
Stuart Findlay14%
Greg Stewart12%
Kyle Magennis12%
Kyle Vassell11%
Innes Cameron10%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Corrie Ndaba7%
Liam Polworth7%
Marley Watkins6%
Will Dennis6%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Fraser Murray0%
Andrew Dallas0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Danny Armstrong24%
Liam Polworth11%
Kyle Vassell9%
Matthew Kennedy9%
Marley Watkins8%
Kevin van Veen8%
Andrew Dallas7%
Fraser Murray7%
David Watson6%
Joe Wright3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Corrie Ndaba0%
Stuart Findlay0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Bradley Lyons0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Innes Cameron0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kyle Vassell26%
Marley Watkins17%
Danny Armstrong16%
Matthew Kennedy14%
Liam Donnelly11%
Innes Cameron10%
Bradley Lyons4%
Corrie Ndaba4%
David Watson3%
Stuart Findlay3%
Kieran O'Hara0%
Joe Wright0%
Kevin van Veen0%
Rory McKenzie0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Greg Stewart0%
Fraser Murray0%
Kyle Magennis0%
Liam Polworth0%
Andrew Dallas0%
Lewis Mayo0%
Robbie Deas0%
Will Dennis0%
James Balagizi0%
Thomas Davies0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Rangers's squad is €129m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€136m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Rangers's attack is €36m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€38m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
Rangers's midfield is €42m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€44m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
Rangers's defence is €51m more valuable than Kilmarnock's (€54m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →