Rapid Vienna is expected to emerge victorious in this match, with a recent-form note suggesting they're on a 3-game winning run. The home side's home scoring and conceding averages are 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match, respectively, when facing weaker opponents. Meanwhile, SCR Altach's away scoring and conceding averages are 0.67 and 1.83 goals per match, respectively, against stronger opponents. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 12%. The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The model's selection is the Home win, with a probability of 59%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a probability of 74.7%, and Under 3.5, with a probability of 73.2%. Home win is the favoured match result, with a 59% chance of success, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 16% chance of an away win.
Results analysis
The win extends Rapid Vienna's 3-game winning run. The final score was 1-0, confirming the actual result of a home win. The model's call, a home win, was correct. As the pre-match favourite, Rapid Vienna had a 59% chance of winning. The model's selection, a home win, was the correct call. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals MISSED, with a 74.7% probability, as the final score was 1-0. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals HIT, with a 73.2% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapid Vienna win✓ Hit
59.0%
Avg Implied 52.5% · @ 1.77
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.80
Dafabet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.58
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.66
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.60
SCR Altach win✗ Miss
15.9%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.34
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.66
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapid Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.47
1.00
1.31
0.93
1.64
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.76
1.88
0.90
1.60
0.57
2.29
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
1.20
1.25
1.25
1.33
1.17
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.30
1.33
1.00
0.87
1.60
vs Stronger (24)
1.04
1.42
1.42
1.00
0.67
1.83
vs Similar (6)
1.33
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.7%
@ 1.26+1.1%
Under 1.5
25.3%
@ 3.52-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.86-1.9%
Under 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.90+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Betfair
1.90
SBO
1.89
Pinnacle
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
SBO
1.97
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
@ 3.12-3.1%
Under 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.33+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.0%
@ 1.76-4.5%
No
52.0%
@ 1.95+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.75
No
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
12.0%@ 6.77+5.4%
1-1
11.9%@ 6.47+5.0%
2-0
11.7%@ 8.18+6.2%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.68+3.9%
0-0
8.4%@ 10.22+4.0%
3-0
7.0%@ 13.45+3.6%
3-1
5.8%@ 13.06+2.3%
0-1
5.0%@ 11.28+1.0%
Rapid Vienna goals ↓
SCR Altach goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
5.0%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.5%
1.2%
0.3%
2
12%
9.7%
4.0%
1.1%
0.2%
3
7.0%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
0.1%
4
3.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapid Vienna goals (down), columns = SCR Altach goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Austria Lustenau
1.16
Grazer AK
1.16
Rapid Vienna is 0.07 points better than SCR Altach in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
Austria Lustenau
1.15
SCR Altach
1.12
Rapid Vienna is 0.05 goals better than SCR Altach in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
Austria Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.62
Rapid Vienna is 0.05 goals worse than SCR Altach in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
Rapid Vienna is 4.1 percentage points better than SCR Altach in terms of average possession (56% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rapid Vienna
For 5.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.2 · Against 13.7 · Total 21.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SCR Altach
For 3.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.3 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.9
3.6
4.3
24.0
23.6
24.3
vs Stronger (5)
8.0
8.0
8.0
4.4
3.5
5.0
22.6
21.0
23.7
vs Similar (27)
9.1
8.5
9.8
3.9
4.1
3.5
25.2
25.7
24.8
vs Weaker (18)
10.9
11.1
10.8
3.9
2.8
5.1
22.6
21.1
24.0
% over line
54%
54%
54%
56%
40%
72%
67%
62%
71%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
44%
60%
28%
33%
38%
29%
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.2
8.8
5.2
5.0
5.3
23.9
25.0
22.8
vs Stronger (36)
7.9
7.4
8.4
4.9
4.4
5.3
24.1
24.7
23.4
vs Similar (14)
10.0
10.3
9.7
5.9
6.7
5.1
23.5
25.7
21.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
24%
36%
78%
76%
80%
64%
64%
64%
% under line
70%
76%
64%
22%
24%
20%
36%
36%
36%
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.4
Lask Linz
10.3
Rapid Vienna
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.7
TSV Hartberg
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.6
Wolfsberger AC
9.5
Austria Lustenau
9.3
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Grazer AK
8.9
Ried
8.5
SCR Altach
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.4
Sturm Graz
5.0
Austria Lustenau
5.0
Grazer AK
4.8
TSV Hartberg
4.7
Ried
4.7
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
WSG Wattens
4.5
Austria Vienna
4.5
Rapid Vienna
4.3
Lask Linz
3.9
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.9
SCR Altach
23.9
Sturm Graz
23.7
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
Wolfsberger AC
22.8
Austria Vienna
22.6
Ried
22.6
WSG Wattens
22.5
TSV Hartberg
21.9
Lask Linz
20.6
Red Bull Salzburg
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.4%
@ 1.99-0.4%
Under 9.5
53.6%
@ 1.75+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.6%
Under 21.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapid Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.73
0.31
0.75
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.24
0.88
0.20
0.90
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SCR Altach) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SCR Altach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.67
0.40
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (24)
0.62
0.46
0.83
0.42
0.42
0.50
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.33
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCR Altach over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 10. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.3%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.7%
1.26
Unibet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.28
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.2%
1.33
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 11. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (36)
€192m
SG (32)
€59m
LL (26)
€48m
RV (37)
€46m
WA (33)
€35m
AV (35)
€30m
TH (30)
€14m
RIE (27)
€12m
SA (30)
€12m
GA (27)
€10m
AL (22)
€5m
Rapid Vienna's squad is €34m more valuable than SCR Altach's (€46m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€93m
SG (10)
€20m
LL (8)
€17m
RV (13)
€17m
WA (11)
€14m
AV (13)
€13m
RIE (7)
€6m
GA (8)
€4m
TH (8)
€4m
SA (12)
€4m
AL (10)
€2m
Rapid Vienna's attack is €13m more valuable than SCR Altach's (€17m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (9)
€40m
SG (5)
€17m
RV (7)
€10m
LL (8)
€8m
AV (6)
€7m
RIE (10)
€4m
WA (7)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
SA (4)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Rapid Vienna's midfield is €9m more valuable than SCR Altach's (€10m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (16)
€59m
LL (10)
€22m
SG (17)
€22m
RV (17)
€19m
WA (15)
€18m
AV (16)
€10m
TH (15)
€7m
SA (14)
€6m
GA (12)
€4m
AL (9)
€2m
RIE (10)
€2m
Rapid Vienna's defence is €13m more valuable than SCR Altach's (€19m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Austria Vienna
Grazer AK
Ried
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg