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Ranheim vs Mjondalen Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 3-0
Ranheim
Ranheim
Vs
45%
25%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ranheim win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen win✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L12L06L11D11D52W32W21W04L11DA·LYN10/08A·TRY13/08A·AAL18/08H·STA23/08A·KON30/08H·ASA13/09A·STA20/09A·RAU29/09H·EGE04/10A·ODD18/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.701.361.711.691.69
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (28)1.501.611.461.541.531.67
vs Weaker (1)4.002.00--4.002.00
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-651W34L11D41W13L01L15L14L32W06LA·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09A·ASA04/10H·AAL18/10
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.502.431.082.851.822.12
vs Stronger (3)0.675.000.505.501.004.00
vs Similar (25)1.482.241.182.361.712.14
vs Weaker (2)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
Ranheim goals ↓
Mjondalen goals →
01234
04.6%4.3%4.0%2.0%0.7%
15.6%11%7.3%3.6%1.4%
26.1%9.0%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.7%5.5%4.1%2.1%0.8%
41.7%2.5%1.9%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ranheim goals (down), columns = Mjondalen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Ranheim is 0.72 points better than Mjondalen in terms of average points per game (1.55 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Ranheim is 0.41 goals better than Mjondalen in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Ranheim is 0.72 goals better than Mjondalen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 2.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D03L01L01L21W00D11D01L00DA·LYN10/08A·TRY13/08A·AAL18/08H·STA23/08A·KON30/08H·ASA13/09A·STA20/09A·RAU29/09H·EGE04/10A·ODD18/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.500.710.690.69
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.640.540.540.600.73
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L01L30W11D01L13L01L21W03LA·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09A·ASA04/10H·AAL18/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.200.231.620.820.88
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.503.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.601.120.181.270.931.00
vs Weaker (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RanheimRanheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L10W10W31W32W10W03L11DA·LYN10/08A·TRY13/08A·AAL18/08H·STA23/08A·KON30/08H·ASA13/09A·STA20/09A·RAU29/09H·EGE04/10A·ODD18/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.000.861.001.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.930.960.921.000.930.93
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mjondalen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MjondalenMjondalen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D10W11D02L00D02L13L11D03LA·VES13/08A·KON18/08H·HOD23/08A·ASK27/08A·MOS30/08H·LYN14/09H·BRA17/09A·LIL20/09A·ASA04/10H·AAL18/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.230.851.231.001.24
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.881.121.001.090.791.14
vs Weaker (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mjondalen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
4
RAN wins
1
Draws
2
MJO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ranheim vs Mjondalen · H/A from RAN
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25AMjondalen Vs RAN1-4
19/08/24HRAN Vs Mjondalen0-1
09/06/24AMjondalen Vs RAN3-3
13/08/23AMjondalen Vs RAN1-2
24/06/23HRAN Vs Mjondalen2-3
08/08/22HRAN Vs Mjondalen2-1
26/05/22AMjondalen Vs RAN1-2

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AODD Ballklubb Vs RAN1-1
04/10/25HRAN Vs Egersund0-4
29/09/25ARaufoss Vs RAN1-2
20/09/25AStart Vs RAN2-3
13/09/25HRAN Vs Asane5-2
30/08/25AKongsvinger Vs RAN1-1
23/08/25HRAN Vs Stabaek1-1
18/08/25AAalesund Vs RAN6-0
13/08/25ATrygg/Lade Vs RAN2-1
10/08/25ALyn Vs RAN2-1

MjondalenMjondalen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HMJO Vs Aalesund0-6
04/10/25AAsane Vs MJO2-3
20/09/25ALillestrom Vs MJO4-1
17/09/25HMJO Vs Brann1-5
14/09/25HMJO Vs Lyn0-1
30/08/25AMoss Vs MJO3-1
27/08/25AAsker Vs MJO1-4
23/08/25HMJO Vs hodd1-1
18/08/25AKongsvinger Vs MJO4-3
13/08/25AVestfossen Vs MJO1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.50
HomeWDDWL1.24
AwayLDWWD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%32%52%
AVG goals3.182.883.48
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.561.281.84
Conceded1.621.601.64
BTTS66%60%72%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Mjondalen
Mjondalen
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.00
HomeLDLLL0.73
AwayLWLLW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%14%36%
AVG goals3.383.183.54
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %60%55%64%
Over 3.5 %50%36%61%
Scored1.321.051.54
Conceded2.062.142.00
BTTS62%59%64%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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