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Ranheim vs Kongsvinger Result & Analysis

Date: 10/10/2022
Time: 16:00
Final 0-2
Ranheim
Ranheim
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Ranheim and Kongsvinger is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home victory. The probability of a Ranheim win sits at 41%, a draw at 27%, and a Kongsvinger win at 32%. The expected total goals hover near 2.9, with the most likely total of 2 goals carrying a 24% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, with a 12.5% probability.

Ranheim, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 2.18 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Kongsvinger, on the road against a comparable side, averages only 0.43 goals scored while conceding 0.86. Recent form shows Ranheim struggling after three straight defeats, while Kongsvinger comes off a draw.

The model’s selection list contains Over 1.5 goals with an 80.1% probability. No edge percentage is provided. This concise preview outlines the key statistical picture without prescribing any action.

Results analysis

The upset was immediate: the pre-match favourite, a home win for Ranheim with a 41% chance, failed to materialise as Kongsvinger snatched a 0-2 away victory. The model’s call was wrong, and the final score of 0-2 confirms the away side’s triumph. The suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 80.1% probability, fitting the 2-goal total. Ranheim’s recent form, a 3-straight defeat streak, was highlighted, while Kongsvinger’s form, a draw followed by three wins, set the stage for their success. The match finished with Kongsvinger’s two-goal haul, leaving the model’s prediction in the wrong camp.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranheim win✗ Miss
41.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger win✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L21W11D11D05L12L33D02L12LH·STJ31/07A·SKE04/08H·MJO08/08A·FRE14/08H·BRY22/08A·BRA29/08A·GRO05/09H·ASA11/09A·SOG17/09H·SAN03/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.651.652.081.691.231.62
vs Stronger (4)1.003.001.503.000.503.00
vs Similar (22)1.771.412.181.451.361.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %8% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W21W21W22D10W01L41W31W21W00DH·MJO31/07H·BRY04/08A·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.461.191.921.151.001.23
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (14)1.001.001.571.140.430.86
vs Weaker (10)2.301.102.600.802.001.40
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
Ranheim goals ↓
Kongsvinger goals →
01234
06.5%6.1%5.0%2.3%0.8%
17.2%13%7.8%3.5%1.2%
26.6%8.9%6.1%2.8%0.9%
33.4%4.7%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranheim goals (down), columns = Kongsvinger goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brann
2.70
Stabaek
1.93
Start
1.74
KFUM Oslo
1.68
Kongsvinger
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.52
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.43
Mjondalen
1.40
Fredrikstad
1.17
Raufoss
1.17
Bryne
1.17
Asane
1.07
Skeid
1.06
Grorud
0.67
Stjørdals-Blink
0.57
Arendal
0.00
Ranheim is 0.23 points worse than Kongsvinger in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Brann
3.17
Stabaek
2.07
Start
2.03
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Ranheim
1.63
Fredrikstad
1.53
Skeid
1.47
Kongsvinger
1.42
Asane
1.40
Bryne
1.40
Mjondalen
1.30
Raufoss
1.17
Grorud
1.13
Stjørdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
0.50
Ranheim is 0.21 goals better than Kongsvinger in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Brann
0.53
Stabaek
0.93
Kongsvinger
1.15
Start
1.26
Mjondalen
1.57
KFUM Oslo
1.61
Fredrikstad
1.70
Sandnes ULF
1.71
Skeid
1.72
Ranheim
1.73
Bryne
1.73
Sogndal
1.77
Raufoss
1.80
Asane
2.23
Grorud
2.30
Stjørdals-Blink
2.37
Arendal
4.00
Ranheim is 0.58 goals worse than Kongsvinger in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D00D02L00D12L01L10WH·STJ31/07A·SKE04/08H·MJO08/08A·FRE14/08H·BRY22/08A·BRA29/08A·GRO05/09H·ASA11/09A·SOG17/09H·SAN03/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.620.540.690.310.54
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.502.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.450.450.550.450.360.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %54% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W11D10W00D20W10W00D00DH·MJO31/07H·BRY04/08A·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.540.770.460.380.62
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.360.430.570.140.140.71
vs Weaker (10)1.000.501.200.600.800.40
Clean sheet %62% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D21W11D11D03L12L21W01L02LH·STJ31/07A·SKE04/08H·MJO08/08A·FRE14/08H·BRY22/08A·BRA29/08A·GRO05/09H·ASA11/09A·SOG17/09H·SAN03/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.041.541.000.921.08
vs Stronger (4)0.751.501.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.320.951.641.001.000.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %31% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kongsvinger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D11D11D00D01L21W21W21W00DH·MJO31/07H·BRY04/08A·GRO08/08H·STA14/08A·RAU22/08H·STA27/08A·STJ05/09H·KFU12/09A·ASA17/09H·SOG03/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.651.150.690.620.62
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.640.571.001.000.290.14
vs Weaker (10)1.300.601.400.201.201.00
Clean sheet %46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kongsvinger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (25)
€27m
FRE (25)
€15m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Ranheim's squad is €2m less valuable than Kongsvinger's (€4m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (10)
€11m
STA (9)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Ranheim's attack is €2m less valuable than Kongsvinger's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (4)
€7m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Ranheim and Kongsvinger have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRA (11)
€9m
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Ranheim and Kongsvinger have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
RAN wins
1
Draws
0
KON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ranheim vs Kongsvinger · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/22AKongsvinger Vs RAN2-2

