Rangers are tipped for a high-scoring outing, with the model projecting an average of 3.2 goals and a 58% chance of a home win. The most probable final score is 1-1, a 10.5% chance, while the overall expected total of three goals sits at 22% probability. Rangers’ home form is strong against weaker opposition, scoring 3.29 and conceding 1.07, whereas Motherwell’s away form against stronger teams yields only 1.25 goals for and 2.5 against. The match result favoured by the model is a home win. Suggested selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Under 6.5 at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.0%, and Home +2 handicap at 92.2%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 58% home win, 23% draw, and 19% away win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rangers win
59.1%
Avg Implied 64.4% · @ 1.45
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Dafabet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Unibet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Draw
21.7%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.45
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.66
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Motherwell win
19.2%
Avg Implied 14.6% · @ 6.41
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.70
Dafabet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
1xBet
6.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.27
2.94
1.06
1.64
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
0.67
1.00
3.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.60
1.20
3.38
1.15
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.13
1.67
0.73
1.47
1.53
vs Stronger (7)
1.57
2.29
1.50
1.75
1.67
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.64
0.82
1.73
0.36
1.55
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.5%
@ 1.17+6.9%
Under 1.5
13.5%
@ 4.57-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Under
BetVictor
4.80
Pinnacle
4.74
Unibet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.6%
@ 1.61+8.0%
Under 2.5
33.4%
@ 2.28-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Bet365
2.30
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.8%
@ 2.47+6.9%
Under 3.5
55.2%
@ 1.50-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Both teams to score
Yes
63.5%
@ 1.73+9.9%
No
36.5%
@ 2.00-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Unibet
1.73
1xBet
1.71
No
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.7%@ 7.62+3.8%
1-1
9.6%@ 8.03+4.0%
2-0
7.9%@ 7.33+1.9%
3-1
7.1%@ 10.41+2.8%
1-0
6.3%@ 7.42+0.3%
2-2
5.9%@ 14.47+2.8%
3-0
5.9%@ 9.91+1.4%
1-2
5.3%@ 17.00+2.7%
Rangers goals ↓
Motherwell goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.1%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
1
6.3%
9.6%
5.3%
2.2%
0.7%
2
7.9%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.9%
7.1%
4.3%
1.8%
0.5%
4
3.2%
3.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = Motherwell goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Rangers is 0.29 points better than Motherwell in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Johnstone
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Rangers is 0.45 goals better than Motherwell in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
ST Johnstone
1.56
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Rangers is 0.18 goals worse than Motherwell in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Rangers is 0.1 percentage points better than Motherwell in terms of average possession (58% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 6.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.6 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
For 3.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.4
10.8
3.8
3.1
4.5
26.3
25.8
26.8
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
-
1.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (9)
10.1
10.0
10.3
4.8
3.8
6.0
29.6
28.8
30.7
vs Weaker (40)
10.2
9.2
11.1
3.6
2.9
4.4
25.6
25.1
26.1
% over line
57%
57%
57%
46%
38%
54%
77%
81%
74%
% under line
43%
43%
43%
54%
62%
46%
23%
19%
26%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.6
8.7
4.5
4.2
4.7
26.0
26.1
26.0
vs Stronger (9)
7.7
7.5
7.8
4.4
5.5
3.6
25.0
27.2
23.2
vs Similar (40)
8.3
7.6
9.0
4.6
4.0
5.2
26.3
25.8
26.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
36%
23%
48%
66%
62%
69%
78%
73%
83%
% under line
64%
77%
52%
34%
38%
31%
22%
27%
17%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.1
Celtic
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hibernian
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.3
Rangers
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.1
Dundee
9.7
Falkirk
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Motherwell
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Motherwell
4.7
Hibernian
4.6
Heart Of Midlothian
4.6
Rangers
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Falkirk
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.0
Celtic
3.8
Dundee
3.7
ST Mirren
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rangers
26.7
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.6
Falkirk
25.4
Heart Of Midlothian
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.2
Hibernian
23.2
ST Mirren
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.2
Dundee
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Celtic
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.7%
@ 1.77-1.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
@ 1.95+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Unibet
2.12
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.80+14.3%
Under 3.5
34.5%
@ 1.89-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.9%
Under 21.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rangers or Draw
80.8%
Avg Implied 84.8% · @ 1.11
Edge
-4.0%
59%
22%
19%
covers Rangers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Rangers or Motherwell
78.3%
Avg Implied 79.5% · @ 1.18
Edge
-1.2%
59%
22%
19%
covers Rangers + Motherwell
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw or Motherwell
40.9%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.63
Edge
+5.2%
59%
22%
19%
covers Draw + Motherwell
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
BetVictor
2.63
10Bet
2.62
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rangers over/under 0.5
Over
89.1%
@ 1.08+2.6%
Under
10.9%
@ 6.87-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Rangers over/under 1.5
Over
64.8%
@ 1.48+1.9%
Under
35.2%
@ 2.52-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Rangers over/under 2.5
Over
38.1%
@ 2.51+0.8%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.49-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Unibet
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Rangers over/under 3.5
Over
18.3%
@ 4.92-0.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.14+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Unibet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Motherwell over/under 0.5
Over
70.4%
@ 1.56+10.9%
Under
29.6%
@ 2.29-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.41
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
Motherwell over/under 1.5
Over
34.3%
@ 3.78+9.7%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.24-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Pinnacle
3.81
BetVictor
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Motherwell over/under 2.5
Over
12.4%
@ 11.10+3.9%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.03-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Unibet
1.01
Motherwell over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
@ 26.75-0.1%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rangers, so a minus line means Rangers give that many goals of a start and Motherwell receive them. At -1, Rangers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rangers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rangers)
Rangers -2
19.7%
@ 3.96-2.9%
Draw -2
17.9%
@ 4.25-3.2%
Motherwell +2
62.3%
@ 1.59+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.85
Draw
Marathonbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
Handicap -1 (Rangers)
Rangers -1
37.7%
@ 2.19-3.2%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.60-3.5%
Motherwell +1
40.9%
@ 2.61+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
2.66
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.55
Handicap +1 (Rangers)
Rangers +1
80.8%
@ 1.11+0.4%
Draw +1
11.4%
@ 7.08-1.2%
Motherwell -1
7.9%
@ 12.55+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
17.00
10Bet
13.00
Unibet
13.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Handicap +2 (Rangers)
Rangers +2
92.1%
@ 1.02-1.5%
Draw +2
5.4%
@ 21.00+0.9%
Motherwell -2
2.5%
@ 51.00+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Away
Bet365
51.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.25
0.50
0.79
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.04
0.68
1.31
0.62
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.73
0.40
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.71
0.75
0.75
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.36
0.73
0.27
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.0%
@ 1.29+1.7%
Under 0.5
26.0%
@ 3.36-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
Unibet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.6%
@ 2.34-0.1%
Under 1.5
60.4%
@ 1.54+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
2.36
Unibet
2.35
Under
William Hil
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
BetVictor
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.42-1.4%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.12+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
Unibet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.8%
@ 1.53-4.4%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.40+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.53
Unibet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.32
Rangers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.1%
@ 3.53-7.1%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.25+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.64
Unibet
3.60
Betano
3.55
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Rangers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.3%
@ 9.02-5.0%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
9.50
1xBet
9.30
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.8%
@ 2.74+7.9%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.41-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.92
Betano
2.77
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.65
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 9.68-0.3%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.50
1xBet
9.80
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.69
0.56
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (25)
1.56
0.52
2.08
0.54
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.93
0.33
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
0.75
1.00
0.33
2.33
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.45
1.00
0.09
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.9%
@ 1.16+1.6%
Under 0.5
18.1%
@ 4.70-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Betano
4.70
Unibet
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.6%
@ 1.82-3.8%
Under 1.5
52.4%
@ 1.92+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.6%
@ 3.48-4.1%
Under 2.5
77.4%
@ 1.26+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.9%
@ 1.34-9.3%
Under
40.1%
@ 3.02+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Under
Betano
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Rangers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.5%
@ 2.58-13.3%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.44+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Rangers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.0%
@ 5.90-9.6%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.09+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.0%
@ 2.25+5.8%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.58-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.4%
@ 7.21+1.6%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.06-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
7.90
Betano
6.80
10Bet
5.75
Under
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 12.50-4.1%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.0%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.0%
Under 6.5
94.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+0.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+9.6%
Home +2 handicap
92.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.5%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Unibet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
89.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
+2.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
87.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Unibet
1.01
-
-
-3.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Unibet
1.04
BetVictor
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-2.2%
Over 1.5
86.5%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Unibet
1.18
+6.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.06
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-1.6%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+1.4%
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
+1.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
81.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+0.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.9%
1.25
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
+7.1%
Home or Draw
80.8%
1.11
Betano
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
-4.0%
Home +1 handicap
80.8%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
-
+0.4%
Home or Away
78.3%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-1.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.44
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
-
+13.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+4.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.0%
1.29
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+1.7%
Under 4.5
73.9%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
-5.1%
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
1.35
Unibet
1.46
Betano
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+4.6%
Under 5.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.4%
1.56
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
+10.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
L. Shankland33%
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Ryan Don Naderi20%
Ross McCrorie0%
C. Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
B. Godfrey0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
J. Penrice0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
D. Yokota0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
O. Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
V. Dragojević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Neil50%
Dujon Sterling50%
Ross McCrorie33%
V. Dragojević33%
C. Devlin20%
O. Makhanya20%
L. Shankland17%
Emmanuel Fernandez17%
Findlay Curtis17%
Ivor Pandur0%
B. Godfrey0%
J. Penrice0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
D. Yokota0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ross McCrorie33%
D. Yokota20%
Djeidi Gassama17%
C. Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
B. Godfrey0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
L. Shankland0%
J. Penrice0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
O. Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
V. Dragojević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Djeidi Gassama33%
V. Dragojević33%
L. Shankland17%
Ross McCrorie0%
C. Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
B. Godfrey0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
J. Penrice0%
Tochi Chukwuani0%
D. Yokota0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
O. Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Regan Charles-Cook40%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
I. Said20%
Lukas Fadinger17%
A. Lowry17%
M. Emmanuel17%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
T. Sparrow0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lukas Fadinger50%
M. Moormann40%
Stephen O'Donnell33%
Joe Hodge25%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
T. Sparrow20%
A. Lowry17%
Jamie Knight-Lebel17%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Emmanuel0%
I. Said0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
Tawanda Maswanhise0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Williams33%
I. Said20%
T. Sparrow20%
A. Lowry17%
M. Emmanuel17%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Lukas Fadinger0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
S. Palmer-Houlden0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tawanda Maswanhise50%
A. Lowry33%
M. Emmanuel33%
S. Palmer-Houlden25%
Lukas Fadinger17%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
A. Paulsen0%
M. Moormann0%
Joe Hodge0%
I. Said0%
J. Girdwood-Reich0%
T. Sparrow0%
Dylan Williams0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Jamie Knight-Lebel0%
Olly Whyte0%
Willy Vogt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
Rangers's squad is €120m more valuable than Motherwell's (€136m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
Rangers's attack is €29m more valuable than Motherwell's (€38m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
Rangers's midfield is €43m more valuable than Motherwell's (€44m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
Rangers's defence is €49m more valuable than Motherwell's (€54m vs €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
ST Mirren
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Hibernian
ST Johnstone
Dundee Utd
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Kilmarnock