PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Rapperswil vs FC Aarau Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2025
Time: 18:15
Final 0-1
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Vs
24%
23%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Aarau
FC Aarau
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapperswil win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau win✓ Hit
53.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L03L12L31WH·ÉTO25/07A·STA01/08H·YVE08/08H·STA22/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.400.671.671.501.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (4)1.251.001.001.001.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC AarauFC Aarau

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L31W11D04L10W31W20W10W54W30WH·FC 09/05A·ÉTO16/05H·STA23/05A·GRA27/05H·GRA30/05A·FC 01/08H·NEU09/08H·BEL13/08A·STA22/08H·STA25/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.201.730.872.131.53
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.000.001.001.50
vs Similar (14)1.931.501.751.382.171.67
vs Weaker (13)2.150.921.830.332.431.43
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.9%
Rapperswil goals ↓
FC Aarau goals →
01234
04.5%6.2%7.3%4.9%2.5%
13.7%10%9.6%6.5%3.3%
23.0%6.2%6.3%4.2%2.2%
31.3%2.7%2.7%1.9%0.9%
40.4%0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapperswil goals (down), columns = FC Aarau goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Vaduz
2.25
FC Aarau
2.22
Yverdon Sport
1.86
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.39
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.36
Rapperswil
1.22
Étoile Carouge
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.11
Stade Nyonnais
0.78
Bellinzona
0.64
Rapperswil is 1.00 points worse than FC Aarau in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Aarau
2.14
Yverdon Sport
2.08
FC Vaduz
2.08
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.53
Rapperswil
1.44
Étoile Carouge
1.28
Bellinzona
1.11
FC WIL 1900
1.08
Stade Nyonnais
0.92
Rapperswil is 0.69 goals worse than FC Aarau in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 2.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vaduz
1.14
FC Aarau
1.31
Yverdon Sport
1.33
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.42
Étoile Carouge
1.50
FC WIL 1900
1.53
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.56
Stade Nyonnais
1.67
Rapperswil
1.72
Bellinzona
2.14
Rapperswil is 0.42 goals worse than FC Aarau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.72 vs 1.31).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RapperswilRapperswil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L00D20WH·ÉTO25/07A·STA01/08H·YVE08/08H·STA22/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.000.331.000.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (4)0.500.250.000.001.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC AarauFC Aarau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D01L02L00D20W10W00D21W10WH·FC 09/05A·ÉTO16/05H·STA23/05A·GRA27/05H·GRA30/05A·FC 01/08H·NEU09/08H·BEL13/08A·STA22/08H·STA25/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.670.530.930.73
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.790.620.751.000.83
vs Weaker (13)0.850.460.670.331.000.57
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RapperswilRapperswil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L12L11DH·ÉTO25/07A·STA01/08H·YVE08/08H·STA22/08A·FC 26/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.671.330.500.50
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (4)0.750.751.001.000.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC AarauFC Aarau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W10W02L10W11D10W10W33D20WH·FC 09/05A·ÉTO16/05H·STA23/05A·GRA27/05H·GRA30/05A·FC 01/08H·NEU09/08H·BEL13/08A·STA22/08H·STA25/08← Super LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.571.070.331.200.80
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
vs Similar (14)1.140.711.120.621.170.83
vs Weaker (13)1.310.461.170.001.430.86
Clean sheet %63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
Rapperswil's squad is €1m less valuable than FC Aarau's (€4m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
Rapperswil and FC Aarau have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Rapperswil and FC Aarau have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Rapperswil's defence is €1m less valuable than FC Aarau's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RAP wins
0
Draws
0
FA wins

Head-to-head

Rapperswil vs FC Aarau · H/A from RAP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/25AFC WIL 1900 Vs RAP1-3
22/08/25HRAP Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-2
08/08/25HRAP Vs Yverdon Sport0-3
01/08/25AStade Nyonnais Vs RAP1-0
25/07/25HRAP Vs Étoile Carouge1-0

FC AarauFC Aarau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/25HFA Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy3-0
22/08/25AStade Nyonnais Vs FA4-5
13/08/25HFA Vs Bellinzona1-0
09/08/25HFA Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-0
01/08/25AFC WIL 1900 Vs FA1-3
30/05/25HFA Vs Grasshoppers1-0
27/05/25AGrasshoppers Vs FA4-0
23/05/25HFA Vs Stade Nyonnais1-1
16/05/25AÉtoile Carouge Vs FA1-3
09/05/25HFA Vs FC WIL 19002-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.20
HomeWLL1.00
AwayLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%33%50%
AVG goals2.402.332.50
Over 1.5 %60%67%50%
Over 2.5 %60%67%50%
Over 3.5 %20%0%50%
Scored1.000.671.50
Conceded1.401.671.00
BTTS40%33%50%
Clean Sheet20%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Aarau
FC Aarau
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.70
HomeDWWWW1.62
AwayLWLWW1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%46%50%
AVG goals3.102.583.67
Over 1.5 %82%73%92%
Over 2.5 %62%54%71%
Over 3.5 %36%27%46%
Scored1.741.382.12
Conceded1.361.191.54
BTTS64%46%83%
Clean Sheet30%46%12%
Corners---
Cards5.00-5.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC VaduzFC Vaduz3681
69%
2.2
7541+34
3.2
81%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.11.1
-
2FC AarauFC Aarau3680
69%
2.2
7747+30
3.4
81%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2132.11.3
-
3Yverdon SportYverdon Sport3667
56%
1.9
7548+27
3.4
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.3
-
4Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3650
39%
1.4
5951+8
3.1
89%
64%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.4
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3649
39%
1.4
5556-1
3.1
83%
67%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.6
-
6RapperswilRapperswil3644
39%
1.2
5262-10
3.2
81%
67%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.41.7
-
7Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge3640
28%
1.1
4654-8
2.8
83%
58%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.5
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003640
28%
1.1
3955-16
2.6
69%
47%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.5
-
9Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais3628
14%
0.8
3360-27
2.6
64%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.91.7
-
10BellinzonaBellinzona3623
14%
0.6
4077-37
3.2
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.1
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

← all matches