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/22HRAN Vs Sandnes ULF1-2
17/09/22ASogndal Vs RAN2-0
11/09/22HRAN Vs Asane3-3
05/09/22AGrorud Vs RAN2-1
29/08/22ABrann Vs RAN5-0
22/08/22HRAN Vs Bryne1-1
14/08/22AFredrikstad Vs RAN1-1
08/08/22HRAN Vs Mjondalen2-1
04/08/22ASkeid Vs RAN1-0
31/07/22HRAN Vs Stjørdals-Blink2-1

KongsvingerKongsvinger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/22HKON Vs Sogndal0-0
17/09/22AAsane Vs KON1-2
12/09/22HKON Vs KFUM Oslo3-1
05/09/22AStjørdals-Blink Vs KON1-4
27/08/22HKON Vs Stabaek0-1
22/08/22ARaufoss Vs KON0-1
14/08/22HKON Vs Start2-2
08/08/22AGrorud Vs KON1-2
04/08/22HKON Vs Bryne2-1
31/07/22HKON Vs Mjondalen2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.54
HomeWWDDL1.69
AwayLDLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals3.313.772.85
Over 1.5 %88%92%85%
Over 2.5 %73%85%62%
Over 3.5 %38%54%23%
Scored1.652.081.23
Conceded1.651.691.62
BTTS73%77%69%
Clean Sheet8%8%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Kongsvinger
Kongsvinger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.54
HomeWDLWD1.77
AwayLWWWW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals2.653.082.23
Over 1.5 %65%77%54%
Over 2.5 %58%69%46%
Over 3.5 %35%54%15%
Scored1.461.921.00
Conceded1.191.151.23
BTTS58%69%46%
Clean Sheet23%23%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BrannBrann3081
87%
2.7
9516+79
3.7
97%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
11793.20.5
-
2StabaekStabaek3058
53%
1.9
6228+34
3.0
70%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5232.10.9
-
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3355
48%
1.7
4738+9
2.6
64%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.41.2
-
4StartStart3154
52%
1.7
6339+24
3.3
74%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2342.01.3
-
5KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3152
48%
1.7
6250+12
3.6
90%
87%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3242.01.6
-
6Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3147
45%
1.5
5453+1
3.5
84%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.7
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
5553+2
3.6
87%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.8
-
8RanheimRanheim3043
40%
1.4
4952-3
3.4
90%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.7
-
9MjondalenMjondalen3042
43%
1.4
3947-8
2.9
83%
67%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
10FredrikstadFredrikstad3035
30%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.51.7
-
11BryneBryne3035
30%
1.2
4252-10
3.1
93%
70%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.7
-
12RaufossRaufoss3035
30%
1.2
3554-19
3.0
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.8
-
13SkeidSkeid3234
31%
1.1
4755-8
3.2
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
14AsaneAsane3032
27%
1.1
4267-25
3.6
93%
70%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.42.2
-
15GrorudGrorud3020
13%
0.7
3469-35
3.4
93%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.3
-
16Stjørdals-BlinkStjørdals-Blink3017
13%
0.6
3071-41
3.4
83%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
17ArendalArendal20
0%
0.0
18-7
4.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.54.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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