Rapid Wien II’s recent form shows a shaky start with two straight defeats before a win, yet their home attack averages 1.79 goals per game while conceding 1.36 against similar opposition. First Vienna, on a two-game winning streak, averages 2.25 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away. The model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.3 goals, most likely totalling three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.9% chance. The favourite outcome is a home win, with probabilities of 43% for Rapid, 25% for a draw, and 32% for First Vienna. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 85.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 72.9%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 72.0%. All other selections - Under 11.5 corners, Under 10.5 corners, and Over 1.5 goals - are noted with their respective percentages. The match is poised to deliver plenty of action, favouring Rapid Wien II to secure a narrow victory.
Results analysis
Rapid Wien II’s win extends a brief streak after two straight defeats, while First Vienna continues a two-game winning run. The final score was 1-0, a home win that matched the model’s pick. The pre-match favourite was Home win with a 43% probability, and the model was correct. The model’s suggested picks were mixed: Over 1.5 goals at 85.5% missed, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.4% hit, Under 11.5 corners at 83.4% missed, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8% hit, Under 10.5 corners at 74.5% missed, Under 5.5 cards at 72.9% hit, and Over 21.5 fouls at 72.0% hit. The actual total of one goal was far below the expected 3.3.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapid Wien II win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
First Vienna win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapid Wien II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.67
1.67
1.27
1.13
2.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.46
1.75
1.79
1.36
1.14
2.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.33
1.88
1.25
2.07
1.43
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.33
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
2.00
1.44
1.80
1.27
2.25
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.6%
Under 2.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
1-0 ✓
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.6%
Rapid Wien II goals ↓
First Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
4.5%
4.2%
2.2%
0.8%
1
5.4%
11%
7.6%
3.9%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.8%
6.8%
3.5%
1.3%
3
3.4%
5.3%
4.1%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.5%
2.4%
1.8%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapid Wien II goals (down), columns = First Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ried
2.17
Admira Wacker
1.97
SV Kapfenberg
1.80
SKN ST. Polten
1.77
First Vienna
1.63
FC Liefering
1.43
Sturm Graz II
1.40
SKU Amstetten
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.27
Austria Lustenau
1.23
Floridsdorfer AC
1.23
Rapid Wien II
1.23
Stripfing
1.13
Voitsberg
1.07
SV Horn
1.00
SV Lafnitz
0.53
Rapid Wien II is 0.40 points worse than First Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ried
1.97
SKN ST. Polten
1.87
SV Kapfenberg
1.77
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.70
SKU Amstetten
1.63
Rapid Wien II
1.63
First Vienna
1.63
Sturm Graz II
1.60
Admira Wacker
1.60
FC Liefering
1.43
SV Lafnitz
1.33
SV Horn
1.33
Stripfing
1.30
Floridsdorfer AC
1.00
Voitsberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
0.80
Rapid Wien II and First Vienna are level in goals scored per game (both 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ried
0.77
Austria Lustenau
0.87
Admira Wacker
1.03
SKN ST. Polten
1.13
Floridsdorfer AC
1.17
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Voitsberg
1.37
Sturm Graz II
1.43
FC Liefering
1.43
Stripfing
1.43
First Vienna
1.47
SV Kapfenberg
1.63
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.90
Rapid Wien II
1.90
SV Horn
2.03
SV Lafnitz
2.70
Rapid Wien II is 0.43 goals worse than First Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.90 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ried
56%
Admira Wacker
52%
FC Liefering
51%
First Vienna
51%
SKN ST. Polten
51%
SV Kapfenberg
51%
Floridsdorfer AC
50%
Rapid Wien II
50%
Voitsberg
50%
Austria Lustenau
49%
SV Lafnitz
49%
SV Horn
46%
SKU Amstetten
45%
Rapid Wien II is 0.9 percentage points worse than First Vienna in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rapid Wien II
For 5.0 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
First Vienna
For 2.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 13.1 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Wien II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
2.6
2.3
2.9
24.8
24.9
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
10.3
7.0
12.0
5.0
3.0
6.0
28.0
33.0
25.5
vs Similar (47)
9.4
9.8
9.0
2.4
2.3
2.6
24.5
24.4
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
33%
65%
40%
36%
44%
81%
80%
82%
% under line
50%
67%
35%
60%
64%
56%
19%
20%
18%
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.7
10.4
3.7
4.2
3.2
26.2
26.1
26.4
vs Stronger (4)
13.5
8.0
19.0
5.5
7.5
3.5
23.8
25.5
22.0
vs Similar (46)
9.7
9.9
9.4
3.6
3.9
3.2
26.5
26.1
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
72%
50%
50%
60%
40%
81%
84%
78%
% under line
39%
28%
50%
50%
40%
60%
19%
16%
22%
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
First Vienna
10.7
SKU Amstetten
10.4
Floridsdorfer AC
10.3
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Lafnitz
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.2
SKN ST. Polten
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.6
Rapid Wien II
9.4
Admira Wacker
9.2
SV Horn
9.2
Ried
8.7
Voitsberg
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
6.1
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.2
SV Lafnitz
5.2
Austria Lustenau
5.0
Ried
5.0
FC Liefering
5.0
First Vienna
4.9
SV Horn
4.8
Admira Wacker
4.8
SKU Amstetten
4.8
Rapid Wien II
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.5
FC Liefering
26.5
Floridsdorfer AC
26.5
Voitsberg
26.4
SV Kapfenberg
25.4
SKU Amstetten
24.4
Admira Wacker
24.3
Rapid Wien II
24.3
SV Lafnitz
24.2
Ried
23.9
Austria Lustenau
23.5
SV Horn
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.9%
Under 9.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
72.0%
Under 21.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapid Wien II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
1.00
0.47
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.71
1.07
0.50
0.57
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
1.06
0.69
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
0.70
1.13
0.67
0.83
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rapid Wien II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
1.04
0.71
0.86
0.57
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (First Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
First Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
0.81
0.56
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
0.74
0.67
0.60
1.42
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Wien II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapid Wien II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Wien II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
First Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (24)
€7m
FL (17)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Rapid Wien II's squad is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
RWI (12)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Rapid Wien II and First Vienna have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (8)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
Rapid Wien II's midfield is €1m less valuable than First Vienna's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIE (9)
€3m
AW (11)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Rapid Wien II and First Vienna have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Austria: 2. Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →