Rapperswil’s recent three-game losing streak has left them vulnerable at home, while SC Kriens, fresh from a two-game winning run, looks poised to take advantage of the Swiss Challenge League match on 1 September. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 39% chance for SC Kriens, 37% for a Rapperswil victory and 24% for a draw. The expected total is 3.5 goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10% probability. Rapperswil averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition, whereas SC Kriens averages 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road.
The model offers several high-probability selections: Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6% (edge 8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals97.3% (edge 7%), Under 7.597.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals97.2% (edge 8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals93.2% (edge 4%), Under 6.593.2% (edge 4%), Home under 3.5 goals90.0% (edge 1%), and Away under 3.5 goals89.3% (edge 1%). Each selection is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcomes are assigned win percentages.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, SC Kriens, slipped into a 1-1 draw, a shock that left the model’s pick wrong. Rapperswil’s recent form, a string of draws and a win, was highlighted by the note that they were coming off a draw, while Kriens had also finished a draw in their last outing. The final score of 1-1 confirmed the actual result as a draw, contrary to the model’s expectation of an away win with a 39% probability. The model’s selections all hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Under 7.5 at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.5%, Under 6.5 at 93.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 90.0%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 89.3%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rapperswil win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.43
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.48
Dafabet
2.48
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Draw✓ Hit
24.0%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.72
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.07
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Dafabet
3.80
Bet365
3.80
SC Kriens win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied 37.8% · @ 2.42
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.50
Dafabet
2.49
Pinnacle
2.49
Superbet
2.47
Betano
2.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rapperswil
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.90
1.64
2.07
1.56
1.75
vs Stronger (6)
1.67
3.33
2.50
4.50
1.25
2.75
vs Similar (24)
1.58
1.54
1.50
1.67
1.67
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Kriens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.00
1.67
0.67
2.00
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
2.25
0.75
2.50
0.00
2.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.7%
@ 1.09+2.3%
Under 1.5
12.3%
@ 6.36-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
Under
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Pinnacle
6.80
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.5%
@ 1.35+0.1%
Under 2.5
31.5%
@ 2.93-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.15
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
@ 1.90-2.0%
Under 3.5
52.9%
@ 1.83+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.6%
@ 1.32-0.1%
No
30.4%
@ 3.05+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
No
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.11
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.0%@ 8.09+4.5%
1-2
8.1%@ 9.46+3.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.46+3.3%
2-2
7.1%@ 9.60+2.5%
1-3
4.9%@ 14.93+1.9%
0-2
4.7%@ 16.56+2.0%
3-1
4.6%@ 14.93+1.7%
2-0
4.5%@ 16.73+1.8%
Rapperswil goals ↓
SC Kriens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
4.3%
4.7%
2.8%
1.2%
1
4.2%
10%
8.1%
4.9%
2.2%
2
4.5%
8.0%
7.1%
4.2%
1.9%
3
2.6%
4.6%
4.1%
2.5%
1.1%
4
1.1%
2.0%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rapperswil goals (down), columns = SC Kriens goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Rapperswil is 1.00 points worse than SC Kriens in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Rapperswil is 0.33 goals worse than SC Kriens in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Rapperswil is 1.17 goals worse than SC Kriens in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rapperswil or Draw✓ Hit
61.2%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.49
Edge
-0.9%
37%
24%
39%
covers Rapperswil + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Rapperswil or SC Kriens✗ Miss
76.0%
Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.22
Edge
+0.3%
37%
24%
39%
covers Rapperswil + SC Kriens
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Draw or SC Kriens✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 62.2% · @ 1.48
Edge
+0.6%
37%
24%
39%
covers Draw + SC Kriens
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.14+1.5%
Under
17.4%
@ 4.89-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Rapperswil over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 1.74-1.1%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.97+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Rapperswil over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 3.26-2.9%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.30+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.28
Betano
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Rapperswil over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.58-4.1%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.08+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.50
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
SC Kriens over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.14+2.2%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.90-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.85
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
SC Kriens over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.3%
@ 1.73+0.1%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.97-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
SC Kriens over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 3.29-1.6%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.29+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.29
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
SC Kriens over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 6.67-3.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.40
1xBet
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rapperswil, so a minus line means Rapperswil give that many goals of a start and SC Kriens receive them. At -1, Rapperswil must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rapperswil win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rapperswil)Actual: SC Kriens
Rapperswil -2
8.3%
@ 9.27-1.4%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 7.00-1.5%
SC Kriens +2
80.4%
@ 1.16+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Rapperswil)Actual: SC Kriens
Rapperswil -1
19.6%
@ 4.35-1.0%
Draw -1
17.6%
@ 4.53-2.2%
SC Kriens +1
62.8%
@ 1.50+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Handicap +1 (Rapperswil)Actual: Rapperswil
Rapperswil +1
61.2%
@ 1.47+2.1%
Draw +1
18.0%
@ 4.36-2.0%
SC Kriens -1
20.9%
@ 4.16-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.46
Unibet
1.43
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.65
Away
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.55
Handicap +2 (Rapperswil)Actual: Rapperswil
Rapperswil +2
79.1%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Draw +2
11.9%
@ 7.00-0.9%
SC Kriens -2
9.0%
@ 9.10-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rapperswil
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.83
1.14
1.00
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.17
2.00
2.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.75
1.00
0.75
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Kriens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.19-1.5%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 4.17+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.6%
@ 1.95-8.9%
Under 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.77+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
SBO
1.98
Unibet
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.84
Pinnacle
1.84
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 3.99-9.6%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.20+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 1.69-13.3%
Under
58.4%
@ 2.06+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 4.33-10.2%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.17+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
Betano
4.35
1xBet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 9.25-8.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.03+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.0%
@ 1.69+0.1%
Under
45.0%
@ 2.06-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
2.00
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 4.33-5.0%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.17+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.30
1xBet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 9.25-7.5%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rapperswil
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.50
1.07
0.88
1.06
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.17
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.25
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.79
0.50
0.92
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Kriens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Kriens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.1%
@ 1.10-2.0%
Under 0.5
17.9%
@ 5.81+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.40
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.45
Betano
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.0%
@ 1.55-11.5%
Under 1.5
52.0%
@ 2.28+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
1xBet
2.29
Superbet
2.27
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 2.70-10.2%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.40+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 1.47-12.8%
Under
49.8%
@ 2.51+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.45
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 3.12-14.4%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.31+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 7.55-9.3%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.05+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
SC Kriens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.5%
@ 1.47-1.6%
Under
38.5%
@ 2.51+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.52
Superbet
2.45
SC Kriens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.7%
@ 3.12-9.9%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.31+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
SC Kriens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 7.60-5.6%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.05+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.2%
1.05
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.3%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.17
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.7%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.07
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.3%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+14.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.17
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
80.4%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.31
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
79.1%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.4%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.0%
1.40
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.36
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
74.5%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.4%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.9%
1.34
Pinnacle
1.39
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
+2.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Rapperswil's squad is €2m more valuable than SC Kriens's (€4m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Rapperswil and SC Kriens have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Rapperswil and SC Kriens have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Rapperswil and SC Kriens have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →