Rangers enter the fixture on a positive streak, having won their last match 1-0 over Aberdeen, and the model rates a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 66% probability. The team’s home form against weaker opposition is strong, averaging 3.07 goals scored and only 1.07 conceded, while ST Mirren’s away record against stronger teams is poor, with 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The expected total is 2.6 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-0, carrying a 13.6% chance. The model’s suggested picks include an away under 3.5 goals (99.5%), under 7.5 (99.4%), under 6.5 (98.1%), home +2 handicap (96.8%), away under 2.5 goals (96.7%), under 5.5 cards (95.7%), under 25.5 fouls (90.5%), and an under 5.5 that missed (94.8%). The probabilities for the match result are 66% home win, 22% draw, and 11% away win.
Results analysis
Rangers’ recent form, a win that extended their winning run, set the stage for a convincing home victory. The model’s favourite, a home win at 66 percent, proved correct as Rangers triumphed 5-1. The prediction of 2-0 as the most likely score fell short, but the match still delivered a high-scoring spectacle. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 3.5 goals (99.5 percent) and Under 7.5 (99.4 percent) were both correct, as were Under 6.5 (98.1 percent), Home +2 handicap (96.8 percent) and Away under 2.5 goals (96.7 percent). Only Under 5.5 (94.8 percent) missed, yet the overall accuracy of the model’s choices was impressive.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rangers win✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren win✗ Miss
11.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rangers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
1.23
2.71
1.00
1.92
1.54
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.67
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.62
1.17
3.07
1.07
2.00
1.30
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.23
0.92
1.31
1.47
1.18
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.00
1.00
0.33
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (21)
1.24
1.38
0.90
1.60
1.55
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.0%
Under 1.5
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.7%
No
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.6%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.3%
Rangers goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
4.0%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
13%
11%
3.3%
0.8%
0.1%
2
14%
9.4%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
3
8.8%
6.1%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
4.3%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rangers goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
ST Johnstone
2.60
Heart Of Midlothian
2.60
Partick
2.50
Alloa Athletic
2.40
Rangers
2.33
ST Mirren
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Airdrie United
2.25
Kilmarnock
2.20
Motherwell
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Ayr Utd
1.80
Morton
1.80
Celtic
1.75
Cove Rangers
1.75
Ross County
1.75
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Livingston
1.50
Inverness CT
1.50
Raith Rovers
1.50
East Kilbride
1.50
Dundee
1.50
Hibernian
1.50
Dumbarton
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Clyde
1.25
Stranraer
1.25
Arbroath
1.00
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Forfar
1.00
East Fife
1.00
Montrose
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Queen of the South
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.33
Edinburgh City
0.25
Annan Athletic
0.25
Stirling
0.00
Elgin
0.00
Dundee Utd
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Peterhead
0.00
Rangers is 0.08 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heart Of Midlothian
3.40
Raith Rovers
3.25
ST Johnstone
3.00
Falkirk
3.00
Ayr Utd
2.80
ST Mirren
2.75
East Kilbride
2.75
Ross County
2.75
Celtic
2.50
Rangers
2.33
Queen's Park
2.25
Dunfermline
2.25
Inverness CT
2.25
Partick
2.17
Morton
2.00
Livingston
2.00
Airdrie United
2.00
Dundee
2.00
Kilmarnock
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.80
Arbroath
1.50
Aberdeen
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Cove Rangers
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.00
Peterhead
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Spartans
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Forfar
0.75
East Fife
0.67
Elgin
0.50
Dumbarton
0.50
Stranraer
0.50
Edinburgh City
0.25
Stirling
0.00
Kelty Hearts
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Rangers is 0.42 goals worse than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 2.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
ST Johnstone
0.40
Heart Of Midlothian
0.40
Aberdeen
0.50
Cove Rangers
0.50
Kilmarnock
0.60
Dundee
0.75
Stranraer
0.75
Ayr Utd
1.00
Partick
1.00
Livingston
1.00
Airdrie United
1.00
Ross County
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Motherwell
1.00
Falkirk
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Queen of the South
1.00
ST Mirren
1.12
Arbroath
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Celtic
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.40
Queen's Park
1.50
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Spartans
1.50
Forfar
1.50
Morton
1.60
Hamilton Academical
1.75
Dundee Utd
2.00
Inverness CT
2.00
Clyde
2.00
Dumbarton
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Stirling
2.25
Raith Rovers
2.25
Peterhead
2.25
Kelty Hearts
2.33
Montrose
2.50
East Kilbride
3.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Brechin
4.25
Elgin
4.75
Annan Athletic
5.25
Rangers is 0.12 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
63%
ST Mirren
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rangers
For 6.6 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
For 6.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rangers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
11.0
3.8
3.2
4.4
26.2
25.9
26.6
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
1.0
-
1.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (11)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.6
4.0
5.4
29.9
28.8
31.2
vs Weaker (38)
10.4
9.4
11.4
3.6
3.0
4.3
25.2
25.0
25.4
% over line
58%
55%
61%
50%
42%
58%
78%
82%
74%
% under line
42%
45%
39%
50%
58%
42%
22%
18%
26%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.4
11.7
2.9
3.3
2.6
22.1
20.1
24.2
vs Stronger (16)
10.8
10.1
11.5
3.1
3.9
2.4
22.3
21.9
22.8
vs Similar (33)
11.2
10.6
11.8
2.9
2.9
2.9
22.0
18.8
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
70%
70%
70%
34%
52%
19%
57%
45%
70%
% under line
30%
30%
30%
66%
48%
81%
43%
55%
30%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.2
Ross County
10.9
Stirling
10.9
Morton
10.9
Celtic
10.8
Hibernian
10.6
Dundee Utd
10.5
Hamilton Academical
10.5
Partick
10.4
East Kilbride
10.4
Dumbarton
10.4
Stranraer
10.3
Elgin
10.3
Rangers
10.2
Airdrie United
10.1
Aberdeen
10.1
Brechin
10.1
ST Johnstone
10.0
Alloa Athletic
10.0
Ayr Utd
10.0
Annan Athletic
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Livingston
9.9
Dundee
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Falkirk
9.6
Arbroath
9.6
Kilmarnock
9.5
Kelty Hearts
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.4
Dunfermline
9.3
Edinburgh City
9.2
Spartans
9.2
Inverness CT
9.1
Forfar
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Peterhead
8.9
Stenhousemuir
8.5
Montrose
8.5
Motherwell
8.3
Queen of the South
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
East Kilbride
5.6
Edinburgh City
5.1
Peterhead
5.0
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Aberdeen
4.8
Hibernian
4.8
Motherwell
4.7
Morton
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.5
Partick
4.4
Forfar
4.3
Elgin
4.3
Kelty Hearts
4.2
Clyde
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Livingston
4.2
Stranraer
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.1
Falkirk
4.1
Spartans
4.1
Annan Athletic
4.0
Stirling
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Celtic
3.9
Montrose
3.7
Dundee
3.6
Arbroath
3.6
East Fife
3.5
Brechin
3.5
ST Mirren
3.5
Dumbarton
3.5
Ross County
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
3.2
Queen of the South
3.0
Raith Rovers
3.0
Hamilton Academical
2.7
Queen's Park
2.5
Alloa Athletic
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
East Kilbride
26.4
Rangers
26.0
Motherwell
25.9
Aberdeen
25.5
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Falkirk
25.3
Kilmarnock
24.4
Forfar
24.0
Heart Of Midlothian
24.0
Edinburgh City
23.9
Hibernian
23.4
East Fife
22.9
Elgin
22.7
Kelty Hearts
22.5
Stranraer
22.3
Annan Athletic
22.2
Montrose
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Alloa Athletic
22.0
Ayr Utd
22.0
ST Mirren
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.9
Clyde
21.7
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Dundee
21.6
Celtic
21.3
Stirling
21.1
Cove Rangers
21.0
Ross County
21.0
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Dumbarton
20.5
Brechin
20.5
Spartans
20.4
Queen of the South
20.0
Airdrie United
20.0
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Hamilton Academical
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.9%
Under 9.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
32.2%
Under 21.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rangers or Draw✓ Hit
88.6%
Avg Implied -
66%
22%
11%
covers Rangers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rangers or ST Mirren✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied -
66%
22%
11%
covers Rangers + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or ST Mirren✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
66%
22%
11%
covers Draw + ST Mirren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.8%
Under
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.0%
Under
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.0%
Under
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
13.4%
Under
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.9%
Under
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rangers, so a minus line means Rangers give that many goals of a start and ST Mirren receive them. At -1, Rangers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rangers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers -2
20.8%
Draw -2
20.8%
ST Mirren +2
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers -1
41.6%
Draw -1
24.7%
ST Mirren +1
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers +1
88.6%
Draw +1
8.1%
ST Mirren -1
3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Rangers)Actual: Rangers
Rangers +2
96.8%
Draw +2
2.6%
ST Mirren -2
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rangers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.24
0.41
0.85
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.12
0.62
1.29
0.50
0.90
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.23
0.54
0.71
0.59
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.62
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.57
0.20
0.60
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rangers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.47
0.59
1.08
0.54
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.80
0.00
0.67
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.50
0.54
1.79
0.57
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.69
0.77
0.76
0.59
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.38
0.67
0.00
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.81
0.70
1.00
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Ryan Don Naderi25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Vanja Dragojević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dan Neil67%
Dujon Sterling33%
Vanja Dragojević33%
Lawrence Shankland25%
Emmanuel Fernandez25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daisuke Yokota33%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Thelo Aasgaard0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Djeidi Gassama0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Vanja Dragojević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thelo Aasgaard33%
Vanja Dragojević33%
Djeidi Gassama25%
Cameron Devlin0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Dan Neil0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Lawrence Shankland0%
Daisuke Yokota0%
Ryan Don Naderi0%
Emmanuel Fernandez0%
Olwethu Makhanya0%
Findlay Curtis0%
ST Mirren · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Young15%
Jonah Ayunga13%
Mikael Mandron11%
Dan N'Lundulu11%
Miguel Freckleton11%
Killian Phillips8%
Keanu Baccus6%
Richard King6%
Alexander Gogić6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Scott Tanser5%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Marcus Fraser3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Allan Campbell0%
Shamal George0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus38%
Alexander Gogić36%
Killian Phillips24%
Fraser Taylor22%
Richard King22%
Marcus Fraser19%
Roland Idowu19%
Miguel Freckleton19%
Liam Donnelly18%
Jacob Devaney15%
Mikael Mandron11%
Shamal George9%
Allan Campbell8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Mark O'Hara4%
Jonah Ayunga4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Declan John3%
Jayden Richardson3%
Kion Etete0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Tanser18%
Declan John17%
Mikael Mandron14%
Jacob Devaney8%
Mark O'Hara4%
Conor McMenamin4%
Richard King3%
Alexander Gogić3%
Shamal George3%
Miguel Freckleton3%
Keanu Baccus0%
Kion Etete0%
Jonah Ayunga0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Liam Donnelly0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Killian Phillips0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Roland Idowu0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Evan Mooney0%
Luke Douglas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Douglas33%
Jonah Ayunga9%
Killian Phillips8%
Roland Idowu8%
Dan N'Lundulu7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Liam Donnelly6%
Alexander Gogić3%
Mark O'Hara0%
Mikael Mandron0%
Kion Etete0%
Declan John0%
Ross Sinclair0%
Scott Tanser0%
Allan Campbell0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Shamal George0%
Conor McMenamin0%
Jayden Richardson0%
Tunmise Sobowale0%
Jake Young0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Richard King0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Jalmaro Calvin0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Jacob Devaney0%
Evan Mooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Rangers's squad is €129m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€136m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Rangers's attack is €37m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€38m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Rangers's midfield is €41m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€44m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Rangers's defence is €50m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€54m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Heart Of Midlothian
Dundee
Hibernian
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
ST Johnstone
Aberdeen
Falkirk
Kilmarnock