This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lillestrom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.53
1.21
1.21
1.81
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
4.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
5.00
vs Similar (15)
1.13
1.27
1.00
1.00
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (13)
2.00
1.38
1.50
1.00
2.43
1.71
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.4%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
Ranheim goals ↓
Lillestrom goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
8.3%
9.5%
6.4%
3.3%
1
3.8%
11%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
2
2.5%
5.1%
5.2%
3.6%
1.8%
3
0.9%
1.8%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranheim goals (down), columns = Lillestrom goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Ranheim is 1.12 points worse than Lillestrom in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 2.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Ranheim is 1.29 goals worse than Lillestrom in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 2.90).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Ranheim is 1.05 goals worse than Lillestrom in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ranheim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.93
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.61
0.50
0.62
0.92
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lillestrom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.86
0.50
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.60
0.86
0.57
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.77
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.14
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ranheim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.90
0.69
0.88
1.21
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
0.89
0.82
0.69
0.88
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lillestrom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lillestrom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.36
0.71
1.00
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.67
0.14
0.43
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.62
0.50
0.67
1.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lillestrom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lillestrom · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Lehne Olsen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Felix Vá22%
Markus Karlsbakk20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Lars Ranger12%
Camil Jebara9%
Karl Linus Alperud9%
Kparobo Arierhi9%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Harald Woxen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ylldren Ibrahimaj35%
Harald Woxen27%
Stian Kristiansen25%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim24%
Frederik Elkær20%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Kevin Martin Krygard12%
Lars Ranger12%
Pontus Dahlberg11%
Sander Moen Foss11%
Ulrik Jenssen10%
Camil Jebara9%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Ruben Gabrielsen7%
Felix Vá6%
Thomas Lehne Olsen0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Vá22%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen17%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj12%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim12%
Frederik Elkær10%
Thomas Lehne Olsen8%
Yaw Paintsil8%
Salieu Drammeh8%
Lars Ranger6%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Markus Karlsbakk0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Lehne Olsen33%
Salieu Drammeh17%
Markus Karlsbakk13%
Lars Ranger6%
Felix Vá6%
Fredrik Gulbrandsen0%
Ulrik Jenssen0%
Pontus Dahlberg0%
Ruben Gabrielsen0%
Ylldren Ibrahimaj0%
Kevin Martin Krygard0%
Sander Moen Foss0%
Espen Bjørnsen Garnås0%
Eric Kitolano0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Frederik Elkær0%
Camil Jebara0%
Stian Kristiansen0%
Karl Linus Alperud0%
Harald Woxen0%
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim0%
Kparobo Arierhi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Ranheim's squad is €10m less valuable than Lillestrom's (€4m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Ranheim's attack is €5m less valuable than Lillestrom's (€1m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Ranheim's midfield is €2m less valuable than Lillestrom's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Ranheim's defence is €4m less valuable than Lillestrom's (€2m vs €5m).
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